Result
1:2
07/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A Lyga - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Lithuania | LRT TV |
 Serbia | SportKlub 3 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Petkevicius N. ⚽, Haidara A. (A),
- 26', Vaicekauskas D. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 2, Sanokho S. M. ⚽, Tangiri F. (A),
- 45', 1 - 2, De Vega L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Vaicekauskas D. ↓, Elivelton ↑,
- 65', 🟨,
- 67', Krasniqi L. ↓, Veliulis E. ↑,
- 67', Haidara A. ↓, Stankevicius D. ↑,
- 67', Tangiri F. ↓, Momoh I. ↑,
- 76', Smith A. 🟨,
- 79', Sanokho S. M. ↓, Lucky T. ↑,
- 83', Kouadio S. ↓, Asamoah K. ↑,
- 88', Sakurai K. ↓, Pyrogov M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Panevėžys
33.9% | Draw
29.2% | Sūduva Marijampolė
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panevėžys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panevėžys's form might have worsened.Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sūduva Marijampolė's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panevėžys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sūduva Marijampolė, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Panevėžys - Sūduva Marijampolė Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.09) |
3.12 ↓
(3.5) |
2.47 ↓
(2.9) |
9.9%
(10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Panevėžys - Sūduva Marijampolė?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Panevėžys will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Sūduva will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panevėžys: 2.5% – 64.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Panevėžys (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys won 3.
- Panevėžys is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sūduva is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sūduva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Panevėžys won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Panevėžys won against Sūduva Marijampolė?
Panevėžys has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sūduva Marijampolė won against Panevėžys?
Sūduva Marijampolė has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panevėžys - Sūduva Marijampolė were as follows:
04.05.2025
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Panevėžys
0:0
16.03.2025
Panevėžys
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
0:0
01.09.2024
Panevėžys
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
0:0
26.06.2024
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Panevėžys
1:3
02.05.2024
Panevėžys
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
1:0
Latest results of Panevėžys
Latest results of Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian A Lyga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kauno Zalgiris | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 41:10 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | Suduva | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | Hegelmann | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 37 |
| 4 | Siauliai FA | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 32 |
| 5 | Zalgiris | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 28 |
| 6 | Dziugas Telsiai | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | FK Panevezys | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | Banga | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 16:23 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Riteriai | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 24:44 | -20 | 14 |
| 10 | Dainava Alytus | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16:43 | -27 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
A Lyga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ I Lyga
