Ascoli vs Südtirol-Alto Adige – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Ascoli - Südtirol-Alto Adige
Result
1:2
04/02/2024 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 23
  • Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ascoli
43.6%
Draw
31.9%
Südtirol-Alto Adige
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 28.8% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 28.5% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Südtirol-Alto Adige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Südtirol-Alto Adige could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ascoli - Südtirol-Alto Adige Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.28)
    2.96
    (3.23)
    3.83
    (3.07)
    6.2%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Ascoli - Südtirol-Alto Adige?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ascoli: 35.4%82.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 15).
    • Recent matches Ascoli is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Südtirol is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Südtirol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Ascoli will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ascoli - Südtirol-Alto Adige were as follows:
    02.09.2023 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ascoli 3:1
    15.04.2023 Ascoli - Südtirol-Alto Adige 1:0
    27.11.2022 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ascoli 2:2
    Latest results of Ascoli
    27.01.2024 Como - Ascoli 0:2
    21.01.2024 Ascoli - Bari 2:2
    14.01.2024 Parma - Ascoli 1:1
    26.12.2023 Ascoli - Cittadella 0:0
    23.12.2023 Pisa - Ascoli 1:0
    Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2