Marumo Gallants vs Supersport United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premiership - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport OTT 6
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 6
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 6, SuperSport PSL

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.441.54
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
919
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
97
Passes
71% (240/337)74% (228/310)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.441.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.941.22
Total shots
919
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
411
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
212
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
1032
Through passes
0% (0/1)100% (2/2)
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
106
Passes
71% (240/337)74% (228/310)
Long passes
31% (20/65)47% (31/66)
Passes in final third
60% (54/90)63% (95/150)
Crosses
15% (4/26)31% (8/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.342.45
Fouls
610
Tackles
91% (10/11)92% (11/12)
Duels won
4357
Clearances Total
3642
Interceptions
723
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.220.94
Goals prevented
0.22-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', Rikhotso M. , Manaka E. ,
  • 39', Mabotja L. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Grobler B. , Maboe L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Mpambaniso M. , Mokobodi T. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Mathiane T. ,
  • 66', Magidigidi S. , Pule M. ,
  • 78', Moralo G. , Mbangossoum E. ,
  • 78', Saile C. , Dzvukamanja T. ,
  • 80', Khumalo M. , Ndlovu D. ,
  • 90+4', Lakay L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Marumo Gallants
24.2%
Draw
31%
Supersport United
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 32.8% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 31.6% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marumo Gallants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marumo Gallants's form might have worsened.
  • Supersport United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Supersport United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marumo Gallants than the current prediction. (+18.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marumo Gallants, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Supersport United than the current prediction. (-19.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Supersport United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marumo Gallants - Supersport United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.84
    (2.3)
    2.99
    (2.88)
    2.07
    (3.6)
    7.9%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Marumo Gallants - Supersport United?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Marumo Gallants will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Supersport United will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Supersport United will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Premiership (Promotion Group: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Marumo Gallants won 2.
    • Recent matches Marumo Gallants is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Supersport United is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Supersport United will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Marumo Gallants won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:8 (average 0.7:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Marumo Gallants won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marumo Gallants - Supersport United were as follows:
    29.11.2024 Supersport United - Marumo Gallants 0:1
    18.04.2023 Marumo Gallants - Supersport United 0:0
    30.12.2022 Supersport United - Marumo Gallants 1:0
    Latest results of Marumo Gallants
    Latest results of Supersport United
    South African Premier Soccer League Table
    2025/26
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          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup
          Betway Premiership (Promotion Group: )
          Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Mamelodi Sundowns is Qualified for CAF Champions League
    Orlando Pirates is Qualified for CAF Champions League