Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 7
- Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.10 | 0.88 |
Ball Possession |
---|
64% | 36% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
82% (447/544) | 68% (209/306) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.10 | 0.88 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.60 | 1.00 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
38 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
20 | 7 |
Passes |
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82% (447/544) | 68% (209/306) |
Long passes |
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38% (24/63) | 32% (22/69) |
Passes in final third |
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72% (109/152) | 58% (65/113) |
Crosses |
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30% (6/20) | 21% (3/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.10 | 0.76 |
Throw-ins |
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25 | 24 |
Fouls |
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7 | 20 |
Tackles |
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67% (10/15) | 55% (11/20) |
Duels won |
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60 | 68 |
Clearances |
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24 | 31 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 15 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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1.00 | 0.60 |
Goals prevented |
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0.00 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Ronald (A),
- 23', Cabango B. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Coburn J. ⚽, Cooper J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Bryan J. 🟨,
- 68', Smallbone W. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
- 68', Ballo T. ↓, Neghli C. ↑,
- 72', Ronald ↓, Manuel Hedilazio B. ↑,
- 78', Coburn J. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
- 78', Mazou-Sacko D. ↓, Mitchell B. ↑,
- 80', Yalcouye M. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
- 81', Leonard R. 🟨,
- 88', Emakhu A. ↓, Bangura-Williams R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Swansea City 44.2% | Draw 28.9% | Millwall 26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-2%)
Swansea City - Millwall Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↑ (2) |
3.32 ↓ (3.45) |
3.57 ↓ (3.75) |
4.3% (5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swansea City - Millwall?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Millwall will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 41.1% – 82.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 1.
- Swansea is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Millwall's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Swansea could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Swansea: Fulton J.
(Injury)
Santos R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F.
(Ankle Injury)
Doughty A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ivanovic M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Jensen L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kelly D.
(Hamstring Injury)
McNamara D.
(Knee Injury)
Mitchell B.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Millwall: Cundle L.
(Inactive)
De Norre C.
(Injury)
Lovelace Z.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Millwall?
Swansea City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Swansea City?
Millwall has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Millwall were as follows:
26.04.2025
Millwall
-
Swansea City
1:0
26.10.2024
Swansea City
-
Millwall
0:1
04.05.2024
Swansea City
-
Millwall
0:1
30.09.2023
Millwall
-
Swansea City
0:3
14.03.2023
Millwall
-
Swansea City
2:1
Latest results of Swansea City
Latest results of Millwall
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
11 | Birmingham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
14 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
15 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One