Sturm Graz vs Lugano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Club Friendly Sturm Graz - Lugano
Result
2:1
08/01/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WORLD: Club Friendly

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Grgic L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 2 - 0, (Own goal),
  • 71', 2 - 1, Koutsias G. ,

Chances of winning


Sturm Graz
40.7%
Draw
26.6%
Lugano
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 25% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 24.4% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz's form might have worsened.
  • Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturm Graz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sturm Graz - Lugano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (1.84)
    3.45
    (3.67)
    2.8
    (3.67)
    9.2%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • Sturm will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    11.12.2024 Lille - Sturm Graz 3:2
    27.11.2024 Sturm Graz - Girona 1:0
    Latest results of Lugano
    19.12.2024 Lugano - Paphos 2:2
    15.12.2024 Lugano - Lausanne-Sport 1:4
    12.12.2024 Legia Warsaw - Lugano 1:2
    07.12.2024 Luzern - Lugano 1:4
    04.12.2024 Yverdon - Lugano 0:2