Takuya Kumasaka vs Luca Castelnuovo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Luzhou Men Takuya Kumasaka - Luca Castelnuovo
Result
0:2
21/06/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Luzhou, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
46

Chances of winning


Takuya Kumasaka
60.4%
Luca Castelnuovo
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Takuya Kumasaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Takuya Kumasaka than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Takuya Kumasaka - Luca Castelnuovo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.61)

    2.35
    (2.26)
    7.7%
    (6.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Kumasaka is ranked ATP: 560. Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 663.
    • Kumasaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Castelnuovo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Castelnuovo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Kumasaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Takuya Kumasaka
    Latest results of Luca Castelnuovo
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Cui J. (1)Wang X.2 : 0
    2Sinclair C.Huang T.0 : 2
    3Mo Y. C. (RET.)Chanta T.0 : 1
    4Chappell N. (RET.)Imai S. (6)0 : 1
    5Sasikumar M. (3)Mochizuki Y.1 : 2
    6Leong M. W. K.Zhang T. (RET.)1 : 0
    7Mitsui S.Sornlaksup P.2 : 0
    8Zhang M.Gerasimov E. (7)0 : 2
    9Kumasaka T. (8)Honda N.2 : 0
    10Park U.Li Z. (RET.)0 : 0
    11Santillan A.Zhu E.1 : 2
    12Te R.Isomura K. (4)0 : 2
    13Shin W. (5)Lomakin G.2 : 1
    14Trongcharoenchaikul W.Masabayashi T.2 : 1
    15Xiao L.Castelnuovo L.0 : 2
    16Luo J. H.Samrej K. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Cui J. (1)Huang T.2 : 0
    2Chanta T.Imai S. (6)1 : 2
    3Mochizuki Y.Leong M. W. K.1 : 2
    4Mitsui S.Gerasimov E. (7)2 : 1
    5Kumasaka T. (8)Park U.2 : 0
    6Zhu E.Isomura K. (4)2 : 0
    7Shin W. (5)Trongcharoenchaikul W.2 : 1
    8Castelnuovo L.Samrej K. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Cui J. (1)Imai S. (6)2 : 0
    2Leong M. W. K.Mitsui S.0 : 2
    3Kumasaka T. (8)Zhu E.2 : 0
    4Shin W. (RET.) (5)Castelnuovo L.0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cui J. (1)Mitsui S. (RET.)1 : 1
    2Kumasaka T. (8)Castelnuovo L.0 : 2

    Final
    1Cui J. (1)Castelnuovo L.0 : 2