Result
0:0
23/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Saleh A. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.75 | 0.50 |
Ball Possession |
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62% | 38% |
Total shots |
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9 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 5 |
Passes |
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75% (317/425) | 68% (175/258) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.75 | 0.50 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.12 | 0.09 |
Total shots |
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9 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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4 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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12 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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18 | 9 |
Passes |
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75% (317/425) | 68% (175/258) |
Long passes |
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49% (41/83) | 35% (23/66) |
Passes in final third |
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50% (52/105) | 49% (53/108) |
Crosses |
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15% (4/27) | 19% (3/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.24 | 0.40 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 25 |
Fouls |
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9 | 18 |
Tackles |
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75% (9/12) | 50% (5/10) |
Duels won |
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59 | 41 |
Clearances |
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19 | 34 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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0.09 | 0.12 |
Goals prevented |
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0.09 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Alaa A. 🟨,
- 36', Kahraba 🟨,
- 45+6', Gaber I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Souissi H. 🟨,
- 64', Mohareb I. ↓, Hany M. ↑,
- 64', Atef M. ↓, Al Madadha G. ↑,
- 64', Antar M. ↓, Abdo Semana ↑,
- 64', Naguib S. ↓, Ekpenyong C. ↑,
- 78', Gaber I. ↓, El Wahsh O. ↑,
- 84', El Gabry H. ↓, El Khawaga M. ↑,
- 85', Ochaya J. 🟨,
- 87', Abou Gouda M. ↓, Salim M. ↑,
- 87', Kahraba ↓, Sobhi M. ↑,
- 90+1', El Wahsh O. 🟨,
- 90+2', Salim M. 🟨,
- 90+8', Hamdi A. ↓, Tarek A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tala`ea El-Gaish 22.4% | Draw 32.7% | El Mokawloon El Arab 44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tala`ea El-Gaish has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tala`ea El-Gaish's form might have worsened.El Mokawloon El Arab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Mokawloon El Arab's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tala`ea El-Gaish than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tala`ea El-Gaish, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Mokawloon El Arab, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Mokawloon El Arab Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.18 ↑ (3.1) |
2.86 ↑ (2.57) |
2.08 ↓ (2.79) |
7% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Mokawloon El Arab?
Users Predictions:
El Mokawloon El Arab will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): El Mokawloon El Arab will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 19 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 1.
- Recent performances by El-Gaish have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- El Mokawloon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, El-Gaish won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tala`ea El-Gaish won against El Mokawloon El Arab?
Tala`ea El-Gaish has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Mokawloon El Arab won against Tala`ea El-Gaish?
El Mokawloon El Arab has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Mokawloon El Arab were as follows:
16.06.2024
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Tala`ea El-Gaish
3:1
15.12.2023
Tala`ea El-Gaish
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
1:2
22.05.2023
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Tala`ea El-Gaish
0:0
08.01.2023
Tala`ea El-Gaish
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
1:2
Latest results of Tala`ea El-Gaish
Latest results of El Mokawloon El Arab
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Zamalek | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
2 | Al Masry | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 15 |
3 | Al Ahly | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
4 | Wadi Degla | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
5 | Pyramids | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
6 | Enppi | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 14 |
7 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 14 |
8 | Petrojet | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 14 |
9 | ZED | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Modern Sport | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
11 | National Bank Egypt | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
12 | Smouha | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
13 | Haras El Hodood | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
15 | El Gouna | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
16 | El Gaish | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 9 |
17 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 8 |
18 | Pharco | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
19 | Arab Contractors | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 5 |
20 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 5 |
21 | El Ismaily | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2:11 | -9 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )