Result
0:0
21/02/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Al-Ahed
60.1% | Draw
25.1% | Tadamon Sour
14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Ahed's form might have worsened.Tadamon Sour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahed than the current prediction. (-19.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Ahed that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tadamon Sour than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Al-Ahed - Tadamon Sour Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.35) |
3.66 ↓
(4.2) |
6.18 ↓
(8.6) |
8.9%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahed won 4.
- Recent performances by Al-Ahed have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tadamon has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Tadamon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tadamon has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Al-Ahed is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahed won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 32:7. (average 2.3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahed won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:5. (average 2.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahed won against Tadamon Sour?
Al-Ahed has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tadamon Sour won against Al-Ahed?
Tadamon Sour has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahed - Tadamon Sour were as follows:
18.01.2026
Al-Ahed
-
Tadamon Sour
3:1
25.10.2025
Tadamon Sour
-
Al-Ahed
0:2
08.07.2025
Al-Ahed
-
Tadamon Sour
5:3
24.05.2025
Al-Ahed
-
Tadamon Sour
3:0
24.04.2025
Tadamon Sour
-
Al-Ahed
1:0
Latest results of Al-Ahed
Latest results of Tadamon Sour
Lebanese Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ansar | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 37:8 | 29 | 41 |
| 2 | Jwayya | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 25:6 | 19 | 32 |
| 3 | Nejmeh SC | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28:8 | 20 | 31 |
| 4 | Al Ahed | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 24:15 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Safa | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:10 | 9 | 26 |
| 6 | Al Sahel | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Al Hikma | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Al-Mabarrah | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 18 |
| 9 | Al Riyadi Abbasiyah | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12:22 | -10 | 17 |
| 10 | Tadamon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 13 |
| 11 | Racing | 16 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4:50 | -46 | 1 |
| 12 | Bourj FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 10 |
Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League
Relegation
