Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 26
  • Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
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argentinaArgentinaDisney+
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austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilCaze TV
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
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finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
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indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
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maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
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north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
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swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, MEGOGO Sport, Setanta Sports
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.201.11
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
44
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
56
Passes
76% (374/490)72% (262/365)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.201.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.080.78
Total shots
139
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
74
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
97
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
02
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1827
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
165
Passes
76% (374/490)72% (262/365)
Long passes
40% (34/86)36% (24/67)
Passes in final third
63% (91/145)63% (67/107)
Crosses
23% (5/22)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.191.64
Throw ins
1522
Fouls
516
Tackles
43% (9/21)71% (5/7)
Duels won
6546
Clearances
2231
Interceptions
1117
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
0.781.08
Goals prevented
0.780.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Romulo Cardoso 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', 1 - 0, Undav D. ⚽, Fuhrich C. (A),
  • 64', Banzuzi E. ↓, Gruda B. ↑,
  • 68', Karazor A. 🟨,
  • 69', Fuhrich C. ↓, Mittelstadt M. ↑,
  • 69', Demirovic E. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
  • 69', El Khannouss B. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
  • 71', Seiwald N. ↓, Schlager X. ↑,
  • 71', Nusa A. ↓, Bakayoko J. ↑,
  • 71', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Harder C. ↑,
  • 81', Leweling J. ↓, Assignon L. ↑,
  • 83', Schlager X. 🟨,
  • 85', Karazor A. ↓, Andres C. ↑,
  • 88', Baku R. ↓, Henrichs B. ↑,

Chances of winning


Stuttgart
38.8%		Draw
24.2%		RB Leipzig
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 23.8% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 23.3% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
    •

    Stuttgart - RB Leipzig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.47 ↑
    (2.3)    		 3.96 ↓
    (3.99)    		 2.6 ↓
    (2.73)    		 4.4%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Stuttgart - RB Leipzig?
  • Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 23 - 52.3%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 10 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 37.5% – 67.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 5 - 62.5%). RB Leipzig (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - RB Leipzig (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Stuttgart (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Stuttgart (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - RB Leipzig (1.99) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 8 - 50%). RB Leipzig (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Stuttgart: Jovanovic L. (Back Injury) Vagnoman J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Gulacsi P. (Knee Injury) Nedeljkovic K. (Back Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:32. (average 1.2:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stuttgart - RB Leipzig were as follows:
    01.11.2025 RB Leipzig - Stuttgart 3:1
    17.05.2025 RB Leipzig - Stuttgart 2:3
    02.04.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 3:1
    15.01.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 2:1
    27.01.2024 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 5:2
    Latest results of Stuttgart
    12.03.2026 Stuttgart - Porto 1:2 ✺
    07.03.2026 Mainz - Stuttgart 2:2 ✺
    01.03.2026 Stuttgart - Wolfsburg 4:0 ✺
    26.02.2026 Stuttgart - Celtic 0:1 ✺
    22.02.2026 Heidenheim - Stuttgart 3:3 ✺
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    07.03.2026 RB Leipzig - Augsburg 2:1 ✺
    01.03.2026 Hamburger SV - RB Leipzig 1:2 ✺
    21.02.2026 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 2:2 ✺
    15.02.2026 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 2:2 ✺
    11.02.2026 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 2:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 312641113:328182
    2Dortmund31207465:313467
    3RB Leipzig31195762:382462
    4Stuttgart31176863:432057
    5Hoffenheim31176861:451657
    6Bayer Leverkusen31167862:422055
    7Eintracht Frankfurt3111101056:58-243
    8Freiburg311271244:52-843
    9Augsburg311071439:55-1637
    10Mainz318101339:49-1034
    11B. Monchengladbach317111336:50-1432
    12Werder Bremen31881536:54-1832
    13Union Berlin31881535:55-2032
    14FC Koln317101445:53-831
    15Hamburger SV317101434:50-1631
    16St. Pauli31681726:53-2726
    17Wolfsburg31671841:66-2525
    18Heidenheim31571935:66-3122

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
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