Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
66:79
05/12/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Big Bash League Women
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox Sports Cricket

Chances of winning


Melbourne Stars
47.7%
Sydney Thunder
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Stars's form might have worsened.
  • Sydney Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sydney Thunder's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Stars than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Stars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Thunder than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sydney Thunder, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.66)

    1.82
    (2.14)
    6.3%
    (7.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stars won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Stars may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Stars has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Stars will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stars won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1918:1903. (average 95.9:95.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stars won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 545:475. (average 77.9:67.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder were as follows:
    20.11.2024 Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Stars 112:108
    09.11.2023 Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Stars 125:121
    04.11.2023 Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder 123:128
    31.10.2022 Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder 0:74
    22.10.2022 Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Stars 102:0
    Latest results of Melbourne Stars
    Latest results of Sydney Thunder
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Hobart W (1)Bye
    3Sydney Sixers W (2)Bye
    4Melbourne Stars W (4)Perth W (3)145 : 173

    Semi-finals
    1Hobart W (1)Bye
    2Sydney Sixers W (2)Perth W (3)172 : 183

    Final
    1Hobart W (1)Perth W (3)141 : 137