Result
1:3
26/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 11
- Referee: Spurny J. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (435/517) | 70% (200/284) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (435/517) | 70% (200/284) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (15/38) | 34% (23/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (174/231) | 57% (52/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (3/32) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 83% (20/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.75 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 8', Lavalee D. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Zukic D. ⚽, Schopf A. (A),
- 17', Baumgartner D. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 2, Piesinger S. ⚽, Matic B. (A),
- 32', 0 - 3, Renner R. ⚽, Matic B. (A),
- 37', Mitchell J. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
- 37', Hodl J. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 3, Rozga F. ⚽,
- 56', Jatta S. ↓, Malone M. ↑,
- 57', Grgic L. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
- 57', Lavalee D. ↓, Kiteishvili O. ↑,
- 63', Piesinger S. ↓, Sulzner M. ↑,
- 75', Baumgartner D. 🟨,
- 77', Gattermayer A. ↓, Chukwu E. ↑,
- 90', Zukic D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Pink M. ↓, Kojzek E. ↑,
- 90+4', Kojzek E. 🟨,
- 90+6', Wimmer N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sturm Graz
48.1% | Draw
26.3% | Wolfsberger
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.86) |
3.61 ↓
(3.7) |
3.72 ↑
(3.7) |
5.4%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sturm (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sturm Graz will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Sturm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sturm will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Wolfsberger: Atanga D.
(Muscle Injury)
Diabate C.
(Red Card)
Skubl D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:33. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 1.5:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Wolfsberger?
Sturm Graz has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsberger won against Sturm Graz?
Wolfsberger has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger were as follows:
24.05.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Wolfsberger
1:1
30.03.2025
Wolfsberger
-
Sturm Graz
1:1
15.02.2025
Wolfsberger
-
Sturm Graz
3:0
22.09.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Wolfsberger
0:3
03.03.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Wolfsberger
4:0
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Latest results of Wolfsberger
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 31:19 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | SK Rapid | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Austria Vienna | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 23 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | LASK | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 22 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22:18 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Wolfsberger AC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Ried | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 | Tirol | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Altach | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Grazer AK | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15:25 | -10 | 15 |
| 12 | BW Linz | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 14:26 | -12 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
