Swansea City vs Nottingham Forest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Cup Swansea City - Nottingham Forest
Result
3:2
17/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.722.83
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
85% (379/446)86% (474/551)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.722.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.701.31
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
316
Shots outside the Box
111
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1343
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
85% (379/446)86% (474/551)
Long passes
34% (14/41)32% (8/25)
Passes in final third
65% (75/115)79% (91/115)
Crosses
20% (2/10)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.513.64
Throw-ins
1615
Fouls
1310
Tackles
36% (5/14)56% (9/16)
Duels won
3844
Clearances
1813
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.310.70
Goals prevented
-0.69-2.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Igor Jesus ,
  • 31', Galbraith E. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 2, Igor Jesus , Hutchinson O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Igor Jesus , Kalimuendo A. ,
  • 46', Morato , Cunha ,
  • 54', Savona N. 🟨,
  • 55', Burgess C. 🟨,
  • 58', Key J. 🟨,
  • 62', Bakwa D. , Hudson-Odoi C. ,
  • 62', Douglas Luiz , Gibbs-White M. ,
  • 63', Samuels-Smith I. , Tymon J. ,
  • 63', Franco G. , Widell M. ,
  • 64', Manuel Hedilazio B. , Ronald ,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Burgess C. , Eom J. (A),
  • 74', Gibbs-White M. 🟨,
  • 79', Idah A. , Vipotnik Z. ,
  • 84', McAtee J. , Sangare I. ,
  • 86', Yalcouye M. , Cullen L. ,
  • 88', Widell M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Vipotnik Z. , Cullen L. (A),
  • 90+7', 3 - 2, Burgess C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swansea City
21.6%
Draw
24%
Nottingham Forest
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.8% 23.6% 57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23% 19.3% 47.1%

Swansea City - Nottingham Forest Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.39
(4.97)
3.93
(3.95)
1.76
(1.62)
5.1%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Swansea City - Nottingham Forest?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Nottingham will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 54.1%91.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Nottingham (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 3.
    • Swansea is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nottingham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Swansea has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Nottingham is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Swansea: Fulton J. (Injury) Santos R. (Knee Injury) Stamenic M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Dominguez N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nottingham: Murillo (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    Latest results of Swansea City
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9LiverpoolBye
    11WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    12NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    13Crystal PalaceBye
    15NewportMillwall0 : 1
    16CoventryLuton1 : 0
    17BarrowPreston0 : 1
    18WrexhamHull4 : 3
    19PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    20GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    21BurnleyBye
    22West BromDerby1 : 2
    23CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    24CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    25WolvesBye
    26ByeWest Ham
    27EvertonBye
    28ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    29TranmereBurton1 : 2
    30HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    32ByeChelsea
    33SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    34PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    36ByeNottingham
    37SunderlandBye
    38HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    40ByeManchester City
    41BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    42ByeLeeds
    43GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    44ByeManchester Utd
    45BournemouthBye
    46ByeBrentford
    48ByeAston Villa
    49NewcastleBye
    51StokeWalsall1 : 0
    52BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    53TottenhamBye
    55AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    56MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5LiverpoolBye
    6NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    7Crystal PalaceBye
    8MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    9PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    10ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    11BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    12CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    13WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    14EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    15BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    16ByeChelsea
    17SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    18ByeNottingham
    19SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    20ByeManchester City
    21Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    22GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    23BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    24ByeAston Villa
    25NewcastleBye
    26StokeBradford City0 : 3
    27TottenhamBye
    28AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    4Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    5WrexhamReading2 : 0
    6BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    7WolvesEverton2 : 0
    8LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    9SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    10HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    11Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    12BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    13NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    14TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton2 : 0
    2LiverpoolCrystal Palace0 : 3
    3WrexhamCardiff1 : 2
    4WolvesChelsea3 : 4
    5SwanseaManchester City1 : 3
    6GrimsbyBrentford0 : 5
    7NewcastleTottenham2 : 0
    8WycombeFulham1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1ArsenalCrystal Palace
    2CardiffChelsea
    3Manchester CityBrentford
    4NewcastleFulham