Result
1:2
07/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda Division - Round 5
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Cabrera D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Luciani V. (Pen),
- 90+6', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
La Luz 38.7% | Draw 30.4% | Tacuarembó 30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Tacuarembó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
La Luz - Tacuarembó Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.34 ↓ (2.48) |
2.98 ↓ (3.25) |
2.94 ↑ (2.55) |
10.3% (10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 6).
- Recent form of La Luz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Tacuarembó has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tacuarembó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, La Luz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, La Luz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has La Luz won against Tacuarembó?
La Luz has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tacuarembó won against La Luz?
Tacuarembó has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between La Luz - Tacuarembó were as follows:
30.03.2025
Tacuarembó
-
La Luz
1:1
29.09.2024
La Luz
-
Tacuarembó
2:0
16.06.2024
Tacuarembó
-
La Luz
0:1
23.03.2024
Tacuarembó
-
La Luz
1:0
Latest results of Tacuarembó
Uruguayan Segunda Division Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Albion | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 28 |
2 | Tacuarembo | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Rentistas | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 20 |
4 | Fenix | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Oriental | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Colon | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 18 |
7 | Central Esp | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 18 |
8 | Maldonado | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
9 | Atenas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Artigas | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
11 | La Luz | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 12:21 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Cerrito | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8:19 | -11 | 9 |
13 | Uruguay Montevideo | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:22 | -13 | 9 |
14 | Rampla Juniors | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |