Result
3:4
19/10/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 10
- Referee: Altmann W. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (345/448) | 75% (256/341) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (345/448) | 75% (256/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (33/74) | 42% (24/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (95/148) | 64% (68/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (11/25) | 56% (5/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.91 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Chukwuani T. ⚽, Horvat T. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Ronivaldo ⚽, Pirkl S. (A),
- 28', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
- 30', Bakatukanda E. 🟨,
- 45', Karic E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 56', Christensen O. ↓, Bignetti M. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 2, Malone M. ⚽, Kiteishvili O. (A),
- 63', Ronivaldo ↓, Mensah P. ↑,
- 69', Jatta S. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
- 69', Oermann T. ↓, Mitchell J. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 3, Grgic L. ⚽, Horvat T. (A),
- 75', 2 - 3, Weissman S. ⚽, Fofana M. (A),
- 78', Goiginger T. ↓, Pasic A. ↑,
- 78', Bakatukanda E. ↓, Huskovic M. ↑,
- 79', Horvat T. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
- 79', Malone M. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 3, Fofana M. ⚽, Mensah P. (A),
- 87', 3 - 4, Kiteishvili O. ⚽, Karic E. (A),
- 90+3', Rozga F. 🟨,
- 90+3', Moormann M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Blau-Weiss Linz
18.2% | Draw
25.3% | Sturm Graz
56.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Blau-Weiss Linz - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.55 ↑
(4.18) |
3.95 ↑
(3.52) |
1.71 ↓
(1.83) |
2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Blau-Weiss Linz - Sturm Graz?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. BW Linz (votes: 1 - 50%). Sturm (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Sturm Graz will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BW Linz won 0.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, Sturm is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in BW Linz: Anderson
(Knee Injury)
Cvetko C.
(Ankle Injury)
Seidl S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sturm: Kayombo A.
(Ankle Injury)
Khudyakov D.
(Wrist Injury)
Malic A.
(Health problems)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Rozga F.
(Health problems)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, BW Linz won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, BW Linz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Blau-Weiss Linz won against Sturm Graz?
Blau-Weiss Linz has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Blau-Weiss Linz?
Sturm Graz has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Blau-Weiss Linz - Sturm Graz were as follows:
04.05.2025
Blau-Weiss Linz
-
Sturm Graz
0:1
20.04.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Blau-Weiss Linz
2:0
23.02.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Blau-Weiss Linz
2:1
30.10.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Blau-Weiss Linz
2:1
28.09.2024
Blau-Weiss Linz
-
Sturm Graz
1:2
Latest results of Blau-Weiss Linz
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28:15 | 13 | 24 |
| 2 | SK Rapid | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | Wolfsberger AC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21:14 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 | Hartberg | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Austria Vienna | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
| 7 | Ried | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 | LASK | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 | Altach | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Tirol | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | BW Linz | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | Grazer AK | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10:23 | -13 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
