Swansea City vs Nottingham Forest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Cup
Result
3:2
17/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.722.83
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
85% (379/446)86% (474/551)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.722.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.701.31
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
316
Shots outside the Box
111
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1343
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
85% (379/446)86% (474/551)
Long passes
34% (14/41)32% (8/25)
Passes in final third
65% (75/115)79% (91/115)
Crosses
20% (2/10)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.513.64
Throw-ins
1615
Fouls
1310
Tackles
36% (5/14)56% (9/16)
Duels won
3844
Clearances
1813
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.310.70
Goals prevented
-0.69-2.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Igor Jesus ⚽,
  • 31', Galbraith E. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 2, Igor Jesus ⚽, Hutchinson O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Igor Jesus ↓, Kalimuendo A. ↑,
  • 46', Morato ↓, Cunha ↑,
  • 54', Savona N. 🟨,
  • 55', Burgess C. 🟨,
  • 58', Key J. 🟨,
  • 62', Bakwa D. ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
  • 62', Douglas Luiz ↓, Gibbs-White M. ↑,
  • 63', Samuels-Smith I. ↓, Tymon J. ↑,
  • 63', Franco G. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
  • 64', Manuel Hedilazio B. ↓, Ronald ↑,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Burgess C. ⚽, Eom J. (A),
  • 74', Gibbs-White M. 🟨,
  • 79', Idah A. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
  • 84', McAtee J. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
  • 86', Yalcouye M. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
  • 88', Widell M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Cullen L. (A),
  • 90+7', 3 - 2, Burgess C. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swansea City
21.6%		Draw
24%		Nottingham Forest
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.8% 23.6% 57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23% 19.3% 47.1%

Swansea City - Nottingham Forest Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 4.39 ↓
(4.97)		 3.93 ↓
(3.95)		 1.76 ↑
(1.62)		 5.1%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Swansea City - Nottingham Forest?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Nottingham will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 54.1% – 91.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Nottingham (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 3.
    • Swansea is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nottingham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Swansea has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Nottingham is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Swansea: Fulton J. (Injury) Santos R. (Knee Injury) Stamenic M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Dominguez N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nottingham: Murillo (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    Latest results of Swansea City
    13.09.2025 Swansea City - Hull City 2:2 ✺
    30.08.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Swansea City 0:2 ✺
    26.08.2025 Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle 2:1 ✺
    23.08.2025 Swansea City - Watford 1:1 ✺
    16.08.2025 Swansea City - Sheffield United 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    13.09.2025 Arsenal - Nottingham Forest 3:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Nottingham Forest - West Ham United 0:3 ✺
    24.08.2025 Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest 1:1 ✺
    17.08.2025 Nottingham Forest - Brentford 3:1 ✺
    09.08.2025 Nottingham Forest - Al-Qadisiya 0:0 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BarrowPreston0 : 1
    2WrexhamHull4 : 3
    3PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    4GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    5BurnleyBye
    6West BromDerby1 : 2
    7CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    8CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    9WolvesBye
    10ByeWest Ham
    11EvertonBye
    12ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    13TranmereBurton1 : 2
    14HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    16ByeChelsea
    17BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    18BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    20ByeArsenal
    21BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    22SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    23Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    24ByeBrighton
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29Crystal PalaceBye
    31NewportMillwall0 : 1
    32CoventryLuton1 : 0
    33NewcastleBye
    35StokeWalsall1 : 0
    36BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    37TottenhamBye
    39AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    40MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    41WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    42Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    43BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    44Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    45FulhamBye
    46Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    47Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    48CharltonStevenage3 : 1
    49SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    50PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    52ByeNottingham
    53SunderlandBye
    54HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    56ByeManchester City
    57BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    58ByeLeeds
    59GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    60ByeManchester Utd
    61BournemouthBye
    62ByeBrentford
    64ByeAston Villa

    1/32-finals
    1PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    2ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    3BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    4CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    5WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    6EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    7BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    8ByeChelsea
    9BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    10ByeArsenal
    11BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    12Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15Crystal PalaceBye
    16MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    17NewcastleBye
    18StokeBradford City0 : 3
    19TottenhamBye
    20AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    21WiganStockport County1 : 0
    22BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    23FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    24Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1
    25SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    26ByeNottingham
    27SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    28ByeManchester City
    29Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    30GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    31BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    32ByeAston Villa

    1/16-finals
    1WrexhamReading2 : 0
    2BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    3WolvesEverton2 : 0
    4LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    5Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    6BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    7LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    8Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    9NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    10TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    11WiganWycombe0 : 2
    12FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0
    13SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    14HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    15Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    16BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1WrexhamCardiff1 : 2
    2WolvesChelsea3 : 4
    3ArsenalBrighton2 : 0
    4LiverpoolCrystal Palace0 : 3
    5NewcastleTottenham2 : 0
    6WycombeFulham1 : 2
    7SwanseaManchester City1 : 3
    8GrimsbyBrentford0 : 5

    Quarter-finals
    1CardiffChelsea1 : 3
    2ArsenalCrystal Palace2 : 1
    3NewcastleFulham2 : 1
    4Manchester CityBrentford2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ChelseaArsenal
    2NewcastleManchester City

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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