Tartu Rock vs Tallinna Kalev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
89:81
03/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Latvian-Estonian League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6263
Field goals made
2828
Field goals %
45.16%44.44%
2-point field goals attempts
3438
2-point field goals made
2220
2-point field goals %
64.71%52.63%
3-point field goals attempts
2825
3-point field goals made
68
3-point field goals %
21.43%32%
Free throws attempts
3323
Free throws made
2717
Free throws %
81.8%73.9%
Offensive rebounds
1311
Defensive rebounds
2625
Total rebounds
3936
Assists
1617
Blocks
61
Turnovers
78
Steals
65
Personal fouls
2423

Chances of winning


Tartu Rock
57.3%
Tallinna Kalev
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 49.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tartu Rock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tartu Rock's performance.
  • Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tallinna Kalev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Rock than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tartu Rock that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tallinna Kalev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.96)

    2.18
    (1.73)
    7.5%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 171.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tartu Rock (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Tartu Rock will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 88:85.
  • Preview Facts
    • Series tied 1-1. Third leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tartu Rock won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Kalev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tartu Rock could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tartu Rock won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1511:1606. (average 75.6:80.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tartu Rock won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 676:728. (average 75.1:80.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev were as follows:
    01.04.2026 Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Rock 86:83
    28.03.2026 Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev 98:85
    10.01.2026 Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev 72:85
    01.10.2025 Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Rock 68:80
    31.05.2025 Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Rock 91:75
    Latest results of Tartu Rock
    01.04.2026 Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Rock 86:83
    28.03.2026 Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev 98:85
    23.03.2026 Pärnu - Tartu Rock 88:89
    20.03.2026 Tartu Rock - Pärnu 80:71
    14.03.2026 Tartu Rock - TalTech 76:78
    Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Tartu Ulikool (1)Parnu (8)2 : 0
    2BC Kalev/Cramo (4)Rigas Zelli (5)2 : 1
    3VEF Riga (2)Ventspils (7)2 : 1
    4Valmiera Glass Via (3)Tal Tech (6)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Tartu Ulikool (1)BC Kalev/Cramo (4)2 : 1
    2VEF Riga (2)Valmiera Glass Via (3)1 : 2

    Final
    1Tartu Ulikool (1)Valmiera Glass Via (3)

    3rd place
    2VEF Riga (2)BC Kalev/Cramo (4)87 : 72