Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Austrian Bundesliga Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger
Result
1:1
24/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Championship Group - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaORF 1, ORF On, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
germanyGermanySky Go Germany
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4, SportKlub 5
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.760.53
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
80% (352/442)75% (300/402)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.760.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.910.63
Total shots
127
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2110
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
115
Passes
80% (352/442)75% (300/402)
Long passes
35% (23/66)48% (31/65)
Passes in final third
64% (100/157)58% (48/83)
Crosses
25% (4/16)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.26
Throw-ins
2529
Fouls
511
Tackles
60% (9/15)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4848
Clearances
2729
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.631.91
Goals prevented
-0.370.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Boving W. , Horvat T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Grgic L. 🟨,
  • 58', Gattermayer A. , Pink M. ,
  • 65', Wuthrich G. 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Ballo T. , Zukic D. (A),
  • 72', Grgic L. , Camara A. ,
  • 73', Horvat T. , Yalcouye M. ,
  • 75', Altunashvili S. , Agyeman E. ,
  • 84', Karic E. , Aiwu E. ,
  • 86', Nwaiwu C. , Kojzek E. ,
  • 90', Boving W. , Mayulu F. ,
  • 90+1', Johnston M. , Malic A. ,

Chances of winning


Sturm Graz
48%
Draw
27.5%
Wolfsberger
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 26.5% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 27.9% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2.01)
    3.45
    (3.57)
    3.79
    (3.58)
    6%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Users Predictions: Sturm Graz will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sturm Graz will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 2.
    • Recent performances by Sturm have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wolfsberger is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Wolfsberger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Wolfsberger has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Sturm is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Geyrhofer N. (Knee Injury) Jatta S. (Ankle Injury) Mayulu F. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Wolfsberger: Sabitzer T. (Inactive) Scherzer J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sturm: Gorenc Stankovic J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsberger: Baumgartner D. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:32. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 1.5:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Wolfsberger - Sturm Graz 1:1
    15.02.2025 Wolfsberger - Sturm Graz 3:0
    22.09.2024 Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger 0:3
    03.03.2024 Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger 4:0
    08.10.2023 Wolfsberger - Sturm Graz 1:2
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    Latest results of Wolfsberger
    Austrian Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tirol00000:000
    2Grazer AK00000:000
    3Wolfsberger AC00000:000
    4Hartberg00000:000
    5Austria Vienna00000:000
    6LASK00000:000
    7SK Rapid00000:000
    8Salzburg00000:000
    9Ried00000:000
    10Altach00000:000
    11Sturm Graz00000:000
    12BW Linz00000:000

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