Salford City vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
20/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanU-NEXT
peruPeruDisney+
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.230.94
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
54
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
35
Passes
54% (164/305)64% (230/362)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.230.94
xG on target (xGOT)
2.311.40
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
49
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
77
Shots outside the box
510
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1820
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1012
Passes
54% (164/305)64% (230/362)
Long passes
29% (26/91)31% (29/93)
Passes in final third
45% (50/110)56% (79/142)
Crosses
42% (5/12)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.89
Throw ins
2528
Fouls
1210
Tackles
65% (11/17)95% (19/20)
Duels won
5050
Clearances
2335
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
1.402.31
Goals prevented
-0.60-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Graydon R. , Berkoe K. (A),
  • 29', Mabete F. , Wright W. ,
  • 34', Kirkman B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Kirkman B. , Ball J. ,
  • 46', Oldaker D. , Borland A. ,
  • 52', 2 - 0, Graydon R. , N'Mai K. (A),
  • 55', Woodburn B. 🟨,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Palmer O. ,
  • 58', McGregor J. 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 2, Ball J. , Olakigbe M. (A),
  • 61', Woodburn B. , Grant J. ,
  • 61', Berkoe K. , Cooper B. ,
  • 61', Austerfield J. , Udoh D. ,
  • 68', 3 - 2, Garbutt L. ,
  • 77', Nichols T. , Tabor J. ,
  • 77', McGregor J. , Snowdon J. ,

Chances of winning


Salford City
50%
Draw
27%
Swindon Town
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 26.7% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 25.2% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salford City's performance.
  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Salford City - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.17)
    3.56
    (3.51)
    4.28
    (3.11)
    3.5%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Salford City - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Swindon will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 9.6%70.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to frozen pitch. Event will be played on 20.1. 20:45.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2.
    • Salford is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Swindon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Salford is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Salford won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.7:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Salford City - Swindon Town were as follows:
    17.01.2026 Swindon Town - Salford City 2:3
    20.09.2025 Salford City - Swindon Town 3:2
    04.03.2025 Swindon Town - Salford City 2:2
    22.10.2024 Salford City - Swindon Town 2:1
    10.02.2024 Swindon Town - Salford City 1:1
    Latest results of Salford City
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1StokeBye
    4ByeCoventry
    5FulhamBye
    8ByeMiddlesbrough
    9StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    10CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    12ByeSouthampton
    13CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    14BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    16ByeLeicester
    17BurnleyBye
    20ByeMillwall
    21Sheffield UtdBye
    23GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    24MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    25PortsmouthBye
    28ByeArsenal
    29PrestonBye
    31WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    32SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2
    33WrexhamBye
    36ByeNottingham
    37IpswichBye
    39BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    40ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    41HullBye
    44ByeBlackburn
    45CharltonBye
    48ByeChelsea
    49Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    50BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    51FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    52LutonForest Green4 : 3
    53Bristol CityBye
    56ByeWatford
    57ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    58OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    60ByeOxford Utd
    61EvertonBye
    64ByeSunderland
    65TottenhamBye
    68ByeAston Villa
    69NewcastleBye
    72ByeBournemouth
    73Manchester CityBye
    75FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    76WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    77SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    78TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    79RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    80BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    81GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    82WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    83ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    84Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    85WolvesBye
    87SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    88South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    89LiverpoolBye
    91PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    92BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    93Manchester UtdBye
    96ByeBrighton
    97Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    98NewportGillingham3 : 2
    99Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    100BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    101West HamBye
    104ByeQPR
    105SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    106MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    108ByeCrystal Palace
    109Sheffield WedBye
    112ByeBrentford
    113TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    114Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    116ByeBirmingham
    117DerbyBye
    120ByeLeeds
    121NorwichBye
    123AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    124EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    125SwanseaBye
    128ByeWest Brom

    1/64-finals
    1StokeBye
    2ByeCoventry
    3FulhamBye
    4ByeMiddlesbrough
    5ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    6ByeSouthampton
    7CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    8ByeLeicester
    9BurnleyBye
    10ByeMillwall
    11Sheffield UtdBye
    12AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    13PortsmouthBye
    14ByeArsenal
    15PrestonBye
    16WiganBarrow3 : 2
    17WrexhamBye
    18ByeNottingham
    19IpswichBye
    20BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    21HullBye
    22ByeBlackburn
    23CharltonBye
    24ByeChelsea
    25Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    26FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    27Bristol CityBye
    28ByeWatford
    29MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    30ByeOxford Utd
    31EvertonBye
    32ByeSunderland
    33TottenhamBye
    34ByeAston Villa
    35NewcastleBye
    36ByeBournemouth
    37Manchester CityBye
    38ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    39SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    40SwindonBolton4 : 0
    41GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    42ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    43WolvesBye
    44SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    45LiverpoolBye
    46PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    47Manchester UtdBye
    48ByeBrighton
    49Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    50Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    51West HamBye
    52ByeQPR
    53SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    54ByeCrystal Palace
    55Sheffield WedBye
    56ByeBrentford
    57Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    58ByeBirmingham
    59DerbyBye
    60ByeLeeds
    61NorwichBye
    62GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    63SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom

    1/32-finals
    1StokeCoventry1 : 0
    2FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    3DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    4CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    5BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    6Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    7PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    8PrestonWigan0 : 1
    9WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    10IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    11HullBlackburn1 : 0
    12CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    13Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    14Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    15MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    16EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    17TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    18NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    19Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    20SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    21GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    22WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    23LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    24Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    25Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    26West HamQPR2 : 1
    27MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    28Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    29Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    30DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    31NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    32SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1StokeFulham1 : 2
    2SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    3BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    4ArsenalWigan4 : 0
    5WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    6HullChelsea0 : 4
    7Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    8Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    9Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    10Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    11GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    12LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    13BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    14MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    15BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    16NorwichWest Brom3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1FulhamSouthampton0 : 1
    2MansfieldArsenal1 : 2
    3WrexhamChelsea2 : 4
    4Port ValeSunderland1 : 0
    5NewcastleManchester City1 : 3
    6WolvesLiverpool1 : 3
    7West HamBrentford3 : 2
    8LeedsNorwich3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1SouthamptonArsenal
    2ChelseaPort Vale
    3Manchester CityLiverpool
    4West HamLeeds