Millwall vs Swansea City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Den (London).

Championship - Round 26
Referee: Busby J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.97	1.07
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
17	13
Shots on target
9	7
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
12	3
Passes
63% (220/347)	73% (301/413)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97	1.07
xG on target (xGOT)
2.56	2.29
Total shots
17	13
Shots on target
9	7
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
14	8
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
12	3
Touches in opposition box
31	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
8	12
Passes
63% (220/347)	73% (301/413)
Long passes
40% (26/65)	26% (21/80)
Passes in final third
57% (80/140)	48% (47/97)
Crosses
45% (15/33)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.24	0.28
Throw-ins
30	23
Fouls
12	8
Tackles
69% (9/13)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
69	51
Clearances
27	46
Interceptions
10	13
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	8
xGOT faced
2.29	2.56
Goals prevented
1.29	0.56

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Ivanovic M. ⚽, Taylor C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Cabango B. ⚽, Franco G. (A),
59', Yalcouye M. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
59', Samuels-Smith I. ↓, Tymon J. ↑,
66', Neghli C. 🟨,
72', Sturge Z. 🟨,
73', Eom J. ↓, Stamenic M. ↑,
73', Ronald ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
77', Sturge Z. ↓, Bryan J. ↑,
77', Ballo T. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
77', Neghli C. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
85', Azeez F. ↓, Doughty A. ↑,
88', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Wales B. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Taylor C. ⚽, Doughty A. (A),
90+3', Langstaff M. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Millwall
44.5%

Draw
30.4%

Swansea City
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

29.8%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Millwall - Swansea City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.17)	3.08 ↓ (3.36)	3.75 ↑ (3.33)	6.2% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Millwall - Swansea City?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 11 - 50%). Swansea will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 29.1% – 70.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millwall will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Millwall will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Millwall: Coburn J. (Muscle Injury) Cundle L. (Shoulder Injury) De Norre C. (Calf Injury) Jensen L. (Muscle Injury) Kelly D. (Inactive) Luongo M. (Knee Injury) Mazou-Sacko D. (Knee Injury) Smallbone W. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Swansea: Idah A. (Inactive) Santos R. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Swansea: Cullen L. (Inactive) Ronald (Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Swansea City?

Millwall has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Millwall?

Swansea City has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Swansea City were as follows:

27.09.2025 Swansea City - Millwall 1:1

26.04.2025 Millwall - Swansea City 1:0

26.10.2024 Swansea City - Millwall 0:1

04.05.2024 Swansea City - Millwall 0:1

30.09.2023 Millwall - Swansea City 0:3

Latest results of Millwall

01.01.2026 Southampton - Millwall 0:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Millwall - Bristol City 2:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Millwall - Ipswich Town 0:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Millwall 2:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Millwall - Hull City 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Swansea City

01.01.2026 Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion 1:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Oxford United - Swansea City 0:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Coventry City - Swansea City 1:0 ✺

19.12.2025 Swansea City - Wrexham 2:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Stoke City - Swansea City 2:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	39	24	8	7	81:40	41	80
2	Middlesbrough	39	20	11	8	59:37	22	71
3	Ipswich	38	19	12	7	67:39	28	69
4	Millwall	39	20	9	10	53:44	9	69
5	Hull	39	20	6	13	62:57	5	66
6	Southampton	39	17	12	10	63:48	15	63
7	Wrexham	39	17	12	10	60:51	9	63
8	Derby	39	17	9	13	56:48	8	60
9	Watford	39	14	14	11	50:46	4	56
10	Norwich	39	16	6	17	52:46	6	54
11	Birmingham	39	14	11	14	48:49	-1	53
12	QPR	39	15	8	16	55:61	-6	53
13	Preston	39	13	13	13	45:49	-4	52
14	Swansea	39	15	7	17	44:49	-5	52
15	Stoke	39	14	9	16	46:43	3	51
16	Bristol City	39	14	9	16	49:50	-1	51
17	Sheffield Utd	39	15	5	19	54:54	0	50
18	Charlton	39	12	12	15	36:46	-10	48
19	Blackburn	39	11	10	18	36:49	-13	43
20	West Brom	39	11	10	18	40:54	-14	43
21	Portsmouth	38	10	10	18	37:54	-17	40
22	Leicester	39	11	12	16	51:60	-9	39
23	Oxford Utd	39	9	12	18	36:51	-15	39
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	39	1	9	29	24:79	-55	-6

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One