Talia Gibson vs Jasmine Paolini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/8-finals

Chances of winning


Talia Gibson
30.7%
Jasmine Paolini
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 63.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Talia Gibson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Talia Gibson's form might have worsened.
  • Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jasmine Paolini's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talia Gibson than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Talia Gibson, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jasmine Paolini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Talia Gibson - Jasmine Paolini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (2.53)

    1.38
    (1.51)
    4.5%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Talia Gibson - Jasmine Paolini?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gibson will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Paolini will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gibson: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gibson (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +4.5 Games - Gibson (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Gibson (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 Games - Gibson (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Games - Gibson (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5 Games - Gibson (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5 Games - Gibson (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +5.5 Games - Gibson (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Gibson (votes: 9 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gibson is ranked WTA: 112. Paolini is ranked WTA: 7.
    • Gibson is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Paolini is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Gibson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Paolini is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Paolini will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Talia Gibson
    Latest results of Jasmine Paolini
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Sakatsume H. (Q)Parks A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Cristian J.Tjen J.2 : 1
    4ByeJoint M. (29)
    5Jovic I. (18)Bye
    6Stephens S. (WC)Osorio C.0 : 2
    7Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)McNally C.2 : 1
    8ByeOsaka N. (16)
    9Mboko V. (10)Bye
    10Birrell K.Selekhmeteva O.2 : 0
    11Sonmez Z.Kessler M.2 : 0
    12ByeKalinskaya A. (23)
    13Raducanu E. (25)Bye
    14Seidel E.Zakharova A. (Q)0 : 2
    15Galfi D. (LL)Blinkova A.0 : 2
    16ByeAnisimova A. (6)
    17Gauff C. (4)Bye
    18Andreescu B. (WC)Rakhimova K. (Q)1 : 2
    19Yastremska D.Zhang S.2 : 0
    20ByeEala A. (31)
    21Shnaider D. (21)Bye
    22Cirstea S.Maria T.2 : 1
    23Bouzas Maneiro J.Haddad Maia B.2 : 1
    24ByeNoskova L. (14)
    25Alexandrova E. (11)Bye
    26Gibson T. (Q)Li A.2 : 0
    27Putintseva Y.Badosa P.2 : 0
    28ByeTauson C. (17)
    29Wang Xin. (30)Bye
    30Tomljanovic A.Ruse G.2 : 0
    31Potapova A.Stakusic M. (Q)2 : 1
    32ByePaolini J. (7)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Vekic D. (WC)Valentova T.2 : 0
    35Volynets K. (WC)Sramkova R. (RET.)1 : 0
    36ByeOstapenko J. (26)
    37Mertens E. (22)Bye
    38Bucsa C.Vidmanova D. (Q)2 : 0
    39Hunter S. (Q)Frech M.2 : 1
    40ByeBencic B. (12)
    41Keys M. (15)Bye
    42Parry D. (Q)Williams V. (WC)2 : 1
    43Tararudee L. (Q)Kartal S.0 : 2
    44ByeNavarro E. (20)
    45Kostyuk M. (28)Bye
    46Bouzkova M.Townsend T. (Q)0 : 2
    47Arango E.Baptiste H.1 : 2
    48ByeRybakina E. (3)
    49Andreeva M. (8)Bye
    50Stearns P.Sierra S.0 : 2
    51Siniakova K.Kenin S.2 : 1
    52ByeFernandez L. (27)
    53Samsonova L. (19)Bye
    54Linette M.Krueger A.0 : 2
    55Siegemund L.Marcinko P.2 : 1
    56ByeSvitolina E. (9)
    57Muchova K. (13)Bye
    58Jacquemot E.Bondar A.0 : 2
    59Ruzic A.Brady J. (WC)2 : 1
    60ByeZheng Q. (24)
    61Sakkari M. (32)Bye
    62Gracheva V.Tagger L. (WC)0 : 2
    63Jones F.Day K. (Q)0 : 2
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Sakatsume H.2 : 0
    2Cristian J.Joint M. (29)2 : 1
    3Jovic I. (18)Osorio C.1 : 2
    4Jimenez Kasintseva V.Osaka N. (16)0 : 2
    5Mboko V. (10)Birrell K.2 : 0
    6Sonmez Z.Kalinskaya A. (23)0 : 2
    7Raducanu E. (25)Zakharova A.2 : 0
    8Blinkova A.Anisimova A. (6)1 : 2
    9Gauff C. (4)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    10Yastremska D.Eala A. (31)1 : 2
    11Shnaider D. (21)Cirstea S.0 : 2
    12Bouzas Maneiro J.Noskova L. (14)0 : 2
    13Alexandrova E. (11)Gibson T.0 : 2
    14Putintseva Y.Tauson C. (17)0 : 2
    15Wang Xin. (30)Tomljanovic A.0 : 2
    16Potapova A.Paolini J. (7)1 : 2
    17Pegula J. (5)Vekic D.2 : 1
    18Volynets K.Ostapenko J. (26)0 : 2
    19Mertens E. (22)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    20Hunter S.Bencic B. (12)0 : 2
    21Keys M. (15)Parry D.2 : 0
    22Kartal S.Navarro E. (20)2 : 1
    23Kostyuk M. (28)Townsend T.2 : 0
    24Baptiste H.Rybakina E. (3)1 : 2
    25Andreeva M. (8)Sierra S.2 : 0
    26Siniakova K.Fernandez L. (27)2 : 1
    27Samsonova L. (19)Krueger A.1 : 2
    28Siegemund L.Svitolina E. (9)1 : 2
    29Muchova K. (13)Bondar A.2 : 0
    30Ruzic A.Zheng Q. (24)2 : 0
    31Sakkari M. (32)Tagger L.2 : 0
    32Day K.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Cristian J.2 : 0
    2Osorio C.Osaka N. (16)1 : 2
    3Mboko V. (10)Kalinskaya A. (23)2 : 0
    4Raducanu E. (25)Anisimova A. (6)0 : 2
    5Gauff C. (RET.) (4)Eala A. (31)0 : 1
    6Cirstea S.Noskova L. (14)1 : 2
    7Gibson T.Tauson C. (17)2 : 1
    8Tomljanovic A.Paolini J. (7)1 : 2
    9Pegula J. (5)Ostapenko J. (26)2 : 1
    10Mertens E. (22)Bencic B. (12)0 : 2
    11Keys M. (15)Kartal S.1 : 2
    12Kostyuk M. (28)Rybakina E. (3)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (8)Siniakova K.1 : 2
    14Krueger A.Svitolina E. (9)0 : 2
    15Muchova K. (13)Ruzic A.2 : 0
    16Sakkari M. (32)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Osaka N. (16)
    2Mboko V. (10)Anisimova A. (6)
    3Eala A. (31)Noskova L. (14)
    4Gibson T.Paolini J. (7)
    5Pegula J. (5)Bencic B. (12)
    6Kartal S.Rybakina E. (3)
    7Siniakova K.Svitolina E. (9)
    8Muchova K. (13)Swiatek I. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2