Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tabasalu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
02/05/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Esiliiga B - Round 9

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Altmets K. ,
  • 22', 1 - 1, Luts R. ,
  • 31', 1 - 2, Kokla J. ,
  • 38', 1 - 3, Altmets K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 85', 2 - 3, Pormeister K. ,
  • 90', Mellis V. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Tallinna Kalev U21
47.2%
Draw
23%
Tabasalu
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 21.9% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 21.3% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tallinna Kalev U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tallinna Kalev U21's form might have worsened.
  • Tabasalu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tabasalu's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev U21 than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tallinna Kalev U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tabasalu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tabasalu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.68)
    3.92
    (4.1)
    3.01
    (3.65)
    11.2%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 in the zone Esiliiga B (Relegation) and 9 in the zone Relegation).
    • Kalev U21 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tabasalu has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tabasalu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Kalev U21 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev U21 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kalev U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tabasalu were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tabasalu 4:2
    24.08.2024 Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21 1:3
    03.06.2024 Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tabasalu 0:1
    14.04.2024 Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21 3:3
    05.02.2023 Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21 2:0
    Latest results of Tallinna Kalev U21
    Latest results of Tabasalu
    18.04.2026 Tabasalu - Jõhvi Phoenix 2:1
    03.04.2026 Levadia U19 - Tabasalu 0:2
    21.03.2026 Tartu Kalev - Tabasalu 4:0
    Estonian Esiliiga B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tammeka U21960323:21218
    2Narva U21860224:91518
    3Johvi Phoenix960324:25-118
    4Parnu JK Vaprus U21951324:20416
    5Tartu Kalev950418:16215
    6Tulevik950429:191015
    7Levadia U19940518:18012
    8Tabasalu830514:22-89
    9Tallinna Kalev U21920717:23-66
    10Legion91177:25-184

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          Esiliiga B (Relegation)
          Relegation