Result
5:1
10/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 11
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Igiebor W. ⚽,
- 27', 2 - 0, Cristhyan Noto ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 54', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 57', 3 - 1, Cristhyan Noto ⚽,
- 81', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 85', (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+1', 5 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mġarr United
25.7% | Draw
25.4% | Swieqi United
48.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mġarr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mġarr United's form might have worsened.Swieqi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swieqi United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mġarr United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swieqi United than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swieqi United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mġarr United - Swieqi United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↑
(2.54) |
3.53 ↓
(3.67) |
1.84 ↓
(2.34) |
11.4%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mġarr United - Swieqi United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Swieqi United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).
- Mġarr United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Swieqi United is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Swieqi United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mġarr United won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Mġarr United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Mġarr United won against Swieqi United?
Mġarr United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swieqi United won against Mġarr United?
Swieqi United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mġarr United - Swieqi United were as follows:
30.03.2025
Swieqi United
-
Mġarr United
1:2
03.11.2024
Swieqi United
-
Mġarr United
0:0
Latest results of Mġarr United
Latest results of Swieqi United
Maltese Challenge League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mgarr | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Santa Lucia | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 30:27 | 3 | 22 |
| 3 | Gudja | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 22 |
| 4 | Zurrieq | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 25:29 | -4 | 17 |
| 5 | Vittoriosa | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 16 |
| 6 | Zebbug | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 16:38 | -22 | 12 |
| 7 | Marsa | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 21:32 | -11 | 9 |
| 8 | Mtarfa | 17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9:78 | -69 | -2 |
Relegation
