Result
1:2
05/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Heilbronn, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 49% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (32/61) | 58% (31/53) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (20/43) | 56% (31/55) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 71% (10/14) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (22/53) | 48% (29/61) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (24/55) | 53% (23/43) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 57% (8/14) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (52/101) | 57% (62/108) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (46/108) | 49% (49/101) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (98/209) | 53% (111/209) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 53% (8/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 37% (11/30) | 63% (19/30) |
Chances of winning
Sumit Nagal
66.3% | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sumit Nagal's performance.Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-15.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sumit Nagal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (+15.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sumit Nagal - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.71) |
|
2.77 ↑
(2.01) |
7%
(8.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Sumit Nagal - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez?
Users Predictions:
Sumit Nagal will win
(21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sumit Nagal will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Nagal is ranked ATP: 170. Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 266.
- Nagal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pacheco Mendez's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Sumit Nagal won against Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez?
Sumit Nagal has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez won against Sumit Nagal?
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sumit Nagal - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez were as follows:
Latest results of Sumit Nagal
Latest results of Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Nardi L. (1) | Rincon D. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Engel J. (WC) | Mena F. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Stricker D. | Vatutin A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Topo M. (Q) | Pellegrino A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Moller E. (3) | Den Ouden G. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Onclin G. | Maestrelli F. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Dedura D. (WC) | Squire H. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Sharipov M. | Nava E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Nagal S. (7) | Gentzsch T. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Martin Tiffon P. | Pacheco Mendez R. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Trungelliti M. | Choinski J. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Wiskandt M. (Q) | Royer V. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Passaro F. (6) | Broska F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Houkes M. | Durasovic V. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Skatov T. | Buse I. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Yevseyev D. | Carreno-Busta P. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Rincon D. | Mena F. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Stricker D. (RET.) | Topo M. | 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Den Ouden G. | Onclin G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Dedura D. | Nava E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Nagal S. (7) | Pacheco Mendez R. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Trungelliti M. | Royer V. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Passaro F. (6) | Durasovic V. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Buse I. | Yevseyev D. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Mena F. | Topo M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Den Ouden G. | Nava E. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Pacheco Mendez R. | Trungelliti M. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Passaro F. (6) | Buse I. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Topo M. | Den Ouden G. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Trungelliti M. | Buse I. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Den Ouden G. | Buse I. | 0 : 2 |
