Result
1:0
14/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 19
- Referee: Simsek I. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (273/382) | 74% (345/465) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (273/382) | 74% (345/465) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (32/67) | 34% (23/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (45/87) | 56% (65/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Mitchell J. 🟨,
- 65', Kayombo A. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
- 65', Malone M. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,
- 65', Fosso R. ↓, Weinhandl L. ↑,
- 68', Baden Frederiksen N. ↓, Sabitzer T. ↑,
- 75', Ola-Adebomi A. ↓, Hinterseer L. ↑,
- 75', Gazibegovic J. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 0, Lawrence J. ⚽, Muller V. (A),
- 89', Kubatta D. ↓, Gugganig D. ↑,
- 90', Wels M. ↓, Huetz C. ↑,
- 90+3', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Swarovski Tirol
31.9% | Draw
30% | Sturm Graz
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swarovski Tirol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swarovski Tirol's performance.Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sturm Graz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Swarovski Tirol - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↓
(3.85) |
3.11 ↓
(3.45) |
2.46 ↑
(1.87) |
6.5%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swarovski Tirol - Sturm Graz?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Swarovski Tirol will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Sturm will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sturm (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Swarovski Tirol (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB - Swarovski Tirol (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Swarovski Tirol (votes: 3 - 75%). Sturm (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swarovski Tirol won 1.
- Sturm has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sturm might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Swarovski Tirol: Butler Q.
(Knee Injury)
Sabitzer T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sturm: Grgic L.
(Knee Injury)
Khudyakov D.
(Inactive)
Lavalee D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Swarovski Tirol won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:37. (average 0.9:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swarovski Tirol won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.9:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Swarovski Tirol won against Sturm Graz?
Swarovski Tirol has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Swarovski Tirol?
Sturm Graz has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swarovski Tirol - Sturm Graz were as follows:
03.12.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Swarovski Tirol
1:3
07.12.2024
Swarovski Tirol
-
Sturm Graz
0:3
31.08.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Swarovski Tirol
4:2
25.02.2024
Swarovski Tirol
-
Sturm Graz
0:2
01.10.2023
Sturm Graz
-
Swarovski Tirol
1:0
Latest results of Swarovski Tirol
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg ✔ | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | LASK | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | Austria Vienna | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 32 |
| 5 | Hartberg | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | SK Rapid | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 29 |
| 7 | Altach | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 28 |
| 8 | Ried | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 28 |
| 9 | Wolfsberger AC | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 25 |
| 10 | Tirol | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 26:28 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Grazer AK ✔ | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 20:33 | -13 | 17 |
| 12 | BW Linz ✔ | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 17:32 | -15 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Salzburg is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Grazer AK is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
BW Linz is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
