Melbourne Mustangs vs Sydney Bears – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Australian Ice Hockey League Melbourne Mustangs - Sydney Bears
Result
2:3
30/06/2024 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: AIHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 06:49, 0 - 1, Miller C. (G), Annesley R. (A), Herrmann L. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 04:45, 0 - 2, Moncrieff N. (G), Annesley R. (A), Kadlec A. (A2)
  • 06:29, 0 - 3, Eaden C. (G), Lindal B. (A),
  • 11:39, 1 - 3, Virjassov V. (G), Freed R. (A), Wishart T. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 05:03, 2 - 3, Freed R. (G), Timmins S. (A), Hayden D. (A2)

Chances of winning


Melbourne Mustangs
22.9%
Draw
16.9%
Sydney Bears
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 18.5% 54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 18.6% 54.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Sydney Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sydney Bears's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Mustangs than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Bears than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sydney Bears, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Melbourne Mustangs - Sydney Bears Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.01
    (3.47)
    5.44
    (5)
    1.53
    (1.68)
    8.8%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 8.75
  • What is the prediction for Melbourne Mustangs - Sydney Bears?
  • Users Predictions: Sydney Bears will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:5.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Melbourne Mustangs won 1.
    • Recent matches Melbourne Mustangs is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sydney Bears is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Melbourne Mustangs could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Sydney Bears have a series of home games.
    • In this match Sydney Bears is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Melbourne Mustangs won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 67-87.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Melbourne Mustangs won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 32-40.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Mustangs - Sydney Bears were as follows:
    22.06.2024 Sydney Bears - Melbourne Mustangs 3:2
    02.06.2024 Sydney Bears - Melbourne Mustangs 6:2
    27.04.2024 Melbourne Mustangs - Sydney Bears 7:9
    26.08.2023 Sydney Bears - Melbourne Mustangs 0:4
    22.07.2023 Melbourne Mustangs - Sydney Bears 2:4
    Latest results of Melbourne Mustangs
    Latest results of Sydney Bears
    Australian Ice Hockey League Table
    2025
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Melbourne Ice2518232161:9361
    2Perth2413128133:9043
    3CBR Brave2312209122:11140
    4Newcastle24113010125:10539
    5Melbourne Mustangs25102013109:11334
    6Brisbane Lightning2491410108:13333
    7Adelaide227021377:11323
    8Central Coast Rhinos232221774:15112

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