Tallinna Kalev vs Flora U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
16/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Esiliiga - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
45
Corner kicks
116
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
66
Corner kicks
116

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Tomberg M. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Mihhailov V. (Own goal),
  • 35', 1 - 2, Kaares A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 77', 1 - 3, Lorenz K. ,
  • 86', 1 - 4, Paltser E. ,

Chances of winning


Tallinna Kalev
48.1%
Draw
22.6%
Flora U21
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 21.2% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 22% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Flora U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tallinna Kalev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flora U21 than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Tallinna Kalev - Flora U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.72)
    4.06
    (4.28)
    3.12
    (3.49)
    9.3%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev - Flora U21?
  • Users Predictions: Tallinna Kalev will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Kalev could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 2.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tallinna Kalev - Flora U21 were as follows:
    18.01.2026 Tallinna Kalev - Flora U21 3:1
    Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
    Latest results of Flora U21
    10.04.2026 Flora U21 - FC Tallinn 5:0
    14.03.2026 Flora U21 - Tartu Welco 1:6
    06.03.2026 Viimsi JK - Flora U21 2:1
    Estonian Esiliiga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tartu Welco971130:111922
    2Flora U21860225:131218
    3Viimsi JK952215:8717
    4Nomme Utd U21842218:15314
    5Tallinna Kalev932419:19011
    6Elva932417:18-111
    7Nomme Kalju U21931515:24-910
    8FC Tallinn923416:26-109
    9Maardu913510:25-156
    10Levadia U21920715:21-66

          Promotion ~ Meistriliiga
          Promotion ~ Meistriliiga (Promotion: )
          Esiliiga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Esiliiga B