Portugal vs Sweden, Handball European Championship – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
36:35
30/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EHF Euro - 5th-6th places - 5th place
  • Referee: Palsson A. (Ice)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaVoyo
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport Plus
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaJOJ Play, JOJ Sport
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portugal
33.8%
Draw
11%
Sweden
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.6% 9.6% 62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 9.7% 62.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portugal's performance.
  • Sweden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sweden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugal than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portugal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sweden than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sweden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portugal - Sweden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (3.36)
    8.43
    (9.66)
    1.68
    (1.47)
    7.7%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 64.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Portugal - Sweden?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Portugal will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Sweden will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sweden: 30.4%86.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sweden will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 31:33.
  • Preview Facts
    • Portugal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sweden is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sweden may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Sweden is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 163:163. (average 32.6:32.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portugal - Sweden were as follows:
    22.01.2025 Sweden - Portugal 37:37
    21.01.2024 Sweden - Portugal 40:33
    22.01.2023 Sweden - Portugal 32:30
    Latest results of Portugal
    28.01.2026 Spain - Portugal 27:35
    26.01.2026 Portugal - Norway 35:35
    24.01.2026 France - Portugal 46:38
    22.01.2026 Germany - Portugal 32:30
    20.01.2026 Denmark - Portugal 29:31
    Latest results of Sweden
    28.01.2026 Switzerland - Sweden 21:34
    27.01.2026 Sweden - Hungary 32:32
    25.01.2026 Iceland - Sweden 35:27
    23.01.2026 Slovenia - Sweden 31:35
    21.01.2026 Sweden - Croatia 33:25
    Draw
    Second stage

    Final
    1BulgariaTurkey29 : 38, 35 : 37
    2CyprusEstonia27 : 31
    3Great BritainLatvia25 : 40, 27 : 35