Result
2:1
11/07/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 55% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (28/42) | 55% (18/33) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (14/27) | 37% (10/27) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 13% (1/8) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (15/33) | 33% (14/42) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (17/27) | 48% (13/27) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 80% (4/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 31 | 51 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 86% (6/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (42/69) | 47% (28/60) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (32/60) | 39% (27/69) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (74/129) | 43% (55/129) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 36% (4/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 33% (4/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 35% (8/23) |
Chances of winning
Sumit Nagal
57.1% | Maxim Mrva
42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Sumit Nagal - Maxim Mrva Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.62) |
|
2.19 ↓
(2.22) |
6.9%
(6.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Sumit Nagal - Maxim Mrva?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Mrva will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagal: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nagal (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Nagal is ranked ATP: 296. Mrva is ranked ATP: 501.
- Right now, both players are showing solid form.
- Mrva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Sumit Nagal won against Maxim Mrva?
Sumit Nagal has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Maxim Mrva won against Sumit Nagal?
Maxim Mrva has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sumit Nagal - Maxim Mrva were as follows:
Latest results of Sumit Nagal
Latest results of Maxim Mrva
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Tseng C. H. (1) | Nagal S. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Cecchinato M. (WC) | Mena F. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Ficovich J. P. | Cina F. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Mrva M. (Q) | Basilashvili N. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Svrcina D. (3) | Dodig M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Rodionov J. | Zeppieri G. (RET.) (WC) | 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Gomez F. A. | Neumayer L. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Collarini A. (Q) | Gigante M. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Gaubas V. (8) | Klein L. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Diaz Acosta F. | Jacquet K. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Sachko V. | Kym J. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Travaglia S. (SE) | Boyer T. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Tirante T. A. (5) | Rocha H. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Blanchet U. | Picchione A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Rodriguez Taverna S. | Michalski D. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Gea A. (NG) | Barrios Vera T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Nagal S. | Cecchinato M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cina F. | Mrva M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Dodig M. | Rodionov J. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Neumayer L. | Collarini A. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Klein L. | Diaz Acosta F. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Sachko V. | Travaglia S. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Tirante T. A. (5) | Blanchet U. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Rodriguez Taverna S. | Barrios Vera T. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Nagal S. | Mrva M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Dodig M. | Neumayer L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Diaz Acosta F. | Travaglia S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Tirante T. A. (5) | Rodriguez Taverna S. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Nagal S. | Dodig M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Diaz Acosta F. | Tirante T. A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Dodig M. | Tirante T. A. (5) | 2 : 0 |
