Millwall vs Swansea City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Den (London).

Championship - Round 26
Referee: Busby J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.97	1.07
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
17	13
Shots on target
9	7
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
12	3
Passes
63% (220/347)	73% (301/413)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97	1.07
xG on target (xGOT)
2.56	2.29
Total shots
17	13
Shots on target
9	7
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
14	8
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
12	3
Touches in opposition box
31	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
8	12
Passes
63% (220/347)	73% (301/413)
Long passes
40% (26/65)	26% (21/80)
Passes in final third
57% (80/140)	48% (47/97)
Crosses
45% (15/33)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.24	0.28
Throw-ins
30	23
Fouls
12	8
Tackles
69% (9/13)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
69	51
Clearances
27	46
Interceptions
10	13
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	8
xGOT faced
2.29	2.56
Goals prevented
1.29	0.56

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Ivanovic M. ⚽, Taylor C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Cabango B. ⚽, Franco G. (A),
59', Yalcouye M. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
59', Samuels-Smith I. ↓, Tymon J. ↑,
66', Neghli C. 🟨,
72', Sturge Z. 🟨,
73', Eom J. ↓, Stamenic M. ↑,
73', Ronald ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
77', Sturge Z. ↓, Bryan J. ↑,
77', Ballo T. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
77', Neghli C. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
85', Azeez F. ↓, Doughty A. ↑,
88', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Wales B. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Taylor C. ⚽, Doughty A. (A),
90+3', Langstaff M. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Millwall
44.5%

Draw
30.4%

Swansea City
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

29.8%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Millwall - Swansea City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.17)	3.08 ↓ (3.36)	3.75 ↑ (3.33)	6.2% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Millwall - Swansea City?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 11 - 50%). Swansea will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 29.1% – 70.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millwall will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Millwall will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Millwall: Coburn J. (Muscle Injury) Cundle L. (Shoulder Injury) De Norre C. (Calf Injury) Jensen L. (Muscle Injury) Kelly D. (Inactive) Luongo M. (Knee Injury) Mazou-Sacko D. (Knee Injury) Smallbone W. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Swansea: Idah A. (Inactive) Santos R. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Swansea: Cullen L. (Inactive) Ronald (Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Swansea City?

Millwall has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Millwall?

Swansea City has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Swansea City were as follows:

27.09.2025 Swansea City - Millwall 1:1

26.04.2025 Millwall - Swansea City 1:0

26.10.2024 Swansea City - Millwall 0:1

04.05.2024 Swansea City - Millwall 0:1

30.09.2023 Millwall - Swansea City 0:3

Latest results of Millwall

01.01.2026 Southampton - Millwall 0:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Millwall - Bristol City 2:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Millwall - Ipswich Town 0:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Millwall 2:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Millwall - Hull City 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Swansea City

01.01.2026 Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion 1:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Oxford United - Swansea City 0:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Coventry City - Swansea City 1:0 ✺

19.12.2025 Swansea City - Wrexham 2:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Stoke City - Swansea City 2:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	35	21	8	6	72:38	34	71
2	Middlesbrough	35	19	9	7	54:35	19	66
3	Ipswich	34	18	9	7	60:34	26	63
4	Millwall	35	18	8	9	47:40	7	62
5	Hull	35	18	6	11	56:49	7	60
6	Wrexham	35	15	12	8	54:45	9	57
7	Southampton	35	14	11	10	57:46	11	53
8	Derby	35	14	9	12	52:46	6	51
9	Watford	35	13	12	10	45:41	4	51
10	Bristol City	35	14	8	13	48:44	4	50
11	Preston	35	12	13	10	41:40	1	49
12	Birmingham	35	13	10	12	46:46	0	49
13	Sheffield Utd	35	15	3	17	50:48	2	48
14	Stoke	35	13	8	14	39:34	5	47
15	QPR	35	13	8	14	46:54	-8	47
16	Swansea	35	13	7	15	40:43	-3	46
17	Norwich	35	13	6	16	47:44	3	45
18	Charlton	35	10	11	14	33:44	-11	41
19	Portsmouth	34	10	9	15	34:44	-10	39
20	Blackburn	35	10	8	17	33:46	-13	38
21	West Brom	35	9	8	18	34:52	-18	35
22	Leicester	35	10	10	15	47:56	-9	34
23	Oxford Utd	35	7	11	17	31:47	-16	32
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	35	1	8	26	21:71	-50	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One