St. Pauli vs Stuttgart – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 21
  • Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 10
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6, Sport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.770.88
Ball possession
32%68%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
73
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
55
Passes
73% (222/305)86% (566/658)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
1.770.88
xG on target (xGOT)
2.870.72
Total shots
158
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
33
Blocked shots
52
Shots inside the box
106
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2226
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
02
Free kicks
109
Passes
73% (222/305)86% (566/658)
Long passes
33% (22/66)47% (21/45)
Passes in final third
63% (70/112)68% (99/145)
Crosses
31% (4/13)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.281.07
Throw ins
1724
Fouls
910
Tackles
67% (6/9)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3343
Clearances
3816
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
0.722.87
Goals prevented
-0.280.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Saliakas M. ⚽, Pyrka A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', El Khannouss B. ↓, Leweling J. ↑,
  • 55', 2 - 0, Sinani D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 57', Undav D. 🟨,
  • 69', Vagnoman J. ↓, Assignon L. ↑,
  • 69', Fuhrich C. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
  • 72', Demirovic E. 🟨,
  • 85', Karazor A. ↓, Andres C. ↑,
  • 85', Demirovic E. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Leweling J. ⚽, Jeremy Arevalo (A),
  • 90+5', Kaars M. ↓, Hara T. ↑,
  • 90+5', Pyrka A. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,

Chances of winning


St. Pauli
19.7%		Draw
24.8%		Stuttgart
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.1% 25.8% 51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5% 25.2% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
    •

    St. Pauli - Stuttgart Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.83 ↑
    (4.11)    		 3.84 ↑
    (3.69)    		 1.73 ↓
    (1.86)    		 4.7%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Stuttgart?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Stuttgart (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Stuttgart (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Stuttgart (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (69 of 80 users predict this - 86.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.7% – 93.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stuttgart will win (45 of 47 users predict this - 95.74%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 50 high ROI users predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 48 - 96%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1.
    • St. Pauli is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Stuttgart is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Stuttgart is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Hountondji A. (Ankle Injury) Jones R.J. (Injury) Metcalfe C. (Knee Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Stuttgart: Jovanovic L. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Pauli: Smith E. (Heel Injury) Wahl H. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stuttgart: Nartey N. (Knock) Tomas T. (Muscle Injury) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Stuttgart were as follows:
    19.09.2025 Stuttgart - St. Pauli 2:0
    03.05.2025 St. Pauli - Stuttgart 0:1
    21.12.2024 Stuttgart - St. Pauli 0:1
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    03.02.2026 Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli 3:0 ✺
    31.01.2026 Augsburg - St. Pauli 2:1 ✺
    27.01.2026 St. Pauli - RB Leipzig 1:1 ✺
    23.01.2026 St. Pauli - Hamburger SV 0:0 ✺
    17.01.2026 Borussia Dortmund - St. Pauli 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Stuttgart
    04.02.2026 Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart 0:3 ✺
    01.02.2026 Stuttgart - Freiburg 1:0 ✺
    29.01.2026 Stuttgart - Young Boys 3:2 ✺
    25.01.2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Stuttgart 0:3 ✺
    22.01.2026 Roma - Stuttgart 2:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich24203188:236563
    2Dortmund24157251:252652
    3Hoffenheim24144649:311846
    4Stuttgart24144648:321646
    5RB Leipzig24135646:331344
    6Bayer Leverkusen23124744:291540
    7Eintracht Frankfurt2497848:49-134
    8Freiburg2496934:39-533
    9Augsburg24941130:41-1131
    10Union Berlin24771029:38-928
    11Hamburger SV2368926:34-826
    12B. Monchengladbach24671127:39-1225
    13FC Koln24661233:41-824
    14Mainz24581127:39-1223
    15St. Pauli24651323:40-1723
    16Werder Bremen24571225:44-1922
    17Wolfsburg24551433:53-2020
    18Heidenheim24351622:53-3114

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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