Sudan vs Iraq, FIFA Arab Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
06/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FIFA Arab Cup - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
qatarQatarShoof

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.590.53
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
73% (254/347)75% (267/356)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.590.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.040.97
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1516
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
73% (254/347)75% (267/356)
Long passes
37% (25/67)51% (39/77)
Passes in final third
47% (34/73)55% (70/128)
Crosses
39% (7/18)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.35
Throw-ins
1915
Fouls
1411
Tackles
75% (9/12)86% (12/14)
Duels won
4553
Clearances
1628
Interceptions
1213
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.970.04
Goals prevented
-1.030.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', Mano J. 🟨,
  • 58', Karim S. , Saadoon M. ,
  • 58', Al Saedi H. , Attwan A. ,
  • 58', Muhsin A. , Meme ,
  • 59', Saadoon M. 🟨,
  • 68', Taifour A. , Mozamil Y. ,
  • 74', Jawad M. , Jasim A. ,
  • 76', Omer A. , Manan A. ,
  • 76', Mano J. , Nooh A. G. ,
  • 81', Abdulkareem H. , Yahya A. ,
  • 82', 0 - 1, Meme ,
  • 84', 0 - 2, Attwan A. , Jasim A. (A),
  • 87', Maknzi A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Jobak Y. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sudan
27.5%
Draw
30.6%
Iraq
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.7% 25% 55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19% 24.1% 57.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sudan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sudan's performance.
  • Iraq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iraq might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sudan than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sudan that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iraq than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iraq could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sudan - Iraq Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.37
    (4.6)
    3.03
    (3.63)
    2.22
    (1.64)
    7.8%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Sudan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Iraq is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Iraq may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Iraq is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Sudan
    03.12.2025 Algeria - Sudan 0:0
    26.11.2025 Sudan - Lebanon 2:1
    14.11.2025 Oman - Sudan 2:0
    14.10.2025 D.R. Congo - Sudan 1:0
    10.10.2025 Sudan - Mauritania 0:0
    Latest results of Iraq
    03.12.2025 Iraq - Bahrain 2:1
    14.10.2025 Saudi Arabia - Iraq 0:0
    11.10.2025 Iraq - Indonesia 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Palestine (A1)Saudi Arabia (B2)1 : 2
    2Jordan (C1)Iraq (D2)1 : 0
    3Morocco (B1)Syria (A2)1 : 0
    4Algeria (D1)United Arab Emirates (C2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Saudi Arabia (B2)Jordan (C1)0 : 1
    2Morocco (B1)United Arab Emirates (C2)3 : 0

    Final
    1Jordan (C1)Morocco (B1)2 : 3

    3rd place
    2Saudi Arabia (B2)United Arab Emirates (C2)0 : 0