Surrey vs Sussex – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
177:176
08/07/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vitality Blast
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox Sports Cricket
canadaCanadafubo Sports Network, Willow TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Cricket, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
usaUsaWillow TV

Chances of winning


Surrey
68.1%
Sussex
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Surrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Surrey's performance.
  • Sussex has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sussex might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surrey than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Surrey that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sussex than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sussex could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Surrey - Sussex Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.5)

    2.88
    (2.44)
    6.8%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 349.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Surrey won 5.
    • Surrey has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sussex is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Surrey has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Sussex has had a series of home games.
    • Surrey might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Surrey will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Surrey won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 4193:3993. (average 209.7:199.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Surrey won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2179:1873. (average 242.1:208.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Surrey - Sussex were as follows:
    26.06.2026 Sussex - Surrey 171:175
    01.05.2026 Surrey - Sussex 292:358
    18.07.2025 Sussex - Surrey 197:204
    18.06.2025 Surrey - Sussex 210:162
    18.04.2025 Sussex - Surrey 435:90
    Latest results of Surrey
    04.07.2026 Gloucestershire - Surrey 191:134
    01.07.2026 Essex - Surrey 233:240
    26.06.2026 Sussex - Surrey 171:175
    19.06.2026 Glamorgan - Surrey 358:186
    07.06.2026 Surrey - Hampshire 421:122
    Latest results of Sussex
    03.07.2026 Sussex - Essex 104:204
    01.07.2026 Warwickshire - Sussex 198:122
    26.06.2026 Sussex - Surrey 171:175
    19.06.2026 Sussex - Hampshire 159:395
    12.06.2026 Sussex - Glamorgan 521:197
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1NorthamptonshireGloucestershire153 : 152
    2YorkshireSomerset161 : 162
    3HampshireEssex211 : 136
    4NottinghamshireSurrey163 : 156

    Semi-finals
    1NorthamptonshireSomerset143 : 126
    2HampshireNottinghamshire

    Final
    1NorthamptonshireTBD #2