Result
1:3
03/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 2.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (317/418) | 77% (299/386) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 2.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 2.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (317/418) | 77% (299/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (28/55) | 43% (24/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (54/80) | 59% (66/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 41% (7/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', Boras M. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Gorenc Stankovic J. ⚽, Horvat T. (A),
- 44', Aiwu E. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Jatta S. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
- 46', Horvat T. ↓, Geyrhofer N. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Baden Frederiksen N. ⚽, Taferner M. (A),
- 53', Ola-Adebomi A. 🟨,
- 56', Muller V. 🟨,
- 65', Wels M. 🟨,
- 66', Ola-Adebomi A. ↓, Hinterseer L. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Taferner M. ⚽, Wels M. (A),
- 69', Malone M. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
- 69', Rozga F. ↓, Kiteishvili O. ↑,
- 73', Geyrhofer N. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 3, Wels M. ⚽,
- 80', Wels M. ↓, Sabitzer T. ↑,
- 80', Baden Frederiksen N. ↓, Anselm T. ↑,
- 84', Malic A. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
- 88', Boras M. ↓, Jaunegg D. ↑,
- 88', Naschberger J. ↓, Huetz C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sturm Graz
57.3% | Draw
24.3% | Swarovski Tirol
18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Sturm Graz - Swarovski Tirol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.46) |
3.89 ↓
(4.98) |
5.11 ↓
(5.58) |
6.2%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Swarovski Tirol?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 58.6% – 97%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 5.
- In recent matches, Sturm has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Swarovski Tirol is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sturm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sturm is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Kayombo A.
(Ankle Injury)
Khudyakov D.
(Wrist Injury)
- There will not play in Swarovski Tirol: Falkner D.
(Inactive)
Ola-Adebomi A.
(Inactive)
Sulzbacher L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 36:11. (average 2.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:5. (average 2.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Swarovski Tirol?
Sturm Graz has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swarovski Tirol won against Sturm Graz?
Swarovski Tirol has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Swarovski Tirol were as follows:
07.12.2024
Swarovski Tirol
-
Sturm Graz
0:3
31.08.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Swarovski Tirol
4:2
25.02.2024
Swarovski Tirol
-
Sturm Graz
0:2
01.10.2023
Sturm Graz
-
Swarovski Tirol
1:0
19.03.2023
Swarovski Tirol
-
Sturm Graz
0:2
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Latest results of Swarovski Tirol
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 36:21 | 15 | 32 |
| 2 | LASK | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 29 |
| 3 | Sturm Graz | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 27:23 | 4 | 28 |
| 4 | Hartberg | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 26:22 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Ried | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23:23 | 0 | 26 |
| 6 | Austria Vienna | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 26 |
| 7 | SK Rapid | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Wolfsberger AC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25:21 | 4 | 24 |
| 9 | Altach | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | Tirol | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 24:26 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 | Grazer AK | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17:29 | -12 | 15 |
| 12 | BW Linz ✔ | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 15:29 | -14 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
BW Linz is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
