Swansea City vs Millwall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Swansea City - Millwall
Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 7
  • Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.88
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
82% (447/544)68% (209/306)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.88
xG on target (xGOT)
0.601.00
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3823
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
207
Passes
82% (447/544)68% (209/306)
Long passes
38% (24/63)32% (22/69)
Passes in final third
72% (109/152)58% (65/113)
Crosses
30% (6/20)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.76
Throw-ins
2524
Fouls
720
Tackles
67% (10/15)55% (11/20)
Duels won
6068
Clearances
2431
Interceptions
915
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.000.60
Goals prevented
0.00-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Vipotnik Z. , Ronald (A),
  • 23', Cabango B. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Coburn J. , Cooper J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Bryan J. 🟨,
  • 68', Smallbone W. , Langstaff M. ,
  • 68', Ballo T. , Neghli C. ,
  • 72', Ronald , Manuel Hedilazio B. ,
  • 78', Coburn J. , Ivanovic M. ,
  • 78', Mazou-Sacko D. , Mitchell B. ,
  • 80', Yalcouye M. , Idah A. ,
  • 81', Leonard R. 🟨,
  • 88', Emakhu A. , Bangura-Williams R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swansea City
44.2%
Draw
28.9%
Millwall
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 27.4% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 27.1% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Swansea City - Millwall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2)
    3.32
    (3.45)
    3.57
    (3.75)
    4.3%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Swansea City - Millwall?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Millwall will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 41.1%82.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 1.
    • Swansea is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Millwall's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Swansea could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Swansea: Fulton J. (Injury) Santos R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F. (Ankle Injury) Doughty A. (Hamstring Injury) Ivanovic M. (Shoulder Injury) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kelly D. (Hamstring Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Mitchell B. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Millwall: Cundle L. (Inactive) De Norre C. (Injury) Lovelace Z. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Millwall were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Millwall - Swansea City 1:0
    26.10.2024 Swansea City - Millwall 0:1
    04.05.2024 Swansea City - Millwall 0:1
    30.09.2023 Millwall - Swansea City 0:3
    14.03.2023 Millwall - Swansea City 2:1
    Latest results of Swansea City
    Latest results of Millwall
    22.09.2025 Millwall - Watford 1:0
    16.09.2025 Crystal Palace - Millwall 2:1
    30.08.2025 Millwall - Wrexham 0:2
    26.08.2025 Millwall - Coventry City 2:1
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1174031:82325
    2Middlesbrough1173115:7824
    3Millwall1162313:13020
    4Bristol City1154219:11819
    5Charlton1153313:9418
    6Stoke1153312:8418
    7Hull1153319:19018
    8QPR1153315:16-118
    9Leicester1145215:11417
    10West Brom1152412:13-117
    11Preston1144312:10216
    12Watford1143413:13015
    13Birmingham1143411:14-315
    14Ipswich1034316:13313
    15Wrexham1134415:16-113
    16Swansea1134410:11-113
    17Portsmouth1134410:12-213
    18Southampton1126312:15-312
    19Derby1125412:16-411
    20Oxford Utd1123611:14-39
    21Sheffield Utd113087:17-109
    22Norwich1122711:16-58
    23Blackburn102178:16-87
    24Sheffield Wed111379:23-146

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One