Result
2:1
09/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Talanta
53.6% | Draw
24.2% | MCF
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Talanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talanta's performance.MCF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talanta than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talanta that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for MCF than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Talanta - MCF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.96) |
3.74 ↑
(2.71) |
4.09 ↑
(4) |
10.4%
(12.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Talanta - MCF?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Talanta (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Talanta (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Talanta will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Talanta will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Talanta (votes: 8 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Recently, MCF has had a series of away games.
- Talanta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Talanta won against MCF?
Talanta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MCF won against Talanta?
MCF has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Talanta - MCF were as follows:
Latest results of Talanta
Kenyan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Migori ✔ | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
| 2 | Mombasa United ✔ | 30 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 46:26 | 20 | 64 |
| 3 | 3K FC | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 49:21 | 28 | 59 |
| 4 | MOFA | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 46:24 | 22 | 57 |
| 5 | Equity Bank | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 57 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 50:27 | 23 | 53 |
| 7 | Kibera | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 27:24 | 3 | 50 |
| 8 | Naivas FC | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 37:27 | 10 | 47 |
| 9 | Soy United | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 27:23 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Nzoia Sugar | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 11 | Talanta FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32:31 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Nairobi City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:29 | -1 | 37 |
| 13 | Gucha Stars | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27:33 | -6 | 34 |
| 14 | Luanda Villa | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 21:39 | -18 | 32 |
| 15 | Kisumu All-Stars | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 19:43 | -24 | 30 |
| 16 | Darajani Gogo | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:36 | -17 | 28 |
| 17 | Kabati | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 19:42 | -23 | 27 |
| 18 | MCF | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
| 19 | Mwatate United | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 24 |
| 20 | Vihiga United ✔ | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 25:50 | -25 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Migori is Qualified for Premier League
Mombasa United is Qualified for Premier League
Vihiga United is Relegated to
