Result
0:1
04/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Championship Group - Round 29
- Referee: Lechner H. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 Ukraine | Sport 3 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 2.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (299/389) | 76% (280/369) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 2.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (299/389) | 76% (280/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (29/69) | 30% (16/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (69/112) | 66% (101/154) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (15/27) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 49 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Vitek R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 0 - 1, Kiteishvili O. ⚽, Johnston M. (A),
- 51', Wuthrich G. 🟨,
- 55', Diabate S. 🟨,
- 63', Pirkl S. ↓, Golles J. ↑,
- 63', Seidl S. ↓, Noss C. ↑,
- 66', Camara A. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
- 70', Moormann M. 🟨,
- 72', Beganovic B. 🟨,
- 76', Horvat T. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
- 79', Beganovic B. 🟨,
- 79', Ronivaldo ↓, Schmidt A. ↑,
- 79', Diabate S. ↓, Bakatukanda E. ↑,
- 84', Yalcouye M. ↓, Kiedl P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Blau-Weiss Linz
25.3% | Draw
27.4% | Sturm Graz
47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blau-Weiss Linz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blau-Weiss Linz than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Blau-Weiss Linz - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.72 ↑
(3.57) |
3.45 ↓
(3.56) |
2 ↓
(2.01) |
5.9%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Blau-Weiss Linz - Sturm Graz?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. BW Linz will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Sturm will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sturm (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BW Linz won 1.
- Recent form of BW Linz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Sturm has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sturm could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, BW Linz won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, BW Linz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Blau-Weiss Linz won against Sturm Graz?
Blau-Weiss Linz has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Blau-Weiss Linz?
Sturm Graz has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Blau-Weiss Linz - Sturm Graz were as follows:
20.04.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Blau-Weiss Linz
2:0
23.02.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Blau-Weiss Linz
2:1
30.10.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Blau-Weiss Linz
2:1
28.09.2024
Blau-Weiss Linz
-
Sturm Graz
1:2
21.03.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Blau-Weiss Linz
0:2
Latest results of Blau-Weiss Linz
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tirol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Grazer AK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Wolfsberger AC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hartberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | LASK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | SK Rapid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Salzburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Ried | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Altach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Sturm Graz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | BW Linz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
