Result
1:0
20/02/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽,
- 20', Pitu 🟨,
- 28', Molina A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Navarro I. 🟨,
- 52', Fernandez X. 🟨,
- 59', Roig A. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
- 59', Navarro I. ↓, Cuenca D. ↑,
- 62', Fernandez X. ↓, Slavy ↑,
- 62', Cortes J. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
- 66', Nordin M. ↓, Ferni ↑,
- 75', Slavy 🟨,
- 80', Esquerdo V. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
- 83', Montero Sergio ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
- 83', Pitu ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
- 83', Lopez A. 🟨,
- 88', Prieto A. 🟨,
- 90', Frimpong E. ↓, Jorrin M. ↑,
- 90', Vazquez B. ↓, Kysil V. ↑,
- 90+1', Lopez A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ponferradina
53.9% | Draw
27.8% | Talavera de la Reina
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Ponferradina - Talavera de la Reina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.86) |
3.32 ↓
(3.4) |
5 ↑
(4.1) |
8.9%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Talavera de la Reina?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Ponferradina is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Talavera is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Ponferradina is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Ponferradina will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Ponferradina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Talavera de la Reina?
Ponferradina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Talavera de la Reina won against Ponferradina?
Talavera de la Reina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Talavera de la Reina were as follows:
11.10.2025
Talavera de la Reina
-
Ponferradina
0:1
Latest results of Ponferradina
Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 70 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56:43 | 13 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 55 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 54:43 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 53 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 47:44 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | AD Merida | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 48 |
| 10 | Arenas Getxo | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 47 |
| 11 | Lugo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 46 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 45 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 49:56 | -7 | 42 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 36 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 35 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 24:39 | -15 | 33 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 29:46 | -17 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
