Sturt Lions vs Adelaide City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/04/2026 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Sturt Lions
26.1%
Draw
22.3%
Adelaide City
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.6% 21.1% 54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24% 20.6% 55.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sturt Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Adelaide City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide City than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Sturt Lions - Adelaide City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.5
    (3.77)
    4.09
    (4.4)
    1.77
    (1.71)
    9.5%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturt Lions won 0.
    • Recent performances by Sturt Lions have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Adelaide City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Adelaide City is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sturt Lions won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:21. (average 0.4:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sturt Lions won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sturt Lions - Adelaide City were as follows:
    17.06.2023 Sturt Lions - Adelaide City 2:2
    01.04.2023 Adelaide City - Sturt Lions 2:0
    Latest results of Sturt Lions
    Latest results of Adelaide City
    Australian NPL South Australian Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Adelaide City642017:71014
    2West Torrens642014:7714
    3Playford Patriots641114:8613
    4NE Metrostars632114:7711
    5Sturt Lions630315:1149
    6FK Beograd622210:738
    7West Adelaide622213:1128
    8Campbelltown City622212:1208
    9Adelaide United U2361327:9-26
    10Croydon61237:13-65
    11Adelaide Comets60153:14-111
    12Para60155:25-201

          Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ SA State League