Talavera de la Reina vs Ponferradina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
11/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
65
Shots on target
11
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Total shots
65
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', 🟨,
  • 38', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 🟨,
  • 52', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
  • 58', Gallardo Rodriguez E. , Molina A. ,
  • 61', San Emeterio F. , Valle B. ,
  • 70', 0 - 1, Fernandez X. ,
  • 71', Moreno D. , Ferrer P. ,
  • 71', Keita A. , Jorrin M. ,
  • 75', Navarro I. , Capo P. ,
  • 75', Rodriguez F. , Ouacharaf B. ,
  • 80', Roig A. , Cuenca D. ,
  • 80', Sanchez L. , Montero Sergio ,
  • 83', Cortes J. , Frimpong E. ,
  • 83', Fernandez X. , Esquerdo V. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Talavera de la Reina
17.7%
Draw
32%
Ponferradina
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 30% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 28.9% 33.1%

Talavera de la Reina - Ponferradina Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
8.2
(2.54)
4.15
(3.03)
2.37
(2.64)
-21.4%
(10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Talavera de la Reina - Ponferradina?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ponferradina (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Talavera has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ponferradina is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Ponferradina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Talavera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife19142335:102544
    2Celta Vigo B19113529:23636
    3Pontevedra1996425:16933
    4Real Madrid B19101825:25031
    5Ath Bilbao B1994623:23031
    6Zamora1986526:21530
    7Racing Club Ferrol1993724:21330
    8Lugo1978418:14429
    9AD Merida1983827:27027
    10Real Aviles1983827:28-127
    11Barakaldo1968526:21526
    12Arenas Getxo1973923:27-424
    13Ourense CF1957722:25-322
    14CF Talavera19631020:22-221
    15Unionistas1956821:26-521
    16Ponferradina1955919:22-320
    17Arenteiro19541014:21-719
    18Osasuna B1946912:21-918
    19Guadalajara1946919:30-1118
    20Cacereno1937916:28-1216

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation