Result
1:1
24/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Championship Group - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | ORF 1, ORF On, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4, SportKlub 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (352/442) | 75% (300/402) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (352/442) | 75% (300/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (23/66) | 48% (31/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (100/157) | 58% (48/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Boving W. ⚽, Horvat T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Grgic L. 🟨,
- 58', Gattermayer A. ↓, Pink M. ↑,
- 65', Wuthrich G. 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 1, Ballo T. ⚽, Zukic D. (A),
- 72', Grgic L. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
- 73', Horvat T. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
- 75', Altunashvili S. ↓, Agyeman E. ↑,
- 84', Karic E. ↓, Aiwu E. ↑,
- 86', Nwaiwu C. ↓, Kojzek E. ↑,
- 90', Boving W. ↓, Mayulu F. ↑,
- 90+1', Johnston M. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sturm Graz
48% | Draw
27.5% | Wolfsberger
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.01) |
3.45 ↓
(3.57) |
3.79 ↑
(3.58) |
6%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
Users Predictions:
Sturm Graz will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sturm Graz will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 2.
- Recent performances by Sturm have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wolfsberger is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Wolfsberger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Wolfsberger has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Sturm is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Geyrhofer N.
(Knee Injury)
Jatta S.
(Ankle Injury)
Mayulu F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Wolfsberger: Sabitzer T.
(Inactive)
Scherzer J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Gorenc Stankovic J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Wolfsberger: Baumgartner D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:32. (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 1.5:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Wolfsberger?
Sturm Graz has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsberger won against Sturm Graz?
Wolfsberger has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger were as follows:
30.03.2025
Wolfsberger
-
Sturm Graz
1:1
15.02.2025
Wolfsberger
-
Sturm Graz
3:0
22.09.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Wolfsberger
0:3
03.03.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Wolfsberger
4:0
08.10.2023
Wolfsberger
-
Sturm Graz
1:2
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Latest results of Wolfsberger
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tirol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Grazer AK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Wolfsberger AC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hartberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | LASK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | SK Rapid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Salzburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Ried | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Altach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Sturm Graz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | BW Linz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
