Result
0:2
05/10/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 9
- Referee: Simsek I. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (180/292) | 74% (280/380) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (180/292) | 74% (280/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (24/66) | 40% (22/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (47/97) | 68% (113/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Jager L. 🟨,
- 28', Lavalee D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 61', Oermann T. ↓, Mitchell J. ↑,
- 61', Jatta S. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
- 63', Aiwu E. 🟨,
- 72', Hodl J. ↓, Beck J. ↑,
- 72', Malone M. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
- 73', Mustapha S. ↓, Hrstic S. ↑,
- 75', Diawara O. 🟨,
- 76', Greil P. ↓, Yalcin E. ↑,
- 79', Ingolitsch S. 🟨,
- 85', 0 - 1, Kiteishvili O. (Pen),
- 86', Ingolitsch F. 🟨,
- 88', Beck J. 🟨,
- 90', Jager L. ↓, Oswald M. ↑,
- 90', Lukacevic L. ↓, Gugganig L. ↑,
- 90+1', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
- 90+3', Christensen O. 🟨,
- 90+5', 0 - 2, Beganovic B. ⚽, Grgic L. (A),
Chances of winning
Rheindorf Altach
31.1% | Draw
28.5% | Sturm Graz
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rheindorf Altach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rheindorf Altach than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↓
(3.15) |
3.29 ↓
(3.62) |
2.34 ↑
(2.19) |
6.1%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz?
Users Predictions:
Sturm Graz will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sturm Graz will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Altach won 0.
- In recent matches, Altach has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sturm is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Altach may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sturm is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Altach: Demaku V.
(Broken collarbone)
Gugganig L.
(Injury)
Ouedraogo M.
(Red Card)
Tietietta S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sturm: Bendra K.
(Inactive)
Chukwuani T.
(Yellow Cards)
Kayombo A.
(Ankle Injury)
Khudyakov D.
(Wrist Injury)
Malic A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Altach won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:35. (average 0.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Altach won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Rheindorf Altach won against Sturm Graz?
Rheindorf Altach has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Rheindorf Altach?
Sturm Graz has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz were as follows:
30.11.2024
Rheindorf Altach
-
Sturm Graz
1:1
24.08.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Rheindorf Altach
2:1
10.12.2023
Sturm Graz
-
Rheindorf Altach
1:0
02.09.2023
Rheindorf Altach
-
Sturm Graz
1:2
06.11.2022
Rheindorf Altach
-
Sturm Graz
1:1
Latest results of Rheindorf Altach
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 18:7 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Salzburg | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | SK Rapid | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 4 | Wolfsberger AC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Ried | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Altach | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Hartberg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | LASK | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | BW Linz | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Tirol | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Grazer AK | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6:19 | -13 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
