LASK Linz vs Sturm Graz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Austrian Bundesliga LASK Linz - Sturm Graz
Result
0:2
01/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 1
  • Referee: Lechner H. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaORF 1, ORF On, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
germanyGermanySky Go Germany
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.732.82
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
17
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
88% (450/514)84% (290/345)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.732.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.043.88
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
2625
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
88% (450/514)84% (290/345)
Long passes
53% (23/43)58% (30/52)
Passes in final third
80% (82/103)75% (89/119)
Crosses
12% (3/26)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.801.40
Throw-ins
1811
Fouls
1114
Tackles
71% (12/17)83% (19/23)
Duels won
5859
Clearances
1530
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
3.880.04
Goals prevented
1.880.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Grgic L. ,
  • 12', 0 - 2, Kiteishvili O. (Pen),
  • 38', Kiteishvili O. 🟨,
  • 45', Adeniran S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Oermann T. , Aiwu E. ,
  • 53', Cisse M. 🟨,
  • 66', Lang C. , Danek K. ,
  • 66', Cisse M. , Bogarde M. ,
  • 66', Grgic L. , Jatta S. ,
  • 74', Kacavenda L. , Flecker F. ,
  • 75', Usor M. , Berisha V. ,
  • 76', Horvat T. , Hodl J. ,
  • 76', Boving W. , Beganovic B. ,
  • 79', Coulibaly I. 🟨,
  • 83', Coulibaly I. , Smakaj A. ,
  • 86', Bello G. 🟨,
  • 88', Hodl J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Kiteishvili O. , Rozga F. ,

Chances of winning


LASK Linz
27.4%
Draw
26.6%
Sturm Graz
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 29.6% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 30.3% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • LASK Linz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sturm Graz's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for LASK Linz than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sturm Graz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • LASK Linz - Sturm Graz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.97
    (3.03)
    3.97
    (3.22)
    2.23
    (2.45)
    -4.8%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for LASK Linz - Sturm Graz?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Sturm Graz will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sturm Graz will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LASK won 1.
    • LASK has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sturm is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in LASK: Entrup M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sturm: Geyrhofer N. (Knee Injury) Kayombo A. (Ankle Injury) Khudyakov D. (Wrist Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LASK won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, LASK won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between LASK Linz - Sturm Graz were as follows:
    27.10.2024 LASK Linz - Sturm Graz 1:2
    12.05.2024 LASK Linz - Sturm Graz 2:2
    07.04.2024 Sturm Graz - LASK Linz 1:0
    05.11.2023 LASK Linz - Sturm Graz 3:1
    05.08.2023 Sturm Graz - LASK Linz 2:0
    Latest results of LASK Linz
    26.07.2025 Wiener - LASK Linz 0:4
    19.07.2025 LASK Linz - Union Berlin 0:2
    18.07.2025 LASK Linz - Hajduk Split 2:1
    12.07.2025 LASK Linz - Trenčín 7:1
    09.07.2025 Brøndby - LASK Linz 1:0
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    Austrian Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SK Rapid54106:2413
    2Salzburg532014:5911
    3Sturm Graz43019:369
    4Tirol42209:548
    5Altach52214:228
    6Wolfsberger AC52127:527
    7Ried52128:717
    8Hartberg52037:8-16
    9Austria Vienna51135:9-44
    10LASK51044:12-83
    11Grazer AK50324:12-83
    12BW Linz50142:9-71

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