Result
18/04/2026 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Sturt Lions 26.1% | Draw 22.3% | Adelaide City 51.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturt Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Adelaide City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide City than the current prediction. (+4%)
Sturt Lions - Adelaide City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.5 ↓ (3.77) |
4.09 ↓ (4.4) |
1.77 ↑ (1.71) |
9.5% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturt Lions won 0.
- Recent performances by Sturt Lions have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Adelaide City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Adelaide City is a strong favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sturt Lions won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:21. (average 0.4:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sturt Lions won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sturt Lions won against Adelaide City?
Sturt Lions has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide City won against Sturt Lions?
Adelaide City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturt Lions - Adelaide City were as follows:
17.06.2023
Sturt Lions
-
Adelaide City
2:2
01.04.2023
Adelaide City
-
Sturt Lions
2:0
Latest results of Sturt Lions
Latest results of Adelaide City
Australian NPL South Australian Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Adelaide City | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17:7 | 10 | 14 |
| 2 | West Torrens | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Playford Patriots | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | NE Metrostars | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 11 |
| 5 | Sturt Lions | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | FK Beograd | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | West Adelaide | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Campbelltown City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Adelaide United U23 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Croydon | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | -11 | 1 |
| 12 | Para | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:25 | -20 | 1 |
Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ SA State League