Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (233/304) | 77% (222/289) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (233/304) | 77% (222/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/60) | 53% (31/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (51/91) | 52% (49/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.56 | -1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', Weslen Junior 🟨,
- 23', Joao Afonso 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Kanlayanabandit S. (Own goal),
- 42', Otton C. 🟨,
- 45+7', Weslen Junior 🟨,
- 45+7', Otton C. 🟥,
- 45+13', Chatthong S. ↓, Phatthaphon P. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 1, Romeu (Penalty Awarded),
- 60', Ratree S. ↓, Amornlerdsak A. ↑,
- 64', Mateusinho ↓, Paredes J. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Paredes J. ⚽, Romeu (A),
- 75', Ito R. ↓, Sarakum M. ↑,
- 75', Phusirit W. ↓, Romphopak S. ↑,
- 83', Paredes J. 🟨,
- 84', Sontisawat S. ↓, Hempandan T. ↑,
- 90+1', Mhuaddarak T. ↓, Jansuwan P. ↑,
- 90+1', Baggio J. ↓, Denman A. ↑,
- 90+6', Romeu 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sukhothai
33.9% | Draw
27.2% | Rayong FC
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Rayong FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)The ML Model estimate for Sukhothai aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayong FC than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Sukhothai - Rayong FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↓
(2.77) |
3.34 ↓
(3.35) |
2.34
(2.34) |
10.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 3.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Rayong FC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Rayong FC has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sukhothai won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sukhothai won against Rayong FC?
Sukhothai has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rayong FC won against Sukhothai?
Rayong FC has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sukhothai - Rayong FC were as follows:
01.11.2025
Rayong FC
-
Sukhothai
2:0
08.03.2025
Rayong FC
-
Sukhothai
2:1
26.10.2024
Sukhothai
-
Rayong FC
3:1
Latest results of Sukhothai
Latest results of Rayong FC
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 67:21 | 46 | 62 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 48:21 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:23 | 15 | 43 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 42 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 41 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 36:33 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya Utd | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 | Chonburi | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30:34 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Sukhothai | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 25 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 30:43 | -13 | 23 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 26:46 | -20 | 22 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22:46 | -24 | 18 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16:39 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
