Result
2:1
16/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (163/252) | 72% (221/307) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (163/252) | 72% (221/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (22/72) | 47% (28/60) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 48% (54/113) | 55% (46/83) |
| Crosses |
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| 19% (5/27) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 48 |
| Clearances |
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| 25 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
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| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Deng Yubiao 🟨,
- 35', Liu Zhiyu 🟨,
- 38', Wang Xijie 🟨,
- 41', Isic T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Wang Yifan ↓, Arafat Ghenifa ↑,
- 52', 0 - 1, Arafat Ghenifa ⚽, Bao Shimeng (A),
- 58', Deng Yubiao ↓, Fan Xulin ↑,
- 63', Zhang Hui ↓, Ling Jie ↑,
- 63', Yang Dejiang ↓, Zhu Qiwen ↑,
- 67', Liang Weipeng ↓, Beshathan Zanhar ↑,
- 67', Bao Shimeng ↓, Zhang Jingzhe ↑,
- 77', Ding Yunfeng ↓, Ji Xiang ↑,
- 77', Hu Rentian ↓, Han Kunda ↑,
- 82', Gao D. ↓, Hu J. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Zhu Qiwen ⚽, Ogbu M. (A),
- 90+1', Fu Yuncheng ↓, Guo Yi ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Ogbu M. ⚽,
- 90+6', Ogbu M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nanjing City
25% | Draw
29.2% | Suzhou Dongwu
45.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Suzhou Dongwu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.68 ↑
(3.31) |
3.15 ↑
(2.92) |
2.01 ↓
(2.24) |
8.8%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Nanjing City will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Suzhou Dongwu will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 1.
- Recent form of Nanjing City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Suzhou Dongwu is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Nanjing City has had a series of away games.
- Suzhou Dongwu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nanjing City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nanjing City won against Suzhou Dongwu?
Nanjing City has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Suzhou Dongwu won against Nanjing City?
Suzhou Dongwu has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu were as follows:
08.09.2024
Suzhou Dongwu
-
Nanjing City
2:1
21.04.2024
Nanjing City
-
Suzhou Dongwu
2:2
20.08.2023
Nanjing City
-
Suzhou Dongwu
2:1
10.05.2023
Suzhou Dongwu
-
Nanjing City
1:1
20.09.2022
Nanjing City
-
Suzhou Dongwu
1:2
Latest results of Nanjing City
Latest results of Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 48:21 | 27 | 50 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 43:23 | 20 | 46 |
| 3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 35:27 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Dalian K'un City | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 5 | Yanbian Longding | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 23:20 | 3 | 33 |
| 6 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 30:24 | 6 | 32 |
| 7 | Nantong Zhiyun | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26:23 | 3 | 29 |
| 8 | Dingnan Ganlian | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29:27 | 2 | 29 |
| 9 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Nanjing City | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 25 |
| 11 | Suzhou Dongwu | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 19:22 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | Shaanxi Union | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 24 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Juniors | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 23 |
| 14 | Foshan Nanshi | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19:34 | -15 | 18 |
| 15 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 17 |
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 13:28 | -15 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League
