Wolfsberger vs Sturm Graz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Wolfsberger
37.8%
Draw
28.4%
Sturm Graz
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 28.9% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 29.3% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wolfsberger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Wolfsberger - Sturm Graz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.68)
    3.29
    (3.15)
    2.75
    (2.45)
    7.1%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsberger won 3.
    • Wolfsberger is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sturm has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sturm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsberger won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:30. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsberger won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsberger - Sturm Graz were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger 1:3
    24.05.2025 Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger 1:1
    30.03.2025 Wolfsberger - Sturm Graz 1:1
    15.02.2025 Wolfsberger - Sturm Graz 3:0
    22.09.2024 Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger 0:3
    Latest results of Wolfsberger
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    08.02.2026 Sturm Graz - Ried 1:0
    29.01.2026 Sturm Graz - Brann 1:0
    Austrian Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Salzburg ✔ 20106442:251736
    2Sturm Graz20111829:24534
    3LASK20103727:27033
    4Austria Vienna20102830:28232
    5Hartberg2087528:23531
    6SK Rapid2085724:24029
    7Altach2077621:20128
    8Ried2084825:26-128
    9Wolfsberger AC2074928:27125
    10Tirol2067726:28-225
    11Grazer AK ✔ 2038920:33-1317
    12BW Linz ✔ 20421417:32-1514

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Salzburg is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
    Grazer AK is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
    BW Linz is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )