Result
2:2
01/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 21
- Referee: Lechner H. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 2.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (215/301) | 77% (269/349) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 2.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (215/301) | 77% (269/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/62) | 34% (20/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (47/80) | 65% (84/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Jatta S. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 0, Matic B. ⚽, Kojzek E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', Kujovic E. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 0, Kojzek E. ⚽, Sulzner M. (A),
- 59', Karic E. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
- 59', Beganovic B. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
- 60', Fosso R. 🟨,
- 61', Diabate C. 🟥,
- 67', Malone M. ↓, Kiteishvili O. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Kiteishvili O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 69', Rozga F. 🟨,
- 69', Atanga D. ↓, Wohlmuth F. ↑,
- 73', Kiteishvili O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 73', 2 - 2, Kiteishvili O. ⚽,
- 73', Kayombo A. 🟨,
- 80', Renner R. 🟨,
- 83', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
- 86', Fosso R. ↓, Weinhandl L. ↑,
- 86', Jatta S. ↓, Wilson R. ↑,
- 87', Kojzek E. ↓, Piesinger S. ↑,
- 87', Kujovic E. ↓, Chukwu E. ↑,
- 90+3', Zukic D. ↓, Agyeman E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wolfsberger
36.3% | Draw
28.2% | Sturm Graz
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wolfsberger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Wolfsberger - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↓
(2.68) |
3.34 ↑
(3.15) |
2.66 ↑
(2.45) |
6%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wolfsberger - Sturm Graz?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Wolfsberger will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Sturm will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sturm (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Sturm (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sturm (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsberger won 3.
- Wolfsberger is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Sturm has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Wolfsberger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Wolfsberger: Avdijaj D.
(Injury)
Ngankam J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pink M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sturm: Gazibegovic J.
(Injury)
Grgic L.
(Knee Injury)
Khudyakov D.
(Inactive)
Kiteishvili O.
(Injury)
Lavalee D.
(Knee Injury)
Mitchell J.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Mamageishvili G.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsberger won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:30. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsberger won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsberger won against Sturm Graz?
Wolfsberger has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Wolfsberger?
Sturm Graz has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsberger - Sturm Graz were as follows:
26.10.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Wolfsberger
1:3
24.05.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Wolfsberger
1:1
30.03.2025
Wolfsberger
-
Sturm Graz
1:1
15.02.2025
Wolfsberger
-
Sturm Graz
3:0
22.09.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Wolfsberger
0:3
Latest results of Wolfsberger
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 23 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 38:28 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | LASK | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 32:30 | 2 | 19 |
| 3 | SK Rapid | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 19 |
| 4 | Salzburg | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 42:27 | 15 | 18 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36:35 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
