Result
3:1
03/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Africa Cup of Nations - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport PSL |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4 |
 Australia | beIN Sports 3 |
 Brazil | BandSports |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Italy | Sportitalia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 2 |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 United-kingdom | 4Seven, Channel 4 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Zambia | ZNBC 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (412/487) | 70% (165/235) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (412/487) | 70% (165/235) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (34/54) | 27% (14/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (101/137) | 49% (37/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 0% (0/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Abdallah A. ⚽, Khidir W. (A),
- 13', Jakobs I. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Gueye P. ⚽, Mane S. (A),
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Gueye P. ⚽, Jackson N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Jackson N. 🟨,
- 53', Jakobs I. ↓, Diouf M. ↑,
- 53', Jackson N. ↓, Dia B. ↑,
- 61', Karshom M. ↓, Abaker A. ↑,
- 68', Abdelrahman M. ↓, Alhassan S. ↑,
- 70', Barglan S. 🟨,
- 73', Diarra H. ↓, Camara L. ↑,
- 74', Sarr I. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
- 77', 3 - 1, Mbaye I. ⚽, Mane S. (A),
- 79', Khidir W. ↓, Mano J. ↑,
- 79', Abuaagla M. ↓, Nooh A. G. ↑,
- 79', Abdallah A. ↓, Omer A. ↑,
- 85', Alhassan S. 🟨,
- 87', Gueye P. ↓, Ciss P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Senegal
83.1% | Draw
12.6% | Sudan
4.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Senegal - Sudan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.14 ↓
(1.28) |
7.43 ↑
(5.15) |
22.96 ↑
(13.39) |
5.4%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Senegal - Sudan?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Senegal will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Senegal: 71.3% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Senegal won 3.
- Sudan is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sudan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Senegal is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Senegal: Camara I.
(Muscle Injury)
Diao A.
(Thigh Injury)
Koulibaly K.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Sudan: Alhassan S.
(Injury)
Eisa A.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Senegal won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.3:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Senegal won against Sudan?
Senegal has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sudan won against Senegal?
Sudan has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Senegal - Sudan were as follows:
05.09.2025
Senegal
-
Sudan
2:0
29.08.2025
Sudan
-
Senegal
1:2
19.08.2025
Sudan
-
Senegal
0:0
22.03.2025
Sudan
-
Senegal
0:0
Latest results of Senegal
Draw
Final tournament1/8-finals| 1 | Mali (A2) | Tunisia (C2) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Senegal (D1) | Sudan (E3) | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Egypt (B1) | Benin (D3) | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Ivory Coast (F1) | Burkina Faso (E2) | 3 : 0 |
| 5 | Algeria (E1) | D.R. Congo (D2) | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Nigeria (C1) | Mozambique (F3) | 4 : 0 |
| 7 | South Africa (B2) | Cameroon (F2) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Morocco (A1) | Tanzania (C3) | 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Mali (A2) | Senegal (D1) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Egypt (B1) | Ivory Coast (F1) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Algeria (E1) | Nigeria (C1) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Cameroon (F2) | Morocco (A1) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Senegal (D1) | Egypt (B1) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Nigeria (C1) | Morocco (A1) | 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Senegal (D1) | Morocco (A1) | 1 : 0 |
3rd place| 2 | Egypt (B1) | Nigeria (C1) | 0 : 1 |
