Sturt Lions vs West Adelaide – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian SA State League Sturt Lions - West Adelaide
Result
2:3 ET
13/09/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SA State League - Play Offs - Final

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Atkinson J. ,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Gollan C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 2 - 1, ,
  • 62', 2 - 2, ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 1)
  • 117', 2 - 3, ,
  • 120+2', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Sturt Lions
53.8%
Draw
23.9%
West Adelaide
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 22.6% 30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 21.1% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sturt Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sturt Lions's performance.
  • West Adelaide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and West Adelaide might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Adelaide than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that West Adelaide could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sturt Lions - West Adelaide Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.93)
    3.82
    (4)
    4.11
    (2.96)
    9.4%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturt Lions won 2.
    • Sturt Lions has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • West Adelaide is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Sturt Lions is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sturt Lions won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sturt Lions won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sturt Lions - West Adelaide were as follows:
    05.07.2025 West Adelaide - Sturt Lions 1:1
    12.04.2025 Sturt Lions - West Adelaide 3:2
    13.07.2024 West Adelaide - Sturt Lions 2:1
    20.04.2024 Sturt Lions - West Adelaide 1:0
    27.05.2023 West Adelaide - Sturt Lions 1:1
    Latest results of Sturt Lions
    Latest results of West Adelaide
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Sturt Lions (1)Bye
    2Salisbury Utd. (4)Blue Eagles (5)2 : 1
    3Fulham Utd. (2)Bye
    4West Adelaide (3)Cumberland Utd. (6)4 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sturt Lions (1)Salisbury Utd. (4)3 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Fulham Utd. (2)West Adelaide (3)0 : 2, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Sturt Lions (1)West Adelaide (3)2 : 3