Jay Clarke vs Sumit Nagal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Tampere Challenger Men Jay Clarke - Sumit Nagal
Result
0:2
22/07/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tampere, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
61%71%
1st Serve Points Won
49% (21/43)61% (31/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
33% (9/27)43% (9/21)
Break Points Saved
60% (9/15)50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
39% (20/51)51% (22/43)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (12/21)67% (18/27)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)40% (6/15)
Service Points Won
43% (30/70)56% (40/72)
Return Points Won
44% (32/72)57% (40/70)
Total Points Won
44% (62/142)56% (80/142)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
33% (3/9)60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)67% (6/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Jay Clarke
38.6%
Sumit Nagal
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jay Clarke's form might have worsened.
  • Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sumit Nagal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jay Clarke, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jay Clarke - Sumit Nagal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (1.73)

    1.52
    (2)
    6.8%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Jay Clarke - Sumit Nagal?
  • Users Predictions: Sumit Nagal will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Clarke is ranked ATP: 199. Nagal is ranked ATP: 287.
    • Clarke has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Nagal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Nagal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Clarke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jay Clarke - Sumit Nagal were as follows:
    17.02.2023 Sumit Nagal - Jay Clarke 2:0
    Latest results of Jay Clarke
    01.07.2025 Daniel Evans - Jay Clarke 3:0
    14.06.2025 Alex Bolt - Jay Clarke 2:0
    14.06.2025 Rinky Hijikata - Jay Clarke Canceled
    09.06.2025 Leandro Riedi - Jay Clarke 2:0
    Latest results of Sumit Nagal
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Nagal S. (Alt)0 : 2
    2Ahti V. (WC)Houkes M.0 : 2
    3Kicker N. (Q)Geerts M.2 : 1
    4Zahraj P.Durasovic V. (5)1 : 2
    5Popko D. (4)Bailly G. A. (NG)0 : 2
    6Skatov T. (RET.)Faurel T. (Q)0 : 1
    7Reis Da Silva J. (Q)Bueno G.2 : 0
    8Gueymard Wayenburg S.Coppejans K. (6)2 : 1
    9Cina F. (7)Pucinelli de Almeida M.2 : 0
    10Molcan A. (Q)Gakhov I.1 : 2
    11Michalski D. (Alt)Barton H. (Q)0 : 2
    12Negritu Ch.Rincon D. (3)0 : 2
    13Ferreira Silva F. (8)Vasa E. (WC)2 : 0
    14Budkov Kjaer N. (JR)Barrena A.2 : 0
    15Erhard M.Paldanius O. (WC)2 : 0
    16Thanos A. (Q)Onclin G. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Nagal S.Houkes M.2 : 0
    2Kicker N.Durasovic V. (5)2 : 1
    3Bailly G. A.Faurel T.2 : 0
    4Reis Da Silva J.Gueymard Wayenburg S.0 : 2
    5Cina F. (7)Gakhov I.2 : 0
    6Barton H.Rincon D. (3)2 : 1
    7Ferreira Silva F. (8)Budkov Kjaer N.0 : 2
    8Erhard M.Onclin G. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Nagal S.Kicker N.2 : 0
    2Bailly G. A.Gueymard Wayenburg S.0 : 2
    3Cina F. (7)Barton H.1 : 2
    4Budkov Kjaer N.Erhard M. (RET.)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Nagal S.Gueymard Wayenburg S.0 : 2
    2Barton H.Budkov Kjaer N.0 : 2

    Final
    1Gueymard Wayenburg S.Budkov Kjaer N.1 : 2