Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 21
- Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 10 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 6, Sport TV2, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.88 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (222/305) | 86% (566/658) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.87 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (222/305) | 86% (566/658) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (22/66) | 47% (21/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (70/112) | 68% (99/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.07 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | 0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Saliakas M. ⚽, Pyrka A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', El Khannouss B. ↓, Leweling J. ↑,
- 55', 2 - 0, Sinani D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 57', Undav D. 🟨,
- 69', Vagnoman J. ↓, Assignon L. ↑,
- 69', Fuhrich C. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
- 72', Demirovic E. 🟨,
- 85', Karazor A. ↓, Andres C. ↑,
- 85', Demirovic E. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Leweling J. ⚽, Jeremy Arevalo (A),
- 90+5', Kaars M. ↓, Hara T. ↑,
- 90+5', Pyrka A. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
Chances of winning
St. Pauli
19.7% | Draw
24.8% | Stuttgart
55.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
St. Pauli - Stuttgart Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.83 ↑
(4.11) |
3.84 ↑
(3.69) |
1.73 ↓
(1.86) |
4.7%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Stuttgart?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- 1X2, 1st Half - Stuttgart (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 2nd Half - Stuttgart (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Stuttgart (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Stuttgart will win
(69 of 80 users predict this - 86.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.7% – 93.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stuttgart will win (45 of 47 users predict this - 95.74%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 50 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 48 - 96%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1.
- St. Pauli is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Stuttgart is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Stuttgart is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in St. Pauli: Hountondji A.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones R.J.
(Injury)
Metcalfe C.
(Knee Injury)
Nemeth D.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Stuttgart: Jovanovic L.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Pauli: Smith E.
(Heel Injury)
Wahl H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Stuttgart: Nartey N.
(Knock)
Tomas T.
(Muscle Injury)
Zagadou D.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Stuttgart?
St. Pauli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stuttgart won against St. Pauli?
Stuttgart has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Stuttgart were as follows:
19.09.2025
Stuttgart
-
St. Pauli
2:0
03.05.2025
St. Pauli
-
Stuttgart
0:1
21.12.2024
Stuttgart
-
St. Pauli
0:1
Latest results of St. Pauli
Latest results of Stuttgart
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 105:27 | 78 | 76 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 60:29 | 31 | 64 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 60:38 | 22 | 56 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 59:39 | 20 | 52 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57:43 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 54:54 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 9 | Mainz | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 36:53 | -17 | 33 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:50 | -17 | 32 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 31 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 43:50 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32:52 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 25 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 39:65 | -26 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32:64 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
