Result
11/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Chances of winning
Talavera de la Reina
30.9% | Draw
30.8% | Ponferradina
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Talavera de la Reina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ponferradina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Talavera de la Reina - Ponferradina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.54) |
3.03 ↑
(3.03) |
2.44 ↓
(2.64) |
7.1%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Talavera has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ponferradina has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Talavera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Talavera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Talavera de la Reina won against Ponferradina?
Talavera de la Reina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Talavera de la Reina?
Ponferradina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Talavera de la Reina - Ponferradina were as follows:
Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
Latest results of Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Guadalajara | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Barakaldo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Real Aviles | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Pontevedra | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Zamora | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Ath Bilbao B | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Osasuna B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Arenteiro | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | CF Talavera | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Lugo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Real Madrid B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Merida AD | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Ponferradina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Ourense CF | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 20 | Unionistas | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
