Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Starfire Sports (Tukwila, WA).

US Open Cup - 1/16-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.86	2.03
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
5	6
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
79% (323/411)	79% (326/415)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86	2.03
xG on target (xGOT)
2.75	2.60
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
0	4
Shots inside the Box
10	8
Shots outside the Box
0	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
22	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
10	16
Passes
79% (323/411)	79% (326/415)
Long passes
39% (24/62)	51% (28/55)
Passes in final third
69% (77/111)	67% (85/126)
Crosses
33% (4/12)	25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.29	0.64
Throw-ins
29	36
Fouls
16	10
Tackles
79% (11/14)	85% (17/20)
Duels won
41	48
Clearances
28	13
Interceptions
6	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
2.60	2.75
Goals prevented
-0.40	0.75

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, McGraw Z. ⚽, Lassiter A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Lopez A. ↓, Tsukanome Y. ↑,
46', Bravo C. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, De Rosario O. ⚽, Minoungou G. (A),
50', 2 - 1, Tsukanome Y. ⚽, Minoungou G. (A),
60', Ortiz J. ↓, Linhares K. ↑,
63', Brunell S. 🟨,
73', McGraw Z. ↓, Jura S. ↑,
73', Kingston P. 🟨,
79', Fernandez O. ↓, Guerra G. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Guerra G. ⚽, Smith I. (A),
90+3', 2 - 3, Kelsy K. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Tacoma Defiance
13.6%

Draw
16.1%

Portland Timbers
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

15.5%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

17.2%

76.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portland Timbers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.84 ↑ (6.07)	5.76 ↓ (5.98)	1.32 ↓ (1.34)	8% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

Preview Facts

Tacoma is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Portland has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Portland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Portland has had a series of away games.
In this match, Portland is the clear favorite.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Portland Timbers?

Tacoma Defiance has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Portland Timbers won against Tacoma Defiance?

Portland Timbers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers were as follows:

Latest results of Tacoma Defiance

02.05.2025 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 1:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 4:1 ✺

23.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Tacoma Defiance 1:4 ✺

15.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Oakland Roots 2:1 ✺

10.04.2025 Los Angeles 2 - Tacoma Defiance 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Portland Timbers

03.05.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Portland Timbers 4:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - Portland Timbers 2:4 ✺

19.04.2025 Portland Timbers - Los Angeles 3:3 ✺

13.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers 2:4 ✺

05.04.2025 Austin FC - Portland Timbers 0:0 ✺

Draw

2026

1/64-finals

1	Steel City	Pittsburgh
2	Carolina Core	Virginia Dream	1 : 2
3	Asheville City	Greenville	3 : 1
4	Vistula	One Knoxville	1 : 3
5	FC Naples	Red Force	3 : 0
6	Tormenta	America CFL Spurs (WO.)
7	Indy Eleven	Menace	3 : 0
8	BOHFS St. Louis	Union Omaha	0 : 8
9	Charlotte Independ.	Ristozi	4 : 1
10	Charleston	Florida Badgers	2 : 1
11	AV Alta	Valley 559 FC	0 : 1
12	Sacramento Republic	El Farolito	2 : 0
13	Chattanooga	Kalonji	2 : 1
14	Tennessee Tempo	Chattanooga Red Wolves	1 : 0
15	Richmond Kickers	Northern Virginia	2 : 0
16	West Chester Utd	Loudoun	1 : 2
17	Rhode Island	Faialense	4 : 0
18	Motown	Hartford Athletic	0 : 2
19	Vermont Green	Portland Hearts of Pine	1 : 0
20	Westchester SC	NY Renegades	2 : 0
21	Lexington	Flower City Union	9 : 0
22	Louisville City	Southern Indiana	2 : 0
23	Flint City	Forward Madison	2 : 0
24	Detroit	Michigan Rangers	5 : 1
25	Colorado Springs	Azteca	3 : 0
26	Ventura	Spokane Velocity	1 : 2
27	San Antonio	New Stars	6 : 0
28	Little Rock Rangers	FC Tulsa	2 : 4
29	New Mexico	Cruizers	3 : 2
30	Laredo Heat	El Paso	0 : 2
31	Orange County SC	Laguna United	3 : 0
32	Phoenix Rising	San Ramon	4 : 0

1/32-finals

1	TBD #1	Virginia Dream
2	Asheville City	One Knoxville
3	FC Naples	America CFL Spurs
4	Indy Eleven	Union Omaha
5	Charlotte Independ.	Charleston
6	Valley 559 FC	Sacramento Republic
7	Chattanooga	Tennessee Tempo
8	Richmond Kickers	Loudoun
9	Rhode Island	Hartford Athletic
10	Vermont Green	Westchester SC
11	Lexington	Louisville City
12	Flint City	Detroit
13	Colorado Springs	Spokane Velocity
14	San Antonio	FC Tulsa
15	New Mexico	El Paso
16	Orange County SC	Phoenix Rising