Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 7
- Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (447/544) | 68% (209/306) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (447/544) | 68% (209/306) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/63) | 32% (22/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (109/152) | 58% (65/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Ronald (A),
- 23', Cabango B. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Coburn J. ⚽, Cooper J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Bryan J. 🟨,
- 68', Smallbone W. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
- 68', Ballo T. ↓, Neghli C. ↑,
- 72', Ronald ↓, Manuel Hedilazio B. ↑,
- 78', Coburn J. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
- 78', Mazou-Sacko D. ↓, Mitchell B. ↑,
- 80', Yalcouye M. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
- 81', Leonard R. 🟨,
- 88', Emakhu A. ↓, Bangura-Williams R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Swansea City
44.2% | Draw
28.9% | Millwall
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-2%)
Swansea City - Millwall Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2) |
3.32 ↓
(3.45) |
3.57 ↓
(3.75) |
4.3%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swansea City - Millwall?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Millwall will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 41.1% – 82.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 1.
- Swansea is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Millwall's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Swansea could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Swansea: Fulton J.
(Injury)
Santos R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F.
(Ankle Injury)
Doughty A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ivanovic M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Jensen L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kelly D.
(Hamstring Injury)
McNamara D.
(Knee Injury)
Mitchell B.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Millwall: Cundle L.
(Inactive)
De Norre C.
(Injury)
Lovelace Z.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Millwall?
Swansea City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Swansea City?
Millwall has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Millwall were as follows:
26.04.2025
Millwall
-
Swansea City
1:0
26.10.2024
Swansea City
-
Millwall
0:1
04.05.2024
Swansea City
-
Millwall
0:1
30.09.2023
Millwall
-
Swansea City
0:3
14.03.2023
Millwall
-
Swansea City
2:1
Latest results of Swansea City
Latest results of Millwall
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 31:8 | 23 | 25 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Millwall | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 20 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Charlton | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Stoke | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Hull | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:19 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | QPR | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Leicester | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | West Brom | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Preston | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 12 | Watford | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Birmingham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 13 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 | Swansea | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 18 | Southampton | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 12 |
| 19 | Derby | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 20 | Oxford Utd | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 7:17 | -10 | 9 |
| 22 | Norwich | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | Blackburn | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
