Newcastle Falcons vs Sutherland Sharks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
87:77
05/07/2025 at 05:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 East

Chances of winning


Newcastle Falcons
34.5%
Sutherland Sharks
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 59.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Falcons's form might have worsened.
  • Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sutherland Sharks's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Falcons than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Falcons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sutherland Sharks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Newcastle Falcons - Sutherland Sharks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.18)

    1.44
    (1.54)
    6.1%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 164.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)
    What is the prediction for Newcastle Falcons - Sutherland Sharks?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +5.5, OT - Sutherland (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +5, OT - Sutherland (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sutherland (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 77:87.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Newcastle has had a series of away games.
    • Sutherland could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Newcastle will win today's game, with odds of 2.21.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 455:485. (average 75.8:80.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 156:171. (average 78:85.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Falcons - Sutherland Sharks were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Sutherland Sharks - Newcastle Falcons 103:74
    25.05.2024 Sutherland Sharks - Newcastle Falcons 74:67
    11.03.2023 Sutherland Sharks - Newcastle Falcons 76:71
    Latest results of Newcastle Falcons
    Latest results of Sutherland Sharks
    Australian NBL1 East Table
    2026
    PlWLPts
    1Norths Bears220179:1444
    2Illawarra Hawks 2220188:1584
    3BA CoE220172:1464
    4Bankstown Bruins211196:1933
    5Hills Hornets211162:1683
    6Central Coast Crusaders211163:1763
    7Sydney Comets11077:652
    8Inner West Bulls11093:842
    9Canberra11080:752
    10Newcastle Falcons202145:1582
    11Hornsby S202157:1862
    12Manly W10175:801
    13Albury-Wodonga Bandits10196:1071
    14Sutherland Sharks10165:771
    15Maitland M10178:911
    16Penrith P10157:751

          Promotion ~ NBL1 East (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)