Mainz vs Stuttgart – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Mainz - Stuttgart
Result
2:0
25/01/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 19
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport App
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaMoja TV, Sportklub 9
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 9
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 8
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
montenegroMontenegroSportklub 9
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, Sportklub 9
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 9
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, Flow Sports 1, Flowsports.co
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.891.08
Ball Possession
43%57%
Goal Attempts
1110
Shots on Goal
45
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
32
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
92
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Free Kicks
812
Offsides
45
Fouls
128
Yellow Cards
43
Throw-ins
2117
Touches in the Opposition Box
2740
Passes
72% (255/356)82% (388/475)
Passes in the final third
61% (97/159)63% (77/122)
Crosses
20% (4/20)14% (2/14)
Tackles
59% (16/27)77% (10/13)
Clearances Total
2427
Interceptions
104

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Sano K. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Weiper N. , Nebel P. (A),
  • 36', Weiper N. 🟨,
  • 41', Zentner R. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Lee Jae-Sung 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Karazor A. 🟨,
  • 62', Mittelstadt M. , Hendriks R. ,
  • 62', Fuhrich C. , Leweling J. ,
  • 65', da Costa D. , Hanche-Olsen A. ,
  • 68', Stiller A. 🟨,
  • 72', Bruun Larsen J. , Demirovic E. ,
  • 72', Karazor A. , Rieder F. ,
  • 73', Weiper N. , Sieb A. ,
  • 74', Kohr D. , Leitsch M. ,
  • 86', 2 - 0, Caci A. , Sieb A. (A),
  • 88', Rouault A. , Chabot J. ,
  • 88', Caci A. , Widmer S. ,
  • 88', Chabot J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mainz
29%
Draw
27.5%
Stuttgart
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 26.5% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 26.5% 40.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Mainz - Stuttgart Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (2.91)
    3.49
    (3.61)
    2.21
    (2.36)
    3.9%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Mainz - Stuttgart?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 12 - 35.3%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 13 - 38.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 26.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 21.9%54.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mainz won 0.
    • Recent matches Mainz is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Stuttgart is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Mainz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Mainz: Burkardt J. (Thigh Injury) Jenz M. (Hip Injury) Vidovic G. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Stuttgart: Diehl J. (Hamstring Injury) Millot E. (Yellow Cards) Raimund L. (Thigh Injury) Toure E. B. (Foot Injury) Zagadou D. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Mainz won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:34 (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mainz won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:14 (average 0.9:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Stuttgart were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Stuttgart - Mainz 3:3
    11.02.2024 Stuttgart - Mainz 3:1
    16.09.2023 Mainz - Stuttgart 1:3
    21.05.2023 Mainz - Stuttgart 1:4
    21.01.2023 Stuttgart - Mainz 1:1
    Latest results of Mainz
    19.01.2025 Union Berlin - Mainz 2:1
    14.01.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz 1:0
    11.01.2025 Mainz - Bochum 2:0
    14.12.2024 Mainz - Bayern Munich 2:1
    Latest results of Stuttgart
    18.01.2025 Stuttgart - Freiburg 4:0
    15.01.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 2:1
    12.01.2025 Augsburg - Stuttgart 0:1
    05.01.2025 Stuttgart - Ajax 2:2
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga