Result
1:0 ET
26/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- African Nations Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 5 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Cameroon | CRTV Sports |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Sports 1 |
 Kenya | Gotv, KBC Channel 1 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Madagascar | MATV |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 South-africa | SABC Plus |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Uganda | FUFA TV, UBC TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 2.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (293/399) | 72% (279/385) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 2.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (293/399) | 72% (279/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (31/77) | 40% (34/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (72/113) | 51% (69/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/24) | 19% (6/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 79 | 90 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.05 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Tia Asad M. 🟨,
- 4', Rakotondrajoa A. ↓, Randrianantenaina H. ↑,
- 19', Randriamanampsioa N. 🟨,
- 32', Razafimahatana M. 🟨,
- 36', Simbo M. 🟨,
- 42', Randriamanampisoa N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Tia Asad M. ↓, Abdalla M. ↑,
- 65', Hasinirina O. ↓, Rajaonarivelo R. ↑,
- 65', Razafimahatana M. ↓, Rakotondraibe T. ↑,
- 69', Al-Bahli M. ↓, Zaid A. ↑,
- 75', Razafimaro F. 🟨,
- 79', Razafimaro F. 🟨,
- 81', Walieldin Khidir 🟨,
- 84', Alrashed M. ↓, Saeed Ahmed M. ↑,
- 90', Randrianirina H. ↓, Manohantsoa F. ↑,
- Extra Time (1 - 0)
- 96', Simbo M. ↓, Makeen M. ↑,
- 104', Saeed Ahmed M. 🟨,
- 113', Rabemanantsoa R. 🟨,
- 116', 1 - 0, Rakotondraibe T. ⚽, Rafanomezantsoa L. C. (A),
Chances of winning
Madagascar
28.3% | Draw
34.6% | Sudan
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Madagascar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)The chances for Sudan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Madagascar - Sudan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.3 ↑
(3.04) |
2.67 ↓
(2.82) |
2.51 ↑
(2.48) |
7.6%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Madagascar - Sudan?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Madagascar will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Sudan will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sudan: 47.7% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sudan will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Madagascar is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sudan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sudan might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Madagascar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Madagascar won against Sudan?
Madagascar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sudan won against Madagascar?
Sudan has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Madagascar - Sudan were as follows:
23.01.2023
Sudan
-
Madagascar
0:3
Latest results of Madagascar
Draw
Final tournamentQuarter-finals| 1 | Kenya (A1) | Madagascar (B2) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Sudan (D1) | Algeria (C2) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Tanzania (B1) | Morocco (A2) | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Uganda (C1) | Senegal (D2) | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Madagascar (B2) | Sudan (D1) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Morocco (A2) | Senegal (D2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Madagascar (B2) | Morocco (A2) | 2 : 3 |
3rd place| 2 | Sudan (D1) | Senegal (D2) | 1 : 2 |
