Talanta vs MCF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Talanta
53.6%
Draw
24.2%
MCF
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 32.7% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 28.8% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Talanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talanta's performance.
  • MCF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talanta than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talanta that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for MCF than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Talanta - MCF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.96)
    3.74
    (2.71)
    4.09
    (4)
    10.4%
    (12.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Talanta - MCF?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Talanta (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Talanta (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Talanta will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Talanta will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Talanta (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Recently, MCF has had a series of away games.
    • Talanta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Talanta
    20.12.2025 Naivas - Talanta 1:0
    17.12.2025 Fortune Sacco - Talanta 3:1
    13.12.2025 Talanta - MOFA 0:0
    03.12.2025 Talanta - Kabati 2:0
    30.11.2025 Kisumu All-Stars - Talanta 1:0
    Latest results of MCF
    21.12.2025 MCF - Darajani Gogo 0:1
    14.12.2025 Soy United - MCF 1:0
    03.12.2025 Nzoia United - MCF 0:0
    29.11.2025 Equity Bank - MCF 3:1
    16.11.2025 Kabati - MCF 0:0
    Kenyan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Migori25164539:231652
    2Mombasa United25171738:221652
    3MOFA24128433:171644
    4Equity Bank24127532:25743
    5Fortune Sacco25126739:221742
    63K FC24125733:171641
    7Kibera251231020:20039
    8Naivas FC25107823:19437
    9Talanta FC25107825:19637
    10Nzoia Sugar25812525:17836
    11Nairobi City2589824:22233
    12Soy United25961020:19133
    13Gucha Stars24951026:24232
    14Luanda Villa25841318:33-1528
    15Kabati24661215:31-1624
    16Darajani Gogo25661317:28-1124
    17Kisumu All-Stars25661315:33-1824
    18Mwatate United25461519:42-2318
    19Vihiga United25571319:36-1716
    20MCF22451312:23-1114

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Relegation