Mġarr United vs Swieqi United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
10/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
52
Corner kicks
16
Total shots
610
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
18
Corner kicks
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Igiebor W. ,
  • 27', 2 - 0, Cristhyan Noto ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 54', 2 - 1, ,
  • 57', 3 - 1, Cristhyan Noto ,
  • 81', 4 - 1, ,
  • 85', (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+1', 5 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Mġarr United
25.7%
Draw
25.4%
Swieqi United
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 24.9% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 25% 39%

Mġarr United - Swieqi United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.49
(2.54)
3.53
(3.67)
1.84
(2.34)
11.4%
(9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mġarr United - Swieqi United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Swieqi United (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).
    • Mġarr United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Swieqi United is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Swieqi United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mġarr United won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mġarr United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mġarr United - Swieqi United were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Swieqi United - Mġarr United 1:2
    03.11.2024 Swieqi United - Mġarr United 0:0
    Latest results of Mġarr United
    21.12.2025 Mġarr United - Sirens 2:3
    10.12.2025 Mġarr United - Melita 1:3
    29.11.2025 Marsa - Mġarr United 2:3
    Latest results of Swieqi United
    Maltese Challenge League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Balzan14102233:92432
    2Melita1492335:171829
    3Birzebbuga1491426:151128
    4Sirens1482431:191226
    5Swieqi1482430:22826
    6Fgura1481532:221025
    7Mgarr1463528:24421
    8Pieta1463524:20421
    9Gudja1456316:13321
    10St. Andrews1462617:22-520
    11Santa Lucia1446426:23318
    12Zurrieq1442820:24-414
    13Vittoriosa1433817:23-612
    14Marsa1424817:24-78
    15Zebbug1422109:34-258
    16Mtarfa1411129:59-50-2

          Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )
          Challenge League (Relegation Group: )