Result
1:3
23/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 14
- Referee: Altmann W. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (542/642) | 69% (167/242) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 3.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (542/642) | 69% (167/242) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (22/45) | 37% (23/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (191/258) | 69% (48/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/32) | 0% (0/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 63% (15/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.03 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 1 - 0, Kiteishvili O. ⚽, Gorenc Stankovic J. (A),
- 25', 1 - 1, Molgaard Jorgensen K. P. ⚽, Bello G. (A),
- 27', 1 - 2, Usor M. ⚽, Adeniran S. (A),
- 42', Andrade A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Malone M. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 3, Danek K. ⚽, Adeniran S. (A),
- 68', Chukwuani T. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
- 69', Malic A. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
- 69', Grgic L. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,
- 73', Cisse M. ↓, Flecker F. ↑,
- 73', Adeniran S. ↓, Kalajdzic S. ↑,
- 81', Horvath S. 🟨,
- 85', Horvath S. ↓, Coulibaly I. ↑,
- 90+2', Usor M. ↓, Lang C. ↑,
- 90+5', Coulibaly I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sturm Graz
48% | Draw
25.7% | LASK Linz
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)LASK Linz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for LASK Linz than the current prediction. (-2%)
Sturm Graz - LASK Linz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.96) |
3.68 ↑
(3.67) |
3.61 ↓
(3.63) |
5.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - LASK Linz?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). LASK will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sturm (votes: 1 - 20%). LASK (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 4.
- Sturm has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- LASK is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Sturm could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Sturm: Beganovic B.
(Injury)
- There will not play in LASK: Smakaj A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in LASK: Molgaard Jorgensen K. P.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against LASK Linz?
Sturm Graz has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has LASK Linz won against Sturm Graz?
LASK Linz has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - LASK Linz were as follows:
01.08.2025
LASK Linz
-
Sturm Graz
0:2
27.10.2024
LASK Linz
-
Sturm Graz
1:2
12.05.2024
LASK Linz
-
Sturm Graz
2:2
07.04.2024
Sturm Graz
-
LASK Linz
1:0
05.11.2023
LASK Linz
-
Sturm Graz
3:1
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Latest results of LASK Linz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg ✔ | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | LASK | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | Austria Vienna | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 32 |
| 5 | Hartberg | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | SK Rapid | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 29 |
| 7 | Altach | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 28 |
| 8 | Ried | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 28 |
| 9 | Wolfsberger AC | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 25 |
| 10 | Tirol | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 26:28 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Grazer AK ✔ | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 20:33 | -13 | 17 |
| 12 | BW Linz ✔ | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 17:32 | -15 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Salzburg is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Grazer AK is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
BW Linz is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
