Liaoning Tieren vs Suzhou Dongwu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/10/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Olympic Sports Centre Stadium (Shenyang).

Jia League - Round 25
Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	0.36
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
12	4
Shots on target
5	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
5	1
Passes
87% (469/538)	80% (285/355)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	0.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.86	0.00
Total shots
12	4
Shots on target
5	0
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
0	2
Shots inside the Box
9	4
Shots outside the Box
3	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
5	1
Touches in opposition box
21	10
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
14	11
Passes
87% (469/538)	80% (285/355)
Long passes
53% (26/49)	52% (34/65)
Passes in final third
70% (93/132)	62% (37/60)
Crosses
32% (7/22)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.14	0.20
Throw-ins
17	17
Fouls
11	14
Tackles
79% (15/19)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
37	35
Clearances
12	15
Interceptions
10	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.00	0.86
Goals prevented
0.00	-1.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Kunimoto T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tian Yinong ↓, Tian Deao ↑,
46', Gao Haisheng ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑,
47', Wen Junjie 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Mbenza G. ⚽, Zang Yifeng (A),
59', Liang Weipeng ↓, Fortes C. ↑,
59', Zhou Dadi ↓, Fan Xulin ↑,
64', Liu Yue 🟨,
66', Xu Wu ↓, Wen Da ↑,
78', Chen Ao ↓, Zhang Lingfeng ↑,
78', Liu Yue ↓, Wu Junjie ↑,
81', Samuel A. ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
83', Sun Kangbo 🟨,
86', Wu Junjie 🟨,
86', 🟨,
87', 2 - 0, Mbenza G. ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),
90+1', Zang Yifeng ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑,
90+2', Zhao Jianbo 🟨,
90+5', Sun Kangbo ↓, Nur Sherzat ↑,

Chances of winning

Liaoning Tieren
57.4%

Draw
26.5%

Suzhou Dongwu
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

25.1%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

26.7%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Suzhou Dongwu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Liaoning Tieren - Suzhou Dongwu Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.71)	3.52 ↓ (3.61)	5.79 ↑ (4.14)	7.2% (10.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Liaoning Tieren - Suzhou Dongwu?

Users Predictions: Liaoning Tieren will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Liaoning Tieren will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 1.
Liaoning Tieren has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Suzhou Dongwu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Liaoning Tieren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Liaoning Tieren is considered a favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Liaoning Tieren won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Liaoning Tieren won against Suzhou Dongwu?

Liaoning Tieren has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Suzhou Dongwu won against Liaoning Tieren?

Suzhou Dongwu has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Liaoning Tieren - Suzhou Dongwu were as follows:

25.05.2025 Suzhou Dongwu - Liaoning Tieren 1:1

24.08.2024 Suzhou Dongwu - Liaoning Tieren 2:2

06.04.2024 Liaoning Tieren - Suzhou Dongwu 2:0

05.08.2023 Liaoning Tieren - Suzhou Dongwu 1:1

29.09.2022 Liaoning Tieren - Suzhou Dongwu 3:1

Latest results of Liaoning Tieren

27.09.2025 Liaoning Tieren - Dingnan United 0:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Dalian Kun City - Liaoning Tieren 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Shaanxi Union - Liaoning Tieren 3:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Red Lions 2:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Shenzhen Juniors - Liaoning Tieren 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Suzhou Dongwu

27.09.2025 Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Suzhou Dongwu - Qingdao Red Lions 1:0 ✺

14.09.2025 Nantong Zhiyun - Suzhou Dongwu 0:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Shanghai Jiading Huilong - Suzhou Dongwu 0:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Suzhou Dongwu - Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1:1 ✺

Chinese Jia League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Liaoning Tieren	27	18	7	2	57:26	31	61
2	Chongqing Tonglianglong	27	17	4	6	50:32	18	55
3	Guangdong GZ-Power	27	16	5	6	46:30	16	53
4	Yanbian Longding	27	13	7	7	34:24	10	46
5	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	27	12	8	7	37:29	8	44
6	Nantong Zhiyun	27	12	7	8	43:26	17	43
7	Dingnan Ganlian	27	10	10	7	37:32	5	40
8	Dalian K'un City	27	10	8	9	36:34	2	38
9	Shaanxi Union	27	9	8	10	41:41	0	35
10	Nanjing City	27	8	8	11	35:39	-4	32
11	Suzhou Dongwu	27	7	10	10	22:28	-6	31
12	Shanghai Jiading Huilong	27	8	6	13	24:38	-14	30
13	Foshan Nanshi	27	6	7	14	25:43	-18	25
14	Shenzhen Juniors	27	7	3	17	35:56	-21	24
15	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	27	5	7	15	21:39	-18	22
16	Qingdao Red Lions	27	2	7	18	15:41	-26	13

Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League