Stuttgart vs Freiburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Stuttgart - Freiburg
Result
4:0
18/01/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportklub 7
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, RCTI+
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
montenegroMontenegroSportklub 7
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaSportklub 7
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 6
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 7
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, Flow Sports 1, Flowsports.co
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.080.32
Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
124
Shots on Goal
70
Shots off Goal
22
Blocked Shots
32
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
41
Shots inside the Box
102
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Goalkeeper Saves
03
Free Kicks
128
Offsides
22
Fouls
812
Yellow Cards
53
Throw-ins
1719
Touches in the Opposition Box
2211
Passes
87% (448/514)79% (319/403)
Passes in the final third
66% (62/94)58% (46/80)
Crosses
21% (3/14)17% (1/6)
Tackles
57% (8/14)56% (9/16)
Clearances Total
2016
Interceptions
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Rouault A. , Stiller A. (A),
  • 11', Vagnoman J. 🟨,
  • 15', Osterhage P. 🟨,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Demirovic E. , Stiller A. (A),
  • 20', Ginter M. , Lienhart P. ,
  • 45+5', 3 - 0, Woltemade N. (Pen),
  • 45+5', Millot E. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Lienhart P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Karazor A. 🟨,
  • 59', Grifo V. , Dinkci E. ,
  • 59', Gunter C. , Makengo J. ,
  • 61', Millot E. , Bruun Larsen J. ,
  • 61', Leweling J. , Fuhrich C. ,
  • 69', Woltemade N. , Keitel Y. ,
  • 69', Demirovic E. , Undav D. ,
  • 76', Rohl M. , Holer L. ,
  • 76', Adamu J. , Gregoritsch M. ,
  • 80', 4 - 0, Undav D. , Fuhrich C. (A),
  • 81', Al Dakhil A. , Chabot J. ,
  • 82', Bruun Larsen J. 🟨,
  • 82', Makengo J. 🟨,
  • 84', Undav D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Stuttgart
60.7%
Draw
21.6%
Freiburg
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 24.7% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 25.3% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stuttgart's performance.
  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Freiburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stuttgart that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Stuttgart - Freiburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (2.02)
    4.46
    (3.88)
    5.44
    (3.45)
    4%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Stuttgart - Freiburg?
  • Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (71 of 81 users predict this - 87.65%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.48%94.82%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Stuttgart won 2.
    • Stuttgart is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Freiburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Stuttgart could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Stuttgart is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Stuttgart: Diehl J. (Hamstring Injury) Mittelstadt M. (Groin Injury) Raimund L. (Thigh Injury) Toure E. B. (Foot Injury) Zagadou D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Ogbus B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Lienhart P. (Illness)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Stuttgart won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 40:30 (average 2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Stuttgart won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23:13 (average 2.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stuttgart - Freiburg were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Freiburg - Stuttgart 3:1
    03.02.2024 Freiburg - Stuttgart 1:3
    02.09.2023 Stuttgart - Freiburg 5:0
    11.02.2023 Freiburg - Stuttgart 2:1
    Latest results of Stuttgart
    15.01.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 2:1
    12.01.2025 Augsburg - Stuttgart 0:1
    05.01.2025 Stuttgart - Ajax 2:2
    21.12.2024 Stuttgart - St. Pauli 0:1
    15.12.2024 Heidenheim - Stuttgart 1:3
    Latest results of Freiburg
    11.01.2025 Freiburg - Holstein Kiel 3:2
    13.12.2024 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 3:2
    08.12.2024 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 1:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga