Millwall vs Swansea City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Den (London).

Championship - Round 45
Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.55	0.91
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	7
Passes
61% (174/284)	71% (267/378)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55	0.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.76	0.54
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
6	3
Shots inside the Box
12	9
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
21	21
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
9	11
Passes
61% (174/284)	71% (267/378)
Long passes
38% (26/69)	27% (21/78)
Passes in final third
53% (64/121)	59% (65/110)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	29% (8/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.49	1.56
Throw-ins
21	33
Fouls
11	9
Tackles
67% (6/9)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
64	45
Clearances
34	30
Interceptions
4	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.54	0.76
Goals prevented
0.54	-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Eom J. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Saville G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Cundle L. ↓, Honeyman G. ↑,
63', Azeez F. 🟨,
67', Franco G. ↓, Allen J. ↑,
67', Cullen L. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
68', Fulton J. ↓, Cooper O. ↑,
75', Coburn J. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
86', Ronald ↓, Bianchini F. ↑,
87', De Norre C. ↓, Wintle R. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Millwall
41.7%

Draw
30%

Swansea City
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

28.1%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

28.6%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Millwall - Swansea City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.21)	3.18 ↓ (3.23)	3.37 ↑ (2.96)	5% (10%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Millwall - Swansea City?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Swansea will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 25.5% – 74.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Millwall (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Swansea (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 8 and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Millwall won 3.
Millwall is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Swansea in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Millwall will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L. (Inactive) Lovelace Z. (Knee Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Neghli C. (Injury) Roberts L. (Inactive) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury) Wallace M. (Inactive) Watmore D. (Injury)
There will not play in Swansea: Pedersen K. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Millwall: Bangura-Williams R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Bryan J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Swansea: Eom J. (Injury) Peart-Harris M. (Back Injury)
Last 13 head-to-head matches Millwall won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:16 (average 0.8:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:11 (average 0.7:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Swansea City?

Millwall has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Millwall?

Swansea City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Swansea City were as follows:

26.10.2024 Swansea City - Millwall 0:1

04.05.2024 Swansea City - Millwall 0:1

30.09.2023 Millwall - Swansea City 0:3

14.03.2023 Millwall - Swansea City 2:1

Latest results of Millwall

21.04.2025 Millwall - Norwich City 3:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Millwall 4:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1:0 ✺

08.04.2025 Sheffield United - Millwall 0:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Millwall - Portsmouth 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Swansea City

21.04.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Swansea City 1:2 ✺

18.04.2025 Swansea City - Hull City 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Sunderland - Swansea City 0:1 ✺

09.04.2025 Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle 3:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Swansea City - Derby County 1:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Blackburn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Derby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Middlesbrough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Portsmouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Bristol City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Charlton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Hull	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Leicester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Norwich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Preston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	QPR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Sheffield Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sheffield Wed	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Southampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Stoke	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Watford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	West Brom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Millwall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Swansea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Wrexham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Oxford Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One