Result
1:2
22/10/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Suzhou, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 66% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (37/67) | 64% (49/76) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (15/32) | 45% (18/40) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 56% (5/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (28/76) | 45% (30/67) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (22/40) | 53% (17/32) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 60% (6/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (52/97) | 58% (67/116) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (49/116) | 46% (45/97) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (101/213) | 53% (112/213) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 40% (6/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 43% (13/30) | 57% (17/30) |
Chances of winning
Takuya Kumasaka
28.7% | Yuta Shimizu
71.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Takuya Kumasaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Takuya Kumasaka's form might have worsened.Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yuta Shimizu's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Takuya Kumasaka than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Takuya Kumasaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yuta Shimizu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Takuya Kumasaka - Yuta Shimizu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↑
(2.75) |
|
1.32 ↓
(1.43) |
6.2%
(6.3%) | |
Preview Facts
- Kumasaka is ranked ATP: 527. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 216.
- Kumasaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shimizu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Kumasaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Shimizu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Takuya Kumasaka won against Yuta Shimizu?
Takuya Kumasaka has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yuta Shimizu won against Takuya Kumasaka?
Yuta Shimizu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Takuya Kumasaka - Yuta Shimizu were as follows:
Latest results of Takuya Kumasaka
Latest results of Yuta Shimizu
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Nishioka Y. (1) | Zhou Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Fomin S. (LL) | Tokuda R. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ferreira Silva F. | Zhukov M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Simakin I. | Shimabukuro S. (RET.) (8) | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Rocha H. (3) | Ajdukovic D. (Alt) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Cui J. (RET.) | Takahashi Y. (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Huang T. (Q) | Johns G. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Harris L. | Kubler J. (RET.) (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Mayot H. (5) | Uchiyama Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Mo Y. C. (WC) | Honda N. (JR) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Kumasaka T. (Q) | Jasika O. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Sun F. | Shimizu Y. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | McCabe J. (7) | Jung J. (PR) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Sultanov K. (Q) | Wu Tung-Lin (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Wang A. (WC) | Te R. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Hsu Y. H. | Wong C. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Nishioka Y. (1) | Tokuda R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ferreira Silva F. | Simakin I. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Ajdukovic D. | Takahashi Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Huang T. | Harris L. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Mayot H. (5) | Honda N. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Kumasaka T. | Shimizu Y. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | McCabe J. (7) | Wu Tung-Lin | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Wang A. | Hsu Y. H. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Nishioka Y. (1) | Ferreira Silva F. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ajdukovic D. | Harris L. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Mayot H. (5) | Shimizu Y. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | McCabe J. (7) | Hsu Y. H. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Nishioka Y. (1) | Ajdukovic D. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Mayot H. (5) | Hsu Y. H. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Nishioka Y. (1) | Mayot H. (5) | 2 : 0 |
