Result
0:2
01/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 1
- Referee: Lechner H. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | ORF 1, ORF On, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 2.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (450/514) | 84% (290/345) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 2.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 3.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (450/514) | 84% (290/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (23/43) | 58% (30/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (82/103) | 75% (89/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (3/26) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 83% (19/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.88 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Grgic L. ⚽,
- 12', 0 - 2, Kiteishvili O. (Pen),
- 38', Kiteishvili O. 🟨,
- 45', Adeniran S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Oermann T. ↓, Aiwu E. ↑,
- 53', Cisse M. 🟨,
- 66', Lang C. ↓, Danek K. ↑,
- 66', Cisse M. ↓, Bogarde M. ↑,
- 66', Grgic L. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,
- 74', Kacavenda L. ↓, Flecker F. ↑,
- 75', Usor M. ↓, Berisha V. ↑,
- 76', Horvat T. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
- 76', Boving W. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
- 79', Coulibaly I. 🟨,
- 83', Coulibaly I. ↓, Smakaj A. ↑,
- 86', Bello G. 🟨,
- 88', Hodl J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
Chances of winning
LASK Linz
27.4% | Draw
26.6% | Sturm Graz
45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LASK Linz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sturm Graz's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for LASK Linz than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sturm Graz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
LASK Linz - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.97 ↑
(3.03) |
3.97 ↑
(3.22) |
2.23 ↓
(2.45) |
-4.8%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for LASK Linz - Sturm Graz?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sturm Graz will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sturm Graz will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LASK won 1.
- LASK has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sturm is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in LASK: Entrup M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Geyrhofer N.
(Knee Injury)
Kayombo A.
(Ankle Injury)
Khudyakov D.
(Wrist Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LASK won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, LASK won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has LASK Linz won against Sturm Graz?
LASK Linz has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against LASK Linz?
Sturm Graz has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between LASK Linz - Sturm Graz were as follows:
27.10.2024
LASK Linz
-
Sturm Graz
1:2
12.05.2024
LASK Linz
-
Sturm Graz
2:2
07.04.2024
Sturm Graz
-
LASK Linz
1:0
05.11.2023
LASK Linz
-
Sturm Graz
3:1
05.08.2023
Sturm Graz
-
LASK Linz
2:0
Latest results of LASK Linz
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tirol | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Altach | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | SK Rapid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Salzburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 4 |
| 5 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Wolfsberger AC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Hartberg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Ried | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Austria Vienna | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Grazer AK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 11 | BW Linz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 12 | LASK | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
