Result
0:1
03/03/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- World Cup Women - Qualification - League A
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | RAI 2, RaiPlay |
 Sweden | Discovery+, SVT 2, SVT Play |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (313/399) | 74% (221/297) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (313/399) | 74% (221/297) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (20/49) | 32% (14/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (69/111) | 63% (64/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/24) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Angeldal F. ⚽, Schroder F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Di Guglielmo L. 🟨,
- 51', Cambiaghi M. 🟨,
- 62', Cantore S. ↓, Piemonte M. ↑,
- 62', Cambiaghi M. ↓, Beccari C. ↑,
- 68', Severini E. 🟨,
- 69', Schroder F. ↓, Blomqvist R. ↑,
- 74', Jusu Bah M. ↓, Rolfo F. ↑,
- 75', Severini E. ↓, Greggi G. ↑,
- 80', Bonansea B. 🟨,
- 84', Giugliano M. ↓, Dragoni G. ↑,
- 84', Bonansea B. ↓, Girelli C. ↑,
- 85', Girelli C. 🟨,
- 85', Zigiotti Olme J. 🟨,
- 87', Kaneryd J. ↓, Ijeh E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Italy W
22.9% | Draw
28.4% | Sweden W
48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Italy W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Sweden W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Italy W - Sweden W Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.42 ↑
(3.23) |
3.39 ↑
(3.23) |
1.95 ↓
(2.02) |
3.4%
(11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Italy W - Sweden W?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 0.
- Sweden will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Italy won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Italy W won against Sweden W?
Italy W has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sweden W won against Italy W?
Sweden W has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Italy W - Sweden W were as follows:
30.05.2025
Italy W
-
Sweden W
0:0
04.04.2025
Sweden W
-
Italy W
3:2
31.10.2023
Sweden W
-
Italy W
1:1
26.09.2023
Italy W
-
Sweden W
0:1
29.07.2023
Sweden W
-
Italy W
5:0
Latest results of Italy W
Latest results of Sweden W
FIFA World Cup Women Table
EuropeGroup 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Denmark W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | Sweden W | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Italy W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:10 | -9 | 1 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Netherlands W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | France W | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Ireland W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Poland W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 1 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | England W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Spain W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:2 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Iceland W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 | Ukraine W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:15 | -13 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Germany W | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 | 10 |
| 2 | Norway W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Slovenia W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 4 | Austria W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
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