Result
3:1
13/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 3
- Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 6, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus |
 Albania | Tring Sport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 1 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3, SportKlub 4 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (281/360) | 83% (379/458) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.82 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (281/360) | 83% (379/458) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 45% (26/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (89/131) | 73% (95/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (5/33) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 60 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 2.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Demirovic E. ⚽, Leweling J. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 63', Bouanani B. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
- 64', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
- 76', Mittelstadt M. ↓, Hendriks R. ↑,
- 76', Demirovic E. ↓, Andres C. ↑,
- 78', Holer L. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Matanovic I. ⚽, Kubler L. (A),
- 86', Osterhage P. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
- 86', Beste J. ↓, Dinkci E. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Scherhant D. ⚽,
- 89', Karazor A. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
- 89', Vagnoman J. ↓, Assignon L. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Matanovic I. (Pen),
- 90+4', El Khannouss B. 🟨,
- 90+8', Schuster J. 🟨,
- 90+8', Manzambi J. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Freiburg
35.5% | Draw
26.9% | Stuttgart
37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stuttgart could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Freiburg - Stuttgart Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↓
(3.08) |
3.55 ↓
(3.58) |
2.52 ↑
(2.27) |
4.9%
(4.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Stuttgart?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 19 - 57.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 40.7% – 74.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 2 - 40%). Stuttgart (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Stuttgart: Al Dakhil A.
(Injury)
Bredlow F.
(Knee Injury)
Diehl J.
(Muscle Injury)
Jaquez L.
(Broken nose)
Silas
(Ankle Injury)
Undav D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Freiburg: Kyereh D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Stuttgart: Tomas T.
(Illness)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:42. (average 1.5:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Stuttgart?
Freiburg has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stuttgart won against Freiburg?
Stuttgart has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Stuttgart were as follows:
18.01.2025
Stuttgart
-
Freiburg
4:0
24.08.2024
Freiburg
-
Stuttgart
3:1
03.02.2024
Freiburg
-
Stuttgart
1:3
02.09.2023
Stuttgart
-
Freiburg
5:0
11.02.2023
Freiburg
-
Stuttgart
2:1
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of Stuttgart
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22:3 | 19 | 15 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 4 | FC Koln | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | St. Pauli | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Stuttgart | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Mainz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
| 16 | Augsburg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | B. Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
