St. Pauli vs Stuttgart – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg).

Bundesliga - Round 21
Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 10
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Sport TV2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.77	0.88
Ball possession
32%	68%
Total shots
15	8
Shots on target
7	3
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
5	5
Passes
73% (222/305)	86% (566/658)
Yellow cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.77	0.88
xG on target (xGOT)
2.87	0.72
Total shots
15	8
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked shots
5	2
Shots inside the box
10	6
Shots outside the box
5	2
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
22	26
Accurate through passes
1	2
Offsides
0	2
Free kicks
10	9
Passes
73% (222/305)	86% (566/658)
Long passes
33% (22/66)	47% (21/45)
Passes in final third
63% (70/112)	68% (99/145)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.28	1.07
Throw ins
17	24
Fouls
9	10
Tackles
67% (6/9)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
33	43
Clearances
38	16
Interceptions
11	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.72	2.87
Goals prevented
-0.28	0.87

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Saliakas M. ⚽, Pyrka A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', El Khannouss B. ↓, Leweling J. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Sinani D. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Undav D. 🟨,
69', Vagnoman J. ↓, Assignon L. ↑,
69', Fuhrich C. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
72', Demirovic E. 🟨,
85', Karazor A. ↓, Andres C. ↑,
85', Demirovic E. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Leweling J. ⚽, Jeremy Arevalo (A),
90+5', Kaars M. ↓, Hara T. ↑,
90+5', Pyrka A. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,

Chances of winning

St. Pauli
19.7%

Draw
24.8%

Stuttgart
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

25.8%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

25.2%

52.4%

St. Pauli - Stuttgart Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (4.11)	3.84 ↑ (3.69)	1.73 ↓ (1.86)	4.7% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Stuttgart?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Stuttgart (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Stuttgart (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Stuttgart (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (69 of 80 users predict this - 86.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.7% – 93.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stuttgart will win (45 of 47 users predict this - 95.74%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 50 high ROI users predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 48 - 96%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1.
St. Pauli is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Stuttgart is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Stuttgart is a strong favorite.
There will not play in St. Pauli: Hountondji A. (Ankle Injury) Jones R.J. (Injury) Metcalfe C. (Knee Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)
There will not play in Stuttgart: Jovanovic L. (Back Injury)
There are questionable in St. Pauli: Smith E. (Heel Injury) Wahl H. (Injury)
There are questionable in Stuttgart: Nartey N. (Knock) Tomas T. (Muscle Injury) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Stuttgart?

St. Pauli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stuttgart won against St. Pauli?

Stuttgart has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Stuttgart were as follows:

19.09.2025 Stuttgart - St. Pauli 2:0

03.05.2025 St. Pauli - Stuttgart 0:1

21.12.2024 Stuttgart - St. Pauli 0:1

Latest results of St. Pauli

03.02.2026 Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli 3:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Augsburg - St. Pauli 2:1 ✺

27.01.2026 St. Pauli - RB Leipzig 1:1 ✺

23.01.2026 St. Pauli - Hamburger SV 0:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Borussia Dortmund - St. Pauli 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Stuttgart

04.02.2026 Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart 0:3 ✺

01.02.2026 Stuttgart - Freiburg 1:0 ✺

29.01.2026 Stuttgart - Young Boys 3:2 ✺

25.01.2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Stuttgart 0:3 ✺

22.01.2026 Roma - Stuttgart 2:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	21	17	3	1	79:19	60	54
2	Dortmund	21	14	6	1	43:20	23	48
3	Hoffenheim	21	13	3	5	44:28	16	42
4	RB Leipzig	21	12	3	6	40:28	12	39
5	Stuttgart	21	12	3	6	38:28	10	39
6	Bayer Leverkusen	20	11	3	6	39:27	12	36
7	Freiburg	21	8	6	7	32:33	-1	30
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	21	7	7	7	41:46	-5	28
9	Union Berlin	21	6	7	8	26:34	-8	25
10	FC Koln	21	6	5	10	30:34	-4	23
11	Hamburger SV	20	5	7	8	21:29	-8	22
12	B. Monchengladbach	21	5	7	9	25:34	-9	22
13	Augsburg	21	6	4	11	24:39	-15	22
14	Mainz	21	5	6	10	25:33	-8	21
15	Wolfsburg	21	5	4	12	29:44	-15	19
16	Werder Bremen	21	4	7	10	22:39	-17	19
17	St. Pauli	21	4	5	12	20:35	-15	17
18	Heidenheim	21	3	4	14	19:47	-28	13

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga