Result
2:1
04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 26
- Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (220/347) | 73% (301/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 2.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (220/347) | 73% (301/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (26/65) | 26% (21/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (80/140) | 48% (47/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (15/33) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.29 | 2.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Ivanovic M. ⚽, Taylor C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 1, Cabango B. ⚽, Franco G. (A),
- 59', Yalcouye M. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
- 59', Samuels-Smith I. ↓, Tymon J. ↑,
- 66', Neghli C. 🟨,
- 72', Sturge Z. 🟨,
- 73', Eom J. ↓, Stamenic M. ↑,
- 73', Ronald ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
- 77', Sturge Z. ↓, Bryan J. ↑,
- 77', Ballo T. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
- 77', Neghli C. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
- 85', Azeez F. ↓, Doughty A. ↑,
- 88', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Wales B. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Taylor C. ⚽, Doughty A. (A),
- 90+3', Langstaff M. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Millwall
44.5% | Draw
30.4% | Swansea City
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Millwall - Swansea City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.17) |
3.08 ↓
(3.36) |
3.75 ↑
(3.33) |
6.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millwall - Swansea City?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 11 - 50%). Swansea will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 29.1% – 70.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Millwall will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Millwall will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Millwall: Coburn J.
(Muscle Injury)
Cundle L.
(Shoulder Injury)
De Norre C.
(Calf Injury)
Jensen L.
(Muscle Injury)
Kelly D.
(Inactive)
Luongo M.
(Knee Injury)
Mazou-Sacko D.
(Knee Injury)
Smallbone W.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Swansea: Idah A.
(Inactive)
Santos R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Swansea: Cullen L.
(Inactive)
Ronald
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Swansea City?
Millwall has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Millwall?
Swansea City has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Swansea City were as follows:
27.09.2025
Swansea City
-
Millwall
1:1
26.04.2025
Millwall
-
Swansea City
1:0
26.10.2024
Swansea City
-
Millwall
0:1
04.05.2024
Swansea City
-
Millwall
0:1
30.09.2023
Millwall
-
Swansea City
0:3
Latest results of Millwall
Latest results of Swansea City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
