Result
0:0
23/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Saleh A. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (317/425) | 68% (175/258) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 0.75 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.12 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 12 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 18 | 9 |
| Passes |
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| 75% (317/425) | 68% (175/258) |
| Long passes |
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| 49% (41/83) | 35% (23/66) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 50% (52/105) | 49% (53/108) |
| Crosses |
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| 15% (4/27) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.24 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 18 | 25 |
| Fouls |
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| 9 | 18 |
| Tackles |
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| 75% (9/12) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
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| 59 | 41 |
| Clearances |
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| 19 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
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| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.09 | 0.12 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.09 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Alaa A. 🟨,
- 36', Kahraba 🟨,
- 45+6', Gaber I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Souissi H. 🟨,
- 64', Mohareb I. ↓, Hany M. ↑,
- 64', Atef M. ↓, Al Madadha G. ↑,
- 64', Antar M. ↓, Abdo Semana ↑,
- 64', Naguib S. ↓, Ekpenyong C. ↑,
- 78', Gaber I. ↓, El Wahsh O. ↑,
- 84', El Gabry H. ↓, El Khawaga M. ↑,
- 85', Ochaya J. 🟨,
- 87', Abou Gouda M. ↓, Salim M. ↑,
- 87', Kahraba ↓, Sobhi M. ↑,
- 90+1', El Wahsh O. 🟨,
- 90+2', Salim M. 🟨,
- 90+8', Hamdi A. ↓, Tarek A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tala`ea El-Gaish
22.4% | Draw
32.7% | El Mokawloon El Arab
44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tala`ea El-Gaish has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tala`ea El-Gaish's form might have worsened.El Mokawloon El Arab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Mokawloon El Arab's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tala`ea El-Gaish than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tala`ea El-Gaish, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Mokawloon El Arab, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Mokawloon El Arab Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.18 ↑
(3.1) |
2.86 ↑
(2.57) |
2.08 ↓
(2.79) |
7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Mokawloon El Arab?
Users Predictions:
El Mokawloon El Arab will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): El Mokawloon El Arab will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 19 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 1.
- Recent performances by El-Gaish have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- El Mokawloon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, El-Gaish won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tala`ea El-Gaish won against El Mokawloon El Arab?
Tala`ea El-Gaish has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Mokawloon El Arab won against Tala`ea El-Gaish?
El Mokawloon El Arab has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Mokawloon El Arab were as follows:
16.06.2024
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Tala`ea El-Gaish
3:1
15.12.2023
Tala`ea El-Gaish
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
1:2
22.05.2023
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Tala`ea El-Gaish
0:0
08.01.2023
Tala`ea El-Gaish
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
1:2
Latest results of Tala`ea El-Gaish
Latest results of El Mokawloon El Arab
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 13:4 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Al Ahly | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Al Masry | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Zamalek | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Enppi | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Pyramids | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | ZED | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Smouha | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 12 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | Modern Sport | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | National Bank Egypt | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Petrojet | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | El Gouna | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Haras El Hodood | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | El Gaish | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 10 |
| 17 | Arab Contractors | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 | Pharco | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 9 |
| 19 | Al Ittihad | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5:15 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
