Sydney Flames vs Geelong Venom – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
76:89
31/01/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WNBL Women - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia9Now, ESPN

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7866
Field goals made
3028
Field goals %
38.46%42.42%
2-point field goals attempts
5437
2-point field goals made
2317
2-point field goals %
42.59%45.95%
3-point field goals attempts
2429
3-point field goals made
711
3-point field goals %
29.17%37.93%
Free throws attempts
1421
Free throws made
920
Free throws %
64.3%95.2%
Offensive rebounds
1610
Defensive rebounds
2836
Total rebounds
4446
Assists
1719
Blocks
15
Turnovers
1010
Steals
58
Personal fouls
2015

Chances of winning


Sydney Flames
52.4%
Geelong Venom
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 47.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sydney Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Geelong Venom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Flames than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong Venom than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Sydney Flames - Geelong Venom Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.71)

    1.95
    (1.94)
    8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 158.75
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Sydney Flames - Geelong Venom?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sydney (votes: 2 - 50%). Geelong Venom (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 81.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:78.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Geelong Venom may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Geelong Venom has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 500:495. (average 83.3:82.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 187:149. (average 93.5:74.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney Flames - Geelong Venom were as follows:
    16.01.2026 Geelong Venom - Sydney Flames 105:77
    26.11.2025 Sydney Flames - Geelong Venom 97:94
    18.10.2025 Geelong Venom - Sydney Flames 77:85
    17.01.2025 Geelong Venom - Sydney Flames 90:70
    14.12.2024 Geelong Venom - Sydney Flames 74:81
    Latest results of Sydney Flames
    Latest results of Geelong Venom
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Townsville W (1)Southside W (4)2 : 1
    2Perth Lynx W (2)Bendigo W (3)2 : 0

    Final
    1Townsville W (1)Perth Lynx W (2)1 : 0