Mainz vs Stuttgart – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German DFB Pokal
Result
0:2
29/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport, Sport+
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 2
norwayNorwayVG+
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN 2
spainSpainGolStadium
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.652.06
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
75% (322/427)73% (287/393)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
0.652.06
xG on target (xGOT)
0.262.16
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
57
Shots inside the Box
712
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2831
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
75% (322/427)73% (287/393)
Long passes
39% (26/67)33% (23/70)
Passes in final third
63% (90/143)64% (64/100)
Crosses
16% (3/19)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.49
Throw-ins
2226
Fouls
1410
Tackles
75% (12/16)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4649
Clearances
1823
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
2.160.26
Goals prevented
0.160.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 1', Hanche-Olsen A. 🟨,
  • 6', 0 - 1, Jaquez L. ⚽, El Khannouss B. (A),
  • 38', Kohr D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Sieb A. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
  • 60', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Hollerbach B. ↑,
  • 61', Undav D. 🟨,
  • 67', Mittelstadt M. ↓, Vagnoman J. ↑,
  • 67', Bouanani B. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
  • 69', Mwene P. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
  • 69', Widmer S. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
  • 73', 0 - 2, Karazor A. ⚽, Undav D. (A),
  • 74', Zentner R. 🟨,
  • 75', Veratschnig N. 🟨,
  • 82', El Khannouss B. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
  • 82', Undav D. ↓, Leweling J. ↑,
  • 83', Assignon L. 🟨,
  • 85', Maloney L. ↓, Boving W. ↑,
  • 86', Amiri N. 🟨,
  • 86', Fuhrich C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mainz
28.8%		Draw
27.1%		Stuttgart
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 25.9% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3% 25.3% 42%

Mainz - Stuttgart Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.55 ↑
(2.85)		 3.63 ↓
(3.65)		 2.16 ↓
(2.3)		 2.2%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mainz - Stuttgart?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 49.8% – 83.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stuttgart will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Stuttgart were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Stuttgart - Mainz 2:1
    25.01.2025 Mainz - Stuttgart 2:0
    31.08.2024 Stuttgart - Mainz 3:3
    11.02.2024 Stuttgart - Mainz 3:1
    16.09.2023 Mainz - Stuttgart 1:3
    Latest results of Mainz
    26.10.2025 Stuttgart - Mainz 2:1 ✺
    23.10.2025 Mainz - Zrinjski Mostar 1:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen 3:4 ✺
    05.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Mainz 4:0 ✺
    02.10.2025 Omonia - Mainz 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Stuttgart
    26.10.2025 Stuttgart - Mainz 2:1 ✺
    23.10.2025 Fenerbahçe - Stuttgart 1:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Wolfsburg - Stuttgart 0:3 ✺
    05.10.2025 Stuttgart - Heidenheim 1:0 ✺
    02.10.2025 Basel - Stuttgart 2:0 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    2Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    3RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    4WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    5CottbusHannover1 : 0
    6SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    7IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    8SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    9Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    10UlmElversberg0 : 1
    11LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    12RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    13SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    14LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    15LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    16Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1
    17BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    18PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    19HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    20FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    21HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    22BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    23SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    24BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    25EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    26RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    27Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    28GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    29DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    30MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    31NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    32Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4

    1/16-finals
    1Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    2FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    3CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    4IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3
    5Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    6Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    7DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    8DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0
    9HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    10WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    11AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    12MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    13Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    14PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    15B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    16St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Union BerlinBayern Munich2 : 3
    2RB LeipzigMagdeburg3 : 1
    3Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern6 : 1
    4FreiburgDarmstadt2 : 0
    5Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel1 : 2
    6BochumStuttgart0 : 2
    7DortmundBayer Leverkusen0 : 1
    8B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bayern MunichRB Leipzig
    2Hertha BerlinFreiburg
    3Holstein KielStuttgart
    4Bayer LeverkusenSt. Pauli
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