Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 20
- Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 5, Sport TV2, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (433/513) | 69% (157/227) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (433/513) | 69% (157/227) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (26/50) | 45% (28/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (148/189) | 58% (53/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 27% (3/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Karazor A. 🟨,
- 53', Beste J. 🟨,
- 59', Hendriks R. ↓, Mittelstadt M. ↑,
- 60', Nartey N. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
- 68', Manzambi J. ↓, Osterhage P. ↑,
- 68', Beste J. ↓, Irie C. ↑,
- 76', Scherhant D. ↓, Grifo V. ↑,
- 76', Suzuki Y. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
- 77', El Khannouss B. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
- 77', Karazor A. ↓, Andres C. ↑,
- 78', Treu P. ↓, Ogbus B. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 0, Demirovic E. ⚽, Undav D. (A),
- 90+3', Undav D. ↓, Jaquez L. ↑,
- 90+3', Demirovic E. 🟨,
- 90+5', Mittelstadt M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Hoeness S. 🟨,
- 90+5', Schuster J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Stuttgart
57.2% | Draw
23.1% | Freiburg
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Stuttgart - Freiburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.71) |
4.16
(4.16) |
4.86 ↑
(4.41) |
4.5%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Stuttgart - Freiburg?
Users Predictions:
53 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 42 - 79.2%). Freiburg will win (votes: 4 - 7.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 13.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 68.3% – 90.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 11 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.75 - Stuttgart (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Stuttgart (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stuttgart will win (26 of 34 users predict this - 76.47%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 38 high ROI users predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 30 - 78.9%). Freiburg (votes: 4 - 10.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 10.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 3.
- Stuttgart is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Freiburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Stuttgart is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Stuttgart: Zagadou D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Stuttgart: Jovanovic L.
(Back Injury)
Tomas T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Freiburg: Kubler L.
(Injury)
Lienhart P.
(Abdominal strain)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 41:31. (average 2.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:11. (average 2.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Stuttgart won against Freiburg?
Stuttgart has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Stuttgart?
Freiburg has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stuttgart - Freiburg were as follows:
13.09.2025
Freiburg
-
Stuttgart
3:1
18.01.2025
Stuttgart
-
Freiburg
4:0
24.08.2024
Freiburg
-
Stuttgart
3:1
03.02.2024
Freiburg
-
Stuttgart
1:3
02.09.2023
Stuttgart
-
Freiburg
5:0
Latest results of Stuttgart
Latest results of Freiburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 85:21 | 64 | 60 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 49:22 | 27 | 52 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 49:30 | 19 | 46 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 44:32 | 12 | 43 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 44:32 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 43:28 | 15 | 39 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 34:37 | -3 | 33 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 46:49 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:37 | -8 | 28 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 25:32 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Koln | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Mainz | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26:38 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 22 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 33:49 | -16 | 20 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 22:40 | -18 | 20 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:44 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 22:51 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
