Talanta vs MCF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Talanta
53.6%
Draw
24.2%
MCF
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 32.7% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 28.8% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Talanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talanta's performance.
  • MCF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talanta than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talanta that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for MCF than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Talanta - MCF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.96)
    3.74
    (2.71)
    4.09
    (4)
    10.4%
    (12.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Talanta - MCF?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Talanta (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Talanta (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Talanta will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Talanta will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Talanta (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Recently, MCF has had a series of away games.
    • Talanta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Talanta
    20.12.2025 Naivas - Talanta 1:0
    17.12.2025 Fortune Sacco - Talanta 3:1
    13.12.2025 Talanta - MOFA 0:0
    03.12.2025 Talanta - Kabati 2:0
    30.11.2025 Kisumu All-Stars - Talanta 1:0
    Latest results of MCF
    21.12.2025 MCF - Darajani Gogo 0:1
    14.12.2025 Soy United - MCF 1:0
    03.12.2025 Nzoia United - MCF 0:0
    29.11.2025 Equity Bank - MCF 3:1
    16.11.2025 Kabati - MCF 0:0
    Kenyan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mombasa United21141632:201243
    2Migori21124530:201040
    3MOFA20108229:131638
    43K FC21114631:151637
    5Equity Bank2097426:21534
    6Fortune Sacco2195726:21532
    7Talanta FC2195721:14732
    8Kibera2193916:19-330
    9Soy United2185817:15229
    10Nairobi City2178622:18429
    11Nzoia Sugar21611421:15629
    12Naivas FC2177718:17128
    13Gucha Stars21741022:23-125
    14Kabati2065915:19-423
    15Luanda Villa21641116:30-1422
    16Darajani Gogo21541214:25-1119
    17Mwatate United21461118:34-1618
    18Kisumu All-Stars21461112:30-1818
    19Vihiga United21371113:30-1716
    20MCF00000:000

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