Result
3:2
17/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Cup - 1/16-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Hungary | Arena 4, Match 4 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 4 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (379/446) | 86% (474/551) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 43 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (379/446) | 86% (474/551) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (14/41) | 32% (8/25) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (75/115) | 79% (91/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 3.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | -2.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Igor Jesus ⚽,
- 31', Galbraith E. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Igor Jesus ⚽, Hutchinson O. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Igor Jesus ↓, Kalimuendo A. ↑,
- 46', Morato ↓, Cunha ↑,
- 54', Savona N. 🟨,
- 55', Burgess C. 🟨,
- 58', Key J. 🟨,
- 62', Bakwa D. ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
- 62', Douglas Luiz ↓, Gibbs-White M. ↑,
- 63', Samuels-Smith I. ↓, Tymon J. ↑,
- 63', Franco G. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
- 64', Manuel Hedilazio B. ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Burgess C. ⚽, Eom J. (A),
- 74', Gibbs-White M. 🟨,
- 79', Idah A. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
- 84', McAtee J. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
- 86', Yalcouye M. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
- 88', Widell M. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Cullen L. (A),
- 90+7', 3 - 2, Burgess C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Swansea City
21.6% | Draw
24% | Nottingham Forest
54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Swansea City - Nottingham Forest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.39 ↓
(4.97) |
3.93 ↓
(3.95) |
1.76 ↑
(1.62) |
5.1%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Swansea City - Nottingham Forest?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Nottingham will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 54.1% – 91.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Nottingham (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 3.
- Swansea is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nottingham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Swansea has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Nottingham is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Swansea: Fulton J.
(Injury)
Santos R.
(Knee Injury)
Stamenic M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O.
(Hamstring Injury)
Dominguez N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nottingham: Murillo
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Nottingham Forest?
Swansea City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nottingham Forest won against Swansea City?
Nottingham Forest has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Nottingham Forest were as follows:
Latest results of Swansea City
Latest results of Nottingham Forest
Draw
Main1/64-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Sheffield Utd | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Blackpool | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 5 | Swansea | Crawley | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Plymouth | QPR | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 9 | Tranmere | Burton | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Harrogate | Lincoln | 1 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 13 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 15 | Accrington | Peterborough | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough | Doncaster | 0 : 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | Bye | |
| 18 | Bye | Brentford | |
| 20 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 21 | Sunderland | Bye | |
| 22 | Huddersfield | Leicester | 3 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 25 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 27 | Watford | Norwich | 1 : 2 |
| 28 | Northampton | Southampton | 0 : 1 |
| 29 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 31 | Stoke | Walsall | 1 : 0 |
| 32 | Blackburn | Bradford City | 1 : 2 |
| 33 | Bolton | Sheffield Wed | 3 : 4 |
| 34 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 35 | Grimsby | Shrewsbury | 3 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Manchester Utd | |
| 37 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 38 | Bye | West Ham | |
| 39 | Everton | Bye | |
| 40 | Chesterfield | Mansfield | 0 : 2 |
| 41 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 43 | Newport | Millwall | 0 : 1 |
| 44 | Coventry | Luton | 1 : 0 |
| 45 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 46 | West Brom | Derby | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Cardiff | Swindon | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Cheltenham | Exeter | 2 : 0 |
| 49 | Barrow | Preston | 0 : 1 |
| 50 | Wrexham | Hull | 4 : 3 |
| 51 | Portsmouth | Reading | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Gillingham | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 2 |
| 53 | Wigan | Notts Co | 1 : 0 |
| 54 | Stockport County | Crewe | 3 : 1 |
| 55 | Bromley | Ipswich | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Leyton Orient | Wycombe | 0 : 1 |
| 57 | Barnsley | Fleetwood | 3 : 2 |
| 58 | Salford | Rotherham | 0 : 1 |
| 59 | Oxford Utd | Colchester | 1 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 61 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 62 | Bristol City | MK Dons | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Charlton | Stevenage | 3 : 1 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 3 | Swansea | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 5 | Burton | Lincoln | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 7 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 8 | Accrington | Doncaster | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | Brentford | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 11 | Sunderland | Huddersfield | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 13 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 14 | Norwich | Southampton | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 16 | Stoke | Bradford City | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | Sheffield Wed | Leeds | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Grimsby | Manchester Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 19 | Wolves | West Ham | 3 : 2 |
| 20 | Everton | Mansfield | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 22 | Millwall | Coventry | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Burnley | Derby | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Cardiff | Cheltenham | 3 : 0 |
| 25 | Preston | Wrexham | 2 : 3 |
| 26 | Reading | AFC Wimbledon | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Wigan | Stockport County | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Bromley | Wycombe | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Barnsley | Rotherham | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | Oxford Utd | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
| 31 | Fulham | Bristol City | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Cambridge Utd | Charlton | 3 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Port Vale | Arsenal | |
| 2 | Swansea | Nottingham | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Lincoln | Chelsea | |
| 4 | Tottenham | Doncaster | |
| 5 | Brentford | Aston Villa | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | Manchester City | |
| 7 | Liverpool | Southampton | |
| 8 | Newcastle | Bradford City | |
| 9 | Sheffield Wed | Grimsby | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Wolves | Everton | |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | Millwall | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Burnley | Cardiff | |
| 13 | Wrexham | Reading | |
| 14 | Wigan | Wycombe | |
| 15 | Barnsley | Brighton | |
| 16 | Fulham | Cambridge Utd | |
