Stuttgart vs St. Pauli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Football German Bundesliga Stuttgart - St. Pauli
Result
2:0
19/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 4
  • Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 1
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
brazilBrazilSporTV
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
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chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
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peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports
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portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport 2, Okko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, SportKlub 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
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usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.711.17
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
87% (454/522)77% (337/440)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.711.17
xG on target (xGOT)
3.120.71
Total shots
179
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2414
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
87% (454/522)77% (337/440)
Long passes
44% (20/45)32% (19/59)
Passes in final third
71% (85/119)49% (40/81)
Crosses
25% (3/12)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.72
Throw-ins
2324
Fouls
1315
Tackles
50% (7/14)63% (10/16)
Duels won
5742
Clearances
2419
Interceptions
169
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.713.12
Goals prevented
0.711.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Stiller A. (Pen),
  • 40', Sands J. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Demirovic E. ⚽, Leweling J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', 2 - 0, El Khannouss B. ⚽, Demirovic E. (A),
  • 62', Hountondji A. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
  • 62', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Kaars M. ↑,
  • 67', Afolayan O. 🟨,
  • 73', Tomas T. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
  • 74', Sinani D. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
  • 82', Dzwigala A. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
  • 82', Saliakas M. ↓, Pyrka A. ↑,
  • 85', Demirovic E. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
  • 85', Mittelstadt M. ↓, Hendriks R. ↑,
  • 90+2', Andres C. ↓, Karazor A. ↑,
  • 90+2', Leweling J. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,

Chances of winning


Stuttgart
74.5%		Draw
20%		St. Pauli
5.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 23.1% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6% 25.6% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stuttgart's performance.
  • St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Pauli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stuttgart that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Pauli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Stuttgart - St. Pauli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.68 ↑
    (1.66)    		 7.02 ↑
    (4.12)    		 27.95 ↑
    (4.88)    		 -22.6%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Stuttgart - St. Pauli?
  • Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 30 - 68.2%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 9 - 20.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 54.4% – 82%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 4 - 66.7%). St. Pauli (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 3.
    • Stuttgart has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • St. Pauli is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Stuttgart has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Stuttgart is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Stuttgart: Bredlow F. (Knee Injury) Diehl J. (Muscle Injury) Silas (Ankle Injury) Stergiou L. (Ankle Injury) Undav D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Ceesay A. (Foot Injury) Irvine J. (Muscle Injury) Jones R.J. (Shoulder Injury) Mets K. (Knee Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stuttgart: Jaquez L. (Broken nose)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stuttgart - St. Pauli were as follows:
    03.05.2025 St. Pauli - Stuttgart 0:1
    21.12.2024 Stuttgart - St. Pauli 0:1
    Latest results of Stuttgart
    13.09.2025 Freiburg - Stuttgart 3:1 ✺
    03.09.2025 Sonnenhof Großaspach - Stuttgart 2:6
    30.08.2025 Stuttgart - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:0 ✺
    26.08.2025 Eintracht Braunschweig - Stuttgart 4:5 ✺
    23.08.2025 Union Berlin - Stuttgart 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    14.09.2025 St. Pauli - Augsburg 2:1 ✺
    03.09.2025 Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli 1:1
    29.08.2025 Hamburger SV - St. Pauli 0:2 ✺
    23.08.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund 3:3 ✺
    16.08.2025 Eintracht Norderstedt - St. Pauli 0:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich660025:32218
    2Dortmund642012:4814
    3RB Leipzig64118:8013
    4Stuttgart64028:6212
    5Bayer Leverkusen632112:8411
    6FC Koln631211:9210
    7Eintracht Frankfurt630317:1619
    8Freiburg62229:908
    9Hamburger SV62226:8-28
    10St. Pauli62138:9-17
    11Hoffenheim62139:12-37
    12Werder Bremen62139:14-57
    13Union Berlin62138:13-57
    14Augsburg620411:13-26
    15Wolfsburg61238:10-25
    16Mainz61145:10-54
    17B. Monchengladbach60335:12-73
    18Heidenheim61054:11-73

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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