Result
3:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 9
- Referee: Martin R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (154/262) | 68% (260/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (154/262) | 68% (260/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (25/81) | 34% (26/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (60/130) | 44% (39/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 2.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Grant J. ⚽, Udoh D. (A),
- 15', 2 - 0, Harris K. ⚽, Udoh D. (A),
- 32', Munroe F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Glatzel P. ↓, Nichols T. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 1, Drinan A. ⚽, Munroe F. (A),
- 57', Rose M. ↓, Cooper B. ↑,
- 58', Grant J. ↓, Ashley O. ↑,
- 61', Snowdon J. 🟨,
- 65', Snowdon J. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
- 76', Clarke O. ↓, Oldaker D. ↑,
- 76', Palmer O. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
- 76', Mnoga H. 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 2, Knight-Lebel J. ⚽,
- 84', Woodburn B. ↓, Bird J. ↑,
- 88', Wilson-Brown T. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, Cesay K. ⚽,
- 90+4', Udoh D. ↓, Turton O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Salford City
58.1% | Draw
23.9% | Swindon Town
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salford City's performance.Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-12.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salford City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Salford City - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.1) |
5.05 ↑
(3.7) |
7.11 ↑
(3) |
-15.4%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Salford City - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Swindon will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salford won 1.
- Salford is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Swindon is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Salford: Chesters D.
(Knee Injury)
N'Mai K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Swindon: Ball J.
(Knee Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Salford: Stockton C.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Swindon Town?
Salford City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Salford City?
Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Salford City - Swindon Town were as follows:
04.03.2025
Swindon Town
-
Salford City
2:2
22.10.2024
Salford City
-
Swindon Town
2:1
10.02.2024
Swindon Town
-
Salford City
1:1
21.10.2023
Salford City
-
Swindon Town
2:2
18.02.2023
Salford City
-
Swindon Town
1:2
Latest results of Salford City
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Swindon | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bromley | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 15 | Barnet | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
| 19 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Crawley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 22 | Newport | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4:24 | -20 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
