Svyatoslav Gulin vs Maxim Mrva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/03/2026 at 08:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
85
1st serve percentage
63%63%
1st serve points won
60% (36/60)68% (42/62)
2nd serve points won
42% (15/36)42% (15/36)
Break Points Saved
40% (4/10)33% (2/6)
1st return points won
35% (22/62)40% (24/60)
2nd return points won
58% (21/36)58% (21/36)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)60% (6/10)
Winners
1325
Unforced errors
4665
Net points won
63% (5/8)67% (8/12)
Service Points Won
53% (51/96)58% (57/98)
Return Points Won
42% (41/98)47% (45/96)
Total Points Won
47% (92/194)53% (102/194)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
60% (9/15)71% (10/14)
Return games won
29% (4/14)40% (6/15)
Total games won
45% (13/29)55% (16/29)

Chances of winning


Svyatoslav Gulin
70.8%
Maxim Mrva
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 66.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Svyatoslav Gulin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+40.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Svyatoslav Gulin's performance.
  • Maxim Mrva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-40.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maxim Mrva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Svyatoslav Gulin than the current prediction. (-37%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Svyatoslav Gulin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (+37%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maxim Mrva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Svyatoslav Gulin - Maxim Mrva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (3.05)

    4.96
    (1.33)
    -30.9%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Gulin is ranked ATP: 437. Mrva is ranked ATP: 305.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Mrva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Gulin is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gulin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Maxim Mrva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Fellin P. O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Henning P.Gadamauri B. (Q)1 : 2
    3Bertrand R.Soriano Barrera A. (Q)2 : 0
    4Barranco Cosano J. (Q)Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    5Neumayer L. (3)Vasami J. (RET.) (JR)1 : 0
    6Rybakov A.Berrettini J.2 : 1
    7Maxted L. (Q)Wendelken H.1 : 2
    8Jones M.Dostanic S. (LL)0 : 2
    9Samuel T. (5)Brancaccio R. (Alt)2 : 1
    10Rincon D.Durasovic V.2 : 0
    11Shelbayh A.Tsitsipas Pa. (WC)2 : 0
    12Efstathiou M. (WC)Moro Canas A. (4)2 : 1
    13Piraino G. (LL)Xilas I. (WC)0 : 2
    14Gulin S. (LL)Mrva M.1 : 2
    15Geerts M.Pereira T.2 : 0
    16Carboni L. (RET.) (Q)Sakellaridis S. (2)1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Gadamauri B.2 : 1
    2Bertrand R.Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    3Neumayer L. (3)Rybakov A.2 : 0
    4Wendelken H.Dostanic S.2 : 1
    5Samuel T. (5)Rincon D.2 : 0
    6Shelbayh A.Efstathiou M.2 : 1
    7Xilas I.Mrva M.2 : 0
    8Geerts M.Sakellaridis S. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    2Neumayer L. (3)Wendelken H.1 : 2
    3Samuel T. (5)Shelbayh A.2 : 0
    4Xilas I.Sakellaridis S. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kuzmanov D. (8)Wendelken H.0 : 2
    2Samuel T. (5)Sakellaridis S. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Wendelken H.Samuel T. (5)0 : 2